/ world right this moment information/ The “epidemic” and particularly the quarantine measures hit onerous each the Bulgarian economic system and the Bulgarian Socialist Occasion. In fact, in no case can it’s claimed that the scenario within the final 3-4 months was extraordinary just for the BSP. However the one one of many political topics represented within the parliament, which registered a severe decline in its affect, is our celebration. We actually can’t declare that socialists have any explicit downside with the coronavirus. However it’s much more sure that the BSP’s coverage has not obtained a constructive analysis from the Bulgarian residents not too long ago.
Lower than a 12 months earlier than common parliamentary elections, the celebration not solely doesn’t look like in adequate form to contend for victory, however even the possibilities of replicating the votes and parliamentary illustration of 2017 seem illusory. The electoral potential of the BSP varies throughout the statistical error across the votes and percentages of the elections in 2014 – 500 thousand votes. Some extra optimistic research give us as much as 100 thousand extra votes.
To many individuals, sociological predictions sound unimaginable. However they’re extraordinarily logical if we take note of some figures obtained in actual elections. In final 12 months’s Euro vote, the BSP obtained 474 thousand votes, which is 2 thousand votes lower than within the Euro vote in 2009. Then, on the finish of the mandate of the Triple Coalition, the BSP obtained 476,000 votes within the European elections and a month later registered certainly one of its heaviest electoral losses. From this standpoint, the predictions of sociologists concerning the electoral potential of BSP up to now appear infinitely logical. They correspond to actual figures from actual election outcomes. Sure, an entire 12 months has handed because the European elections, however this 12 months, even with out the coronavirus, the BSP didn’t produce any constructive information, if we exclude that the lack of the native elections was not tragic. However the rear-guard battles of final autumn can’t considerably change the overall unhealthy image.
We’re in a unprecedented scenario, inasmuch as for the primary time confidence within the BSP is collapsing not because of the negatives of Videnov, Stanishev or Oresharski’s administration, however in a interval when the celebration is in opposition. From this standpoint, the disaster is unprecedented. With a view to get the celebration out of it, we should first reply the query of how and why we received right here, and that after successful the presidential elections 4 years in the past. This reply doesn’t require particular genius and has been given consistently because the parliamentary vote in 2017. The BSP, and specifically the slender celebration management, has a particularly aggressive and damaging line of habits. Our public talking is hyper-concentrated in repeating and analyzing the errors of the rulers, that are apparent for the entire of Bulgaria, however nothing follows from this. The BSP doesn’t current itself as a substitute, it’s tough and barely formulates constructive messages to the Bulgarian residents, and so they stay unheard and misunderstood.
We are able to in all probability delve a lot deeper into the evaluation of our errors, however it’s way more helpful for the celebration to seek for options and a approach out of the scenario. Step one on this path is essentially the most profitable attainable conclusion of the reporting-election marketing campaign. The marketing campaign formally ends on the finish of September. In apply, the election of a brand new composition of the Government Bureau and of recent leaders of the regional councils will drag on at greatest till the top of October.
However step one in direction of the top of the marketing campaign is the direct election, and the query of voter turnout arises, in addition to to realize a constructive impact of the direct election marketing campaign. Earlier than it lastly went into non-existence, the SDF held a number of direct elections for the president, and the exercise in these elections didn’t change the destiny of this celebration, and the campaigns themselves didn’t improve the score. However in any case, it’s higher to have exercise within the direct election than sure no It’s also essential to come back out of it with a constructive end result. The very fact is that numerous nationwide and native celebration our bodies typically have issues with quorum, and attaining a “quorum of direct election” and a constructive impact of the marketing campaign is a a lot bigger process.
To perform this process, a number of issues have to occur. Initially, it is vital that rank-and-file members really feel that they actually have a alternative, and a alternative between options. At this stage, this isn’t taking place, quite the opposite. A big a part of the celebration members don’t even know who the candidates for chairman are. The celebration tv, the web site of the Nationwide Council, in addition to the media appearances of BSP representatives organized by the celebration press middle present solely a restricted circle of individuals – Ninova herself, in addition to the individuals who assist her candidacy.
Based on the celebration’s finances, which was not adopted by the Nationwide Council, the BSP will spend over half 1,000,000 BGN on media this 12 months. A few of them are in all probability already spent. This can be very scandalous and ugly that the buildings of the celebration don’t have any cash, and such enormous assets are invested solely within the private PR of the chairwoman and in her re-election marketing campaign. It’s outrageous that she is working a public marketing campaign for lots of of hundreds of leva and cash from the celebration subsidy, whereas all different candidates could have the chance to spend on their campaigns a set quantity within the direct election guidelines up to some thousand leva, which they’ve to seek out themselves.
