Home » World » The war situation between Russia and Ukraine: The Russian deputy commander was killed by a landmine, the wife of the Ukrainian intelligence chief was poisoned, how long does Putin want to fight?The reason why Ujie peace talks lasted less than an hour

The war situation between Russia and Ukraine: The Russian deputy commander was killed by a landmine, the wife of the Ukrainian intelligence chief was poisoned, how long does Putin want to fight?The reason why Ujie peace talks lasted less than an hour

[Voice of Hope November 29, 2023](Comprehensive report by our reporter Tang Xin) After more than 21 months of war between Russia and Ukraine, Russia launched another night attack, and the Ukrainian army shot down 21 drones and 2 missiles. It is rumored that the deputy commander of the Russian 14th Army was killed by a landmine on the battlefield, and Russian private military organizations began to recruit female mercenaries to join the war. The poisoning of the wife of Ukraine’s intelligence chief highlights serious security vulnerabilities. It is rumored that the West predicts that Putin will not negotiate peace with Ukraine before the 2024 US election. Ukraine also believes that there is a mystery behind Russia’s 70% increase in its defense budget, and is trying to “weaponize time” to win the war. Ukraine revealed why it despaired of peace talks with Russia last year after less than an hour. The Ukrainian foreign minister said that Putin was a habitual liar and that Moscow had repeatedly torn up the agreement.

Russia launched another night attack on Ukrainian troops, shooting down 21 drones and 2 missiles

According to Agence France-Presse, the Ukrainian Air Force said on November 29 that Russia sent 21 Witness-136/131 (Shahed-136/131) attack drones and launched three X-59 cruise missiles against Ukraine at night. During the attack, all drones and two of the missiles were destroyed before reaching the attack target.

Officials in Kiev say Russian forces have been preparing a large number of drones and missiles to launch a systematic attack on Ukraine’s energy grid during the months-long winter.

Ukraine said it dispatched jet fighters, air defense units and mobile air defense units in many southern and central states to shoot down enemy drones and missiles.

Ukraine said the enemy missile that was not shot down did not reach its target. Russia has yet to respond.

The deputy commander of the 14th Army was killed by a landmine and Russia recruited female mercenaries to join the war

During the Russo-Ukrainian War, news came out one after another that high-ranking Russian generals were killed on the battlefield in Ukraine. Foreign media reported that at 2:30 pm on November 28, the Russian Telegram channel reported that Major General Zavadskiy Vladimir, deputy commander of the Russian 14th Army, was killed by a landmine. Although the Russian Army The Russian Federation did not announce the news, but pro-Russian Russian propagandists announced the death of Zawadsky, and the Ukrainian military later confirmed the news of Zawadsky’s killing.

Since the death of Yevgeny Prigozhin, the leader of the Russian mercenary organization “Wagner Group”, in a plane crash in August, Russian private military organizations (PMCs) loyal to the Kremlin such as “Redut” have begun to recruit Wagner into their ranks. Ukrainian and African troops. Now it is reported that the mercenary group under “Redut” has begun recruiting female soldiers in Russia to fight against Ukraine.

According to a report by “Ukrainian Pravda” on November 28, the Russian independent investigative media “Vazhnye Istorii” (Vazhnye Istorii) discovered on Russia’s largest social networking site VKontakte (VK) that the mercenary group “Hispani” affiliated with “Redut” Española publicly announced the recruitment of female soldiers and provided “positions” such as snipers, medical, communications, electronic warfare units, signals intelligence units and drone operators.

The report mentioned that a reporter from “Important Stories” pretended to be a woman who was willing to join the army, called and inquired, and learned that the first contract was for six months, with a training period of one to two months, and a monthly salary of 110,000 to 120,000 rubles. After that, the female soldiers who signed the contract will be sent to the war zone, and their salary will be doubled. When signing the first contract, you will receive a one-time payment of 50,000 rubles. If a female mercenary is disabled due to combat, she will receive a compensation of 1 million to 3 million rubles; if she is killed in action, her relatives will receive a pension of 5 million rubles.

The “Wall Street Journal” previously reported that after Prigozin’s death, the Kremlin immediately began to take over the military assets of the Wagner Group. “Redut”, which was responsible for this task, was founded in 2008 by a former Russian paratrooper and former military intelligence officer, and it provides contracting services in the Middle East. The security work of Russian companies is funded by the energy investment tycoon Gennady Timchenko, a close friend of Russian President Vladimir Putin. The organization was listed as a target of sanctions by the United States in February this year.

