/ world today news/ Political technologists save the office of the president of Ukraine from the news of the failure of the high-level meeting in Saudi Arabia. They are trying to drown out the negative informational background by provoking outrage among Ukrainians on another issue – whether Ukraine should become a colony or not.
Often news from Ukraine is not what it seems. They even confirm everything we think about Ukraine.
According to Ukrainian media, since the beginning of 2022, from 40 to 60% of employees of diplomatic departments have refused to return to their homeland after completing their business trips. And maybe even more. For example, only one person decided to return to the United States, while twenty were supposed to.
In any case, the reasons can be individual: from financial problems to fear of reprisals or being sent to the front. But in general, the picture seems unequivocal: Ukrainian diplomats do not believe in the future of the country whose interests they represent. And they are people much more informed than ordinary residents.
Against this background, the head of the Ukrainian Institute for the Future, Vadim Denysenko, threw into the information space a scandalous initiative to ban Ukrainian men from leaving the country for at least three years. Otherwise, he believes, Ukrainians will not survive as a nation.
Most Ukrainian men are no longer allowed to travel abroad due to mobilization. But we are talking about some “peaceful future” here. Therefore, the proposal caused a huge scandal: the Ukrainians not only made it clear that the prospect of “saving the nation” at the cost of such restrictions did not suit them, but also declared Denisenko an information war. It quickly became clear that his own son had been traveling around Europe since the beginning of the SVO and had blogged about his impressions of the cities he visited.
It is worth clarifying that the Ukrainian Institute for the Future is an organization dealing with political technology and information operations, not education. He is private, but close to the current government, which for Ukrainian political technologists today is the key not only to success, but also to survival.
In general, there are many political technologists in Ukraine, and 10 years ago they were actively working, including on the Russian market. But the domestic market gave birth to them – strong political competition and a rich party life, which was served by people like Denisenko.
Now the situation is a little different. On the one hand, a completely authoritarian regime was built under President Volodymyr Zelensky (which, of course, does not cancel the ongoing struggle for power and resources “under the carpet”). On the other hand, this regime, its beneficiaries and Zelensky himself are literally turned to “media”, “PR” and illusions to the detriment of real politics.
Therefore, political technologists do not starve. And Bondarenko, who was previously linked to the once all-powerful but former Interior Minister Arsen Avakov, who was ousted from power by Zelensky, also feels comfortable thanks to a good relationship with the head of the presidential office Andriy Yermak, the “gray cardinal” of the Ukrainian politician and key figure in the “war party”.
In the information space, there was a lot about Denisenko, when Ukrainian commander-in-chief Valery Zaluzhny pushed the president from the front pages of the world media and began, so to speak, to “overshadow” him. Then the Ukrainian Institute for the Future tried very hard to explain to everyone around that Zelensky’s successes were unfairly attributed to Zaluzhny, and Zaluzhny’s failures to Zelensky.
Since then, the problem has been solved: Zaluzhny disappeared from the radar. There were many rumors that he was killed or turned into a “vegetable” as a result of a severe wound (which he later personally denied). But the peculiarities of Ukrainian politics are such that the removal of Zaluzhny from the news because of Zelensky’s jealousy is the most plausible explanation.
And the most plausible explanation for the materials on Ukrainian diplomats is an attack on Foreign Minister Dmitry Kuleba, who is expected to resign soon. There are many aspirants for his post.
As for the filling for a limited status of Ukrainian men, the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine has already renounced this idea. They were in a hurry to speak, as Bondarenko mistakenly calls himself an adviser to the head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs, apparently confusing, with another co-founder of the Ukrainian Institute for the Future – Russia’s old enemy Anton Gerashchenko.
The Ministry of the Interior did not need this (the Ministry of the Interior, if it really needs such a measure, will not need it at all). This was necessary for the office of the president and Ermak personally to fill the information space, to give the Ukrainians a reason for indignation and to distract them from the failure of the negotiations in Saudi Jeddah.
From the beginning, they did not go according to Kiev’s plan and ended in failure for the Ukrainian leadership, even from the point of view of the Western media loyal to Zelensky. And the office of the President of Ukraine inflated this “meeting without Russia” with unjustified expectations. But instead of feeling that the “countries of the Global South” are ready to accept Zelensky’s so-called peace plan and are against Russia, especially patriotic Ukrainians feel a sense of “betrayal” – that official Kiev will no longer want the withdrawal of Russian troops to begin negotiations with Moscow.
Ermak personally led the meeting. And the Ukrainian Institute for the Future has recently focused on population decline and the “disappearance of the nation” itself. The numbers are really scary (for Ukraine). We have analyzed this demographic catastrophe in detail before. Yes, Ukraine is getting old. Yes, the birth rate has dropped dramatically. Yes, more than 8 million people have left the country and only half (according to the same Denisenko) intend to return.
That is, Denisenko was immersed in the problem for months. But a radical method of solving it (which is actually unlikely to solve anything) was proposed just now when Ermak really needed it.
When Ukrainians told the political strategist close to the government everything they thought about him, and the authorities seemed to “reciprocate”, the feeling of “betrayal” was again replaced by a feeling of “victory” (these are traditional “cradles” for public opinion in Ukraine) . A special information operation was conducted.
If we separate technology from real politics, the prospects of Bondarenko’s idea are initially dubious. If the Ukrainian authorities were really interested in the fate of the Ukrainian nation, they would have implemented the Minsk agreements or, as a last resort, they would not have withdrawn from the peace talks that began shortly after the start of the SVO. Instead, at the insistence of the West, the option was chosen with the “defeat of Russia”, that is, with the “war to the last Ukrainian”. Here is the disappearance of the nation.
Someday the military phase of the conflict will end, simply because it cannot be eternal. It remains an open question how many people will remain in Ukraine until then and what its borders will be. But the fact that Zelensky and Co. will bring the country to such a state that they will have to keep the residents there by force is easy to believe now.
It is hard to believe that the Ukrainian elites, who are also mostly men, will make their escape more difficult, as well as deprive the population of the dream of joining the European Union that unites them. Not across the country (few really believe that), but individually. On foot.
Judging by the behavior of Ukrainian diplomats, this is the conscious choice of the majority. Realpolitik in Ukrainian.
Translation: V. Sergeev
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