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The war in Ukraine: – Bad atmosphere in Moscow

On Tuesday evening, the Russian side reported that Russian President Vladimir Putin’s speech would be postponed to Wednesday. Initially, it was announced that the speech would be broadcast at 19:00 Norwegian time and that it would address the referendums announced in the Russian-occupied areas of Ukraine.

Retired Lieutenant General Arne Bård Dalhaug thinks there is a good atmosphere in Moscow.

– I guess there is a bit of a bad atmosphere in Moscow right now. The news about the postponement of the speech seems very credible and, if it happens, indicates that there is a great disagreement in the Kremlin on what the main points of the speech should be. Quite simply, Dalhaug tells Dagbladet.

– General Richard Shirreff speculates otherwise News from heaven that chaos has arisen in Moscow. What do you think?

– It entirely depends on what is meant by chaos. I interpret it as meaning that there is a great deal of disagreement within the Moscow leadership as to what the main message of the speech should be. There has to be coverage to say this, Dalhaug says and continues:

– The fact is that Putin’s speech has been postponed. This means that he at least he did not want to invade others by delivering the speech regardless of what is meant. This perhaps indicates that Putin is weaker than previously thought. In any case, it will be interesting to follow in the next few hours and in the next days how it will be followed.

WAR: NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg with a message to Russia during the high-level part of the UN General Assembly in New York. Photo: Vegard Kvaale.
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– Awesome

– Have you ever tried something like this?

– No, I remember that some of Putin’s speeches were slightly postponed before Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24th. Furthermore, Putin’s speech in St. Petersburg in June was somewhat postponed. But it is exceptional that such an announced speech does not go as planned.

Dalhaug calls it a difficult speech to deliver.

– It is clear that this is a very difficult speech to deliver. This is because there are really no good solutions to the problems facing Russia and Putin. Yes, of course they can mobilize, but how effective will it be compared to how big is the risk it entails?

GO WRONG: A fighter jet is out for a military drill in Texas. Then comes the bird. Reporter: Bjørge Dahle Johansen. Video: Naval Air Command
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Development in Russia

In the prelude to the speech, it was announced that referendums will be held in the Russian-occupied areas of Ukraine, that arms production will be increased and that a series of legislative changes will be implemented that will make it easier to announce the full mobilization of Russian forces.

– What do you think of the speculation that a full mobilization may be on the way?

– I recorded speculation, but it doesn’t have to be. I still believe that there are many uncertainties associated with full mobilization and it is not easy to see how it can have a particular effect in the short term. On the other hand, Putin was poorly informed about the realities on the battlefield during the war.

– It is also possible that Putin wants to announce that areas in Ukraine that are currently under Russian occupation must be subordinate to Russia. He will greatly intensify the conflict.

OPENS FIRE: Videos shared on social media purport to show Russian forces opening fire. According to Russian state media, they were supposed to attack a Ukrainian “sabotage and reconnaissance group”. Video: Telegram / Twitter. Reporter: Vegard Krüger
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Strong reactions

On Tuesday evening, NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg called the referendums announced a further escalation of the war. The US condemned the actions, France described it as a parody and Norway called it “pretty horrible”.

– The reactions show that it is completely unacceptable for Russia to engage in old-fashioned wars of conquest. He stresses that it is in principle unacceptable to move borders in Europe with the help of military force, Dalhaug says.

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