The poisoning of the wife of Ukraine’s intelligence chief highlights serious security vulnerabilities

According to a report by the Ukrainian media Babel, quoted by The Guardian, Andriy Yusov, spokesman for the General Intelligence Service of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, said on November 28 that Director Kyrylo Budanov’s wife Marianna Budanova) was rushed to the hospital for treatment after being poisoned by an unknown person and is currently recovering. But Yusof did not say when or where the incident occurred, nor did he mention who poisoned him.

Mariana felt unwell for a long time, so she was sent to the hospital for treatment. As a result, the doctor discovered that Mariana had been poisoned. A source said the poison was a heavy metal that is “difficult to come into contact with in daily life and military operations.”

“Ukrainian Pravda” reported that Mariana’s recovery is progressing smoothly. A source said that she is now in much better condition and has received the first stage of treatment. It added that Mariana developed symptoms quickly due to her petite stature and light weight, adding that many intelligence officers are currently showing symptoms of mild poisoning.

Mariana is a psychologist and assistant to Kiev Mayor Vitali Klitschko and is believed to live in the heavily guarded headquarters with her husband Budanov.

Budanov said in a speech in August that he had been staying with his wife for security reasons. If the poisoning is true, it would constitute a serious security breach and the most high-profile attempted murder of the Ukrainian leader’s family since Russia’s full-scale invasion last year.

Budanov has been serving as the director of the General Intelligence Service since August 2020. After Russia launched a military operation in February 2022, Budanov performed outstandingly in this battle and was responsible for planning a series of military special operations that successfully penetrated into Russia. There have been more than 10 assassinations against Budanov in 2023 alone.

There are rumors that the United States and Germany are trying to push Russia and Ukraine to return to the negotiating table. James O’Brien, the U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs, denied this news in an interview on November 27, pointing out that Washington has not done so. “We have constantly emphasized that this (peace talks) will be decided by the Ukrainian side.”

In addition, according to Reuters, a senior U.S. State Department official pointed out that NATO reiterated its support for Ukraine at a meeting of foreign ministers on the 28th because the alliance understands that the possibility of peace next year is not high.

“My expectation is that Putin will not negotiate or reach any meaningful peace until he sees us (the United States) announce the results of the election,” the U.S. official said on condition of anonymity.

The United States will hold a presidential election at the end of next year. Former President Donald Trump, who is seeking to return to the White House and is leading the Republican primary polls, has severely criticized the U.S. policy of aiding Ukraine. Many people are worried that if Trump wins the election, it may overturn Western support for the Kiev authorities.

When reporters asked whether this was a personal opinion or the US government’s view, the official said this was a “widely recognized prediction.” This means that the West believes that Putin may be prepared to fight the war for at least another year.

The official also added, “Under this premise, all allies publicly expressed their strong support for Ukraine at the NATO meeting on the 28th.” He did not mention Trump’s name, nor did he clearly indicate how the election results would affect the United States’ response to Ukraine. support.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll in mid-November showed that former President Trump and current President Joe Biden were locked in a fierce competition, with Trump leading Biden by a slight margin of 51%. 49% support rate. Respondents were asked to choose between the two.

Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Democratic Biden has provided a large amount of military aid and other support to Kyiv, but proposals to provide more funds to Ukraine have been blocked by the Republican-controlled House of Representatives.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy invited Trump to Ukraine this month to see firsthand the scale of the war. Trump has said that if he returns to power, he will end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 hours.

There is a mystery in increasing the defense budget by another 70%. Russia is trying to “weaponize time”

The Russia-Ukraine war still has no end in sight. Not only does the West believe that Putin will not hold peace talks before next year’s U.S. election, but Ukraine also points out that Russia is weaponizing time and trying to wait until international attention wears off to win the war.

As the Israel-Kazakhstan war broke out in the Middle East in October and the situation in Gaza became turbulent again, the diplomatic elite turned their attention to finding consistent measures to deal with multiple crises, which also reduced the outside world’s attention to the Russia-Ukraine war. According to the military news website Defense One, Ukrainian officials reiterated at the annual Halifax International Security Forum that the international attention paid to the situation between Russia and Ukraine cannot be ignored. Ukraine’s message at this year’s event was clear: “ Your support is more important now than ever.”

Ukrainian Prosecutor General Andriy Kostin said, “Russia is weaponizing time.” Use the prolongation of the war to tire out international attention in exchange for more advantages for Russia. He added that Ukraine lives between hope and faith every day, but believes it will receive support. “If the situation is a little more difficult, we still hope so.”