It’s much more outrageous that with this cash of the celebration for the media, a particularly damaging marketing campaign is financed in opposition to numerous functionaries within the BSP, who on one difficulty or one other categorical disagreement with Kornelia Ninova. Right here we come to the second downside within the direct election marketing campaign. This downside is once more produced by the chairwoman and her entourage. Even for the inner celebration elections, they’re working an aggressive and intensely damaging marketing campaign. If not all of the nominated 46 different candidates, then no less than these of them who haven’t but given up are the topic of accusations of venality, betrayal in favor of GERB and what not.
This habits creates and points a number of points. The primary and really severe one is that Ninova’s “headquarters” can say very unhealthy issues about her opponents within the direct election, however apparently, no less than to this point, they haven’t been in a position to say something good concerning the president herself. They actually lack arguments given the truth that Ninova’s election outcomes are decrease than these of the late Stanishev, however it’s not unhealthy to place extra effort on this path. The chairperson additionally has qualities, no less than the folks round her ought to see them.
The demonization of Nineveh’s direct election opponents is the opposite very major problem. September 12 will go, and so will the congress. All these folks with apparently severe authority within the celebration, as they obtained nominations for the chairman, may even obtain nominations for deputies within the subsequent parliament. They’ll in all probability be ranked first within the lists. How will we obtain excessive ends in subsequent 12 months’s parliamentary vote, if we proceed to clarify till September 12 that precisely these individuals who’re symbolic of the BSP are traitors, salesmen, servants of GERB, and so forth.?
From this standpoint, it is vital that within the remaining two months till September 12, all of us – from the present chairman, to the peculiar members, attempt to spotlight the qualities of the candidates we assist, and never how unhealthy the opposite candidates are. I nonetheless suppose that we are able to say constructive issues about our candidates, they nonetheless have some qualities, it’s not in any respect essential to flood with slop, and never the opponents from GERB, however our comrades, with whom we must do collectively within the subsequent 12 months no less than two campaigns. BSP will take part in elections as a celebration. If out of 80 thousand socialists there is just one high quality one, no matter whether or not he’ll win the direct election or not, then our request for the administration of the nation could be untenable.
In fact, the query of whether or not or not Nineveh ought to be re-elected can be related. The very fact is that her private score is at present decrease than that of the celebration, and it is a precedent. It’s also true {that a} new chief can hardly pull us off the underside in just some months. Certainly, nonetheless, this new chief won’t be so closely blamed for the introduced results of the parliamentary vote. If Ninova stays, then the damaging outcomes of the subsequent elections will deliver the BSP into a brand new management disaster simply earlier than the presidential vote. She is already within the late Stanishev part – the query will not be if she’s going to step down, however when. When a celebration chairman is in a round protection for his seat, it is vitally tough for him to take any political actions for the event of the celebration in a longer-term perspective.
The latter concerns in no way imply that Nineveh have to be satanized. Quite the opposite, as a celebration we should be taught to judge our cadres in any respect ranges – from the essential organizations to the very best celebration organs. However we must always not go to the opposite excessive, it doesn’t matter what efforts the celebration tv makes to develop a cult of Ninova’s character. The celebration and the concepts that deliver us collectively are extra essential than the character of the president, whoever he’s. We’d like a change, as a result of the celebration is extra essential than Ninova, in addition to any of its opponents.
Whoever turns into the subsequent president won’t have it simple in any respect. She or he could have the essential process of consolidating the celebration. The latter doesn’t imply stopping dissent or persevering with to censor intra-party dialogue. BSP should set up itself as essentially the most democratic celebration. The essential factor is to alter the tone of the dialog. We should argue about coverage and concepts with respect for one another, expressing completely different opinions as comrades and respecting the selections of the related celebration organs. We must always not name ourselves traitors and accuse ourselves of all types of earthly sins, which sadly sounds too typically these days.
However the massive change within the celebration can’t be completed by its chairman alone. That is what consolidation is for. The BSP should present the general public a constructive program for the administration of the nation, a constructive imaginative and prescient for its future, ship constructive messages and overcome the negativity of latest years, which returned us to the degrees of belief from earlier than 2016. However the BSP should additionally begin a severe dialog concerning the organizational growth of the celebration, a few new personnel coverage. As a result of latest years have proven unequivocally that with solely PR, solely with tv and with media speak, there is no such thing as a method to restore belief within the BSP to the degrees desired by all of us.
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