/ world today news/ The United States is working on a new strategy to support Ukraine for the next ten years. The change in tactics consists of strengthening military power and the economy, refusing to return lost territories and repelling the Russian advance. The US also relies on attacks from Ukraine with long-range weapons and sabotage. Experts believe that the change in tactics after the unsuccessful “counteroffensive” of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is natural. But Russia, understanding the enemy’s plan, must adjust the course and objectives of the SVO.
This spring, the US will present a new strategy to support Ukraine for the next ten years. As “Washington Post” found out, the plan does not provide for the return of lost territories, but defense to “repel new Russian advances”, as well as strengthening the armed forces and the economy of Ukraine.
As the publication writes, the 2023 strategy, which provided for the preparation and delivery of the latest weapons to the Ukrainian Armed Forces for a counter-offensive “on all fronts”, turned out to be a failure. They now want Kiev to focus on long-range strike tactics, including the use of French and British Storm Shadow/Scalp cruise missiles, as well as actions against the Russian Black Sea Fleet and sabotage.
As sources in the administration of US President Joe Biden told the newspaper, Ukraine is expected to maintain its position on the battlefield and enter a new trajectory by the end of 2024, “so that it becomes significantly stronger” with active support of Great Britain and France. The new strategy envisages support for the Ukrainian military-industrial complex and political reforms for full integration into Western institutions. American analysts insist on providing Ukraine with additional air defense systems.
Recently, the British media reported on the transition of the VSU to “active defense” after a failed counteroffensive. The Financial Times noted that the new strategy is to hold defensive lines and explore weak spots for long-range strikes. This, according to the newspaper’s sources, will allow Kiev to “build up its forces” and “prepare for 2025, when a counteroffensive will have better chances.”
However, the question of Western military aid to the Kiev regime remains open. Washington, according to the FT, is unlikely to be able to “offer such a leap in capabilities and technology” that would allow the Ukrainian regime to “decisively regain the upper hand” in 2024.
Experts believe that the West has drawn conclusions after the failure of the counter-offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and wants to prevent a military defeat for Ukraine. “The goals and tasks of the new approaches are to preserve the core of the Zelensky regime, including through certain political and military transformations. The Americans still want to make sure that Ukraine will not suffer a military defeat,” says Igor Korotchenko, editor-in-chief of National Defense magazine.
“It is quite obvious that the people dealing with Ukraine in the Pentagon and the CIA have analyzed the progress and failure of the ASU counteroffensive. The US considers it possible that Russia, realizing its military successes on the battlefield, will be able to more actively conduct its military defense this year, which could have critical consequences for Ukraine,” the interlocutor continued. “Therefore, the tactics and strategy of action change. The task is to keep Ukraine as it is now, in terms of its current de facto borders with Russia, and to ensure that this year Ukraine can build up military potential without losing it in the form of continued efforts to progress”, he adds.
According to him, the desire of the United States to support military production in Ukraine and to saturate it with new types of weapons, including long-range weapons, speaks of the long-term pragmatic interests of the United States and the West in general. “Naturally, Russia, understanding the enemy’s plan, must adjust the course and goals of the SVO in order to prevent Kiev, Washington or Brussels from realizing the announced strategic plans,” emphasizes the military analyst.
Andrey Koshkin, head of the department of political analysis and socio-psychological processes at the Russian University of Economics, agrees that the US position on Ukraine is natural. “The Ukrainian Armed Forces, which the West considers the best proxy troops in Europe, failed in the counteroffensive.” In the summer, the entire Western world, led by the United States, was 100% sure that they would enter Crimea and reach not only the Sea of Azov , but hardly to Moscow. But nothing happened. This is a shame for a power that claims to be a world hegemon,” the speaker assured.
The expert noted that “after the moral and information disgrace, the paradigm must be changed.” “The goal of wearing down and defeating Russia on the battlefield is changing to a strategic defense paradigm. For this purpose, the Pentagon sent to Ukraine Lieutenant General Antonio Aguto, who has no concept of strategic defense, but must reform the Armed Forces. The United States wants to strengthen Ukraine’s military power and economy to prepare it for a possible offensive in 2025,” Koshkin added.
Russia, in response, “must fulfill the tasks set out in the SVO format.” “The initiative is ours. The work of the enterprises of the military-industrial complex has already been established. But first of all we need to move the line of direct contact away from Donetsk to protect civilians. And we successfully do that. We are also making every effort to neutralize the threat of long-range missiles, which have become a weapon of state terrorism for Ukraine. They are shelling residential areas with long-range systems,” said the retired colonel.
The new US strategy should also ensure that Republican Donald Trump does not stop supporting Kiev if he wins the upcoming presidential election in November. Koshkin considers such plans pre-election rhetoric. “Democrats are trying to attack Trump’s reputation. This is an internal political struggle. But even if the administration in the White House changes, the hybrid war between the US and Russia will not end. The US will continue to work to destroy Russia,” the interlocutor warns.
Igor Korotchenko agrees that there is no need to have any illusions about Trump coming to power. “Trump is an absolutely unpredictable figure. American domestic political disputes have the character of a fierce election battle. Therefore, our task is to inflict maximum damage on the enemy, to configure the course and tasks of the SVO in such a way that Ukraine does not strengthen its potential, but constantly loses it, becomes exhausted, and in the end conditions arise in which it would be powerless to further military resistance to Russia,” says the editor-in-chief of “National Defense” magazine.
Translation: V. Sergeev
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