In addition, Russia also took the opportunity to invest more defense resources in preparation for rearmament and a possible long-term war of resistance. According to reports from the Associated Press and other foreign media, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed the national budget for the next three years, which will increase total expenditure by about 25%. Due to the delay in combat operations in the Russia-Ukraine war, the defense expenditure budget has also reached a record high, and it is expected to increase in recent years. Reorganize and replenish armaments, take advantage of the international turmoil, and take the opportunity to strengthen the Russian military’s advantages in operations in Ukraine, without fear of high battle damage rates.

Among them, Russia’s disclosed military expenditure has increased significantly by nearly 70% compared with this year. The funds allocated to the Russian Armed Forces next year will account for about 30% of the total government fiscal expenditure next year, and these do not include Russia’s long-term Specialized in “secret budgets” to avoid outside scrutiny of Ukraine operations.

Austrian General Robert Brieger, the current chairman of the EU Military Committee, said that Russia has huge potential to increase production capacity. They proved this during World War II and are a large economy; the equipment produced by Russia may not be High-end products, but a large amount of materials, as well as affordable armaments that invest a lot of human resources, are still an important factor affecting the war situation.

Revealing the reason for despair in less than an hour after the peace talks, the Ukrainian Foreign Minister said: Putin is a habitual liar and has torn up the agreement many times.

On the other hand, Ukraine recently revealed the reasons why the Russia-Ukraine peace talks broke down last year.

According to Agence France-Presse, weeks after Russia invaded Ukraine in February last year, delegations from Moscow and Kiev met in Belarus for secret peace negotiations. However, within an hour, Ukraine’s chief negotiator lost hope.

Russia has sent a notorious former culture minister to the talks, who has not only been involved in a doctoral plagiarism scandal, but is also a firebrand nationalist and has recently faced sexual harassment accusations.

Mykhaylo Podolyak, advisor to the Ukrainian Presidential Office, said in an interview: “At that time, about 45 minutes into the first round of negotiations, the intellectual level of these people was clearly understood… They did not understand that this war was a real war. war.”

“These people are not ready to negotiate at all. In Russia, they are just technocrats with almost no influence. They come, they read out an ultimatum, and that’s it!”

Nearly two years after the first round of talks ended inconclusively, there are now more calls for Ukrainian officials to return to the negotiating table and negotiate with the Kremlin to end the war through diplomatic means.

Although Ukraine has many weapons provided by Western countries, the results of this year’s counterattack have not been as good as expected so far. As concerns grow over Western commitments to support Ukraine and disruptions in arms deliveries, there are also growing calls for Kyiv to return to the negotiating table.

But for Ukraine, peace talks are not on the cards. Officials pointed out that almost all the agreements that Kiev joined after the collapse of the Soviet Union were destroyed by Moscow. Sitting down and negotiating with Russia is not only meaningless, but may also bring danger.

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba recently pointed out that Putin is a habitual liar. “He only promised international leaders a few days before launching the invasion in February 2022 that he would not attack Ukraine.”

Kuleba pointed out that Russia agreed to recognize and respect the territorial integrity of Ukraine in the 1994, 1997, 2014 and 2015 agreements, but Moscow has blatantly ignored these agreements.

Last October, days after Russia annexed parts of Ukraine, Zelensky signed a decree not to negotiate with Moscow as long as Putin was in power.

On the other hand, the Kremlin has repeatedly declared that it is ready to sit down and negotiate with Ukraine. Putin told G20 leaders via video conference this month that Russia had never refused to engage in peace talks with Ukraine, but Ukraine had publicly stated that it wanted to withdraw from the negotiations.

However, Nigel Gould Davies, the former British ambassador to Belarus, pointed out that Putin’s words cannot be fully believed and that entering negotiations will help Russia buy time to regroup its troops for subsequent attacks. Since Russia will hold a general election in March next year, Putin’s remarks can be seen as an attempt to appease the Russian people who are looking forward to an early end to the war.

“Putin has nothing to lose by pretending to want peace,” Gould-Davis said.

Former Russian Foreign Minister Andrei Kozyrev, who now lives in the United States, bluntly stated that Putin may take the opportunity to pretend to compromise just to start a war in the future. He believes that the only way to end the Russia-Ukraine war is to provide Ukraine with the most powerful weapons as soon as possible to resist the invaders.


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Editor in charge: Lin Li

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2023-11-30 00:30:43

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