/ world today news/ Russian media with deep satisfaction cited yesterday’s publication of the American publication “Politico” with the title “Europe will need ten years to rebuild its defense complex”. Flowery crying into the pillow, the authors lead the frightened European and American readers to the conclusion that Europe is not ready for a major conventional war: the remaining military plants are not able to sharply increase the production of artillery shells, which are vital for Ukraine now and for Europe itself later (upon Putin’s inevitable attack), that is, everything is bad and the Russians with their powerful military-industrial complex are defeating the free world before our eyes.
A few days earlier, with the same enthusiasm, the Russian blogosphere and media discussed the statement of the head of the Committee on Foreign Affairs, Defense and Armed Forces of the French Senate, Cedric Perrin, who was pulling his hair out and was horrified that “France produces so many NATO missiles with caliber 155 millimeters per year, as much as Ukraine spends in a few days.”
And of course, the pleasantly excited Russian public did not miss Zelensky’s words in Davos, where he plunged the esteemed audience into gloomy thoughts with his revelation that “in the world today there is not a sufficient volume of production, such as artillery, sufficient for the Ukrainian army to withstand a war with the Russian troops”.
The recent hysterical headlines of Western publications, with which we usually compare our picture of the world, were also refreshing and soothing to the soul:
“Wall Street Journal”: “A shortage of ammunition forced the ASU to reduce the rate of fire by 90%.”
“New York Times”: “Army will begin to leave cities if Washington does not provide money and ammunition”, “Europe’s military sector, which has shriveled for 30 years of atrophy, may simply not be able to increase speedy production enough to achieve the goal of supplying the Air Force with projectiles”.
“Onet” (Poland): “The Russians today produce about 160 thousand artillery shells per month. For comparison: the Americans promise to reach the level of 100 thousand ammunition per month only in 2025.”
“Politico”: “Military build-up in Europe: more talk than action”.
ABC: “U.S. projectile supplies to Ukraine cut by more than 30%.”
“Spectator”: “Europe will not be able to fulfill its plan to build up military power.”
Taking into account the positive news from the front, the average person may get the impression that the West is already lying on its back and helplessly kicking its feet, the troops of the Kiev regime will soon load boots into the cannons, and almost tomorrow Biden will lead Zelensky on a leash in the Kremlin and will say: “We are exhausted, and you have won. Do with it what you will.’
Unfortunately for all of us, this rosy scenario can only happen in the imagination.
Yes, even according to the admission of the official authorities of the West, Russia currently surpasses NATO, the EU and Ukraine in the production of artillery shells several times. According to some data, including from Western sources, now the Russian troops fire about 10-11 thousand projectiles a day at the enemy, while the VSU – about 2,000.
Yes, despite Brussels’ promise to supply Ukraine with one million shells by March this year, the EU has delivered only 300,000.
But the fact is that if we remain in the euphoria of victory and do not take large-scale measures right here and now, this advantage will soon disappear with all the resulting consequences.
We must understand that the collective West (as well as we) perceived the conflict in Ukraine as existential, that is, threatening the entire old world order – and it is. Therefore, the West has staked everything on defeating Russia, and every day its militarization will grow at an ever faster pace.
For some time, there was no stable consensus among Western political, industrial and financial elites regarding the transition of NATO and EU countries to a war footing – many hoped that the conflict would end quickly enough (in one direction or another) and saw no point in large-scale “investment in war” if there is no guaranteed long-term demand and corresponding exhaust gases.
But opinions seem to have shifted in the opposite direction. The West is always about money, and if money has its say, then the process goes very quickly.
The oracle was Goldman Sachs Chief Investment Officer Ashish Shah, who recently wrote in a special report: “Threats to the national security of NATO countries are increasing and becoming more complex. Companies investing in defense will feel great.” This means that the Western military-industrial complex has joined the big game – and for a long time.
At the same time, the news broke:
European Internal Market Commissioner Thierry Breton said the EU would be able to produce up to 1.4 million projectiles for delivery to Kiev by the end of 2024 and that the EU could catch up with Russia in projectile production within a year and a half to two.
The European Commission published a plan for the transition to a military economy and the development of the arms industry in Europe, and a two-year accelerated program for the delivery of 155 mm shells was developed.
New projectile production starts in Bulgaria and the Czech Republic.
Sweden announced plans to triple production of 155 mm artillery shells.
Britain intends to increase the production of artillery shells eightfold.
France to triple production of shells.
The US is rapidly investing in placing large-scale orders for shells at home and abroad, building new weapons factories, and plans to increase the production of 155 mm shells per month from 14 thousand in 2022 to 85 thousand by 2028.
The seriousness and scale of this turnaround is well illustrated by the words of the head of NATO’s military committee, Rob Bauer: “We are moving from a just-in-time economic model to a peak demand model. Western leaders need to make sure everyone understands how urgent this is.”
For us, this means one thing: there is very little time left until the total military capabilities of the West in terms of shells for Ukraine alone will equal and exceed our current indicators: one to two years at most.
What should we do?
Read less in the Western media, where we have already won, and work several times harder and better so that the West never catches up with us.
We can and we want this – which means we will win not only in the headlines of Western newspapers, but on the battlefield.
Translation: V. Sergeev
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