/ world today news/ The American liberal establishment fears that the days of the Democrats’ power are numbered. It is in the context of their impending defeat in the 2024 election that Democrats are voicing many of their fears about the threats they see from a Trump return to the White House. One of the main ones is the withdrawal of the USA from NATO. Therefore, Congress passed a law prohibiting all subsequent US presidents from withdrawing the country from the North Atlantic Alliance.
The law is hard, but the law
Two factors — real fears that, first, Trump would win the upcoming 2024 election, and, second, he would pull the United States out of NATO if he did — have forced US lawmakers to make a concerted effort to ban any future president from USA to withdraw America from the alliance.
A group of lawmakers led by Sen. Tim Kaine, Democrat, and Sen. Marco Rubio, Republican, included a key clause in the annual National Defense Authorization Act — that the president would not be able to withdraw the country from NATO without congressional approval. Both houses of Congress have already voted on it.
As The Hill reports, Kaine has indicated that the new law “reaffirms US support for this important alliance that is fundamental to our national security”:
It also sends a strong signal to authoritarian regimes around the world that the free world remains united.
The “authoritarian regimes” are, of course, Russia, China, North Korea, Iran and “all the stops”. The implication is that they all want Trump in power because he will destroy NATO.
So, the law is passed. However, the question of whether the US constitution allows for the president’s hands to be tied in such a way remains controversial. The US Constitution requires the consent of the Senate to ratify any treaty, but – importantly – does not provide a procedure for its annulment.
This raises debate over whether US presidents can take such steps at their own discretion or still need permission from lawmakers. There are only a few court precedents on this issue, but, as American lawyers note, none of them are considered definitive.
Why the hype?
Every action has a beginning and a cause. In this sense, the reason for the unrest surrounding the withdrawal of the US from NATO is not very clear. Trump is now saying very little about his intentions regarding the alliance. But, as The New York Times writes, on his official campaign website there is a single cryptic sentence in this regard:
We must complete the process of fundamental reassessment of NATO’s purpose and mission that began during my administration.
However, neither Trump himself nor members of his team gave details. But it was this phrase that became the impetus for the hasty adoption of the law mentioned above.
Everyone suddenly remembered that Trump as president had repeatedly threatened to withdraw the US from NATO. Reverend American society suddenly turned to the testimony of John Bolton, Trump’s national security adviser from 2018 to 2019.
In his memoirs, he claims that Trump had to be repeatedly dissuaded from withdrawing the US from NATO. Bolton said that “there is no doubt that Trump will achieve the desired success in his second term.
And then it started…
Are they numb in Europe?
The New York Times, citing current and former European diplomats who spoke on condition of anonymity, recently published a lengthy article claiming that EU countries fear Donald Trump will “destroy NATO” if he wins the 2024 presidential election.
In Europe, there are serious concerns that Trump’s second presidency will lead to the de facto withdrawal of the US from NATO.
– the newspaper quotes the words of the former Commander-in-Chief of NATO’s armed forces in Europe, James Stavridis. Trump, as the paper notes, has made it clear that he views NATO as “terrorist groups that waste American resources.”
The newspaper notes that from Trump’s point of view,
NATO is a sewer pipe through which many profiteers waste American resources.
He has held this view for at least a quarter of a century, the paper said, citing the fact that in his 2000 book, The America We Deserve, Trump wrote that “leaving Europe will save our country millions of dollars a year.”
As a result, over the past few months:
Nearly a dozen current and former European diplomats, who asked not to be named for fear of trouble if Trump is elected, said there was growing concern in diplomatic circles and in their governments that Trump’s return would mean more than just cutting aid to Ukraine, but also the departure of America from the Old Continent in the broadest sense, as well as the collapse of the North Atlantic Alliance.
Let them pay each other!
Yet, unlike the aforementioned infamous Bolton, many lawmakers allied with Trump believe the most he can do is increase European contributions to the West’s overall security.
„He won’t do that.” said Senator Lindsey Graham, commenting on concerns that Trump might withdraw the US from NATO. “But it will force Europeans to pay more, and I think a lot of Americans will like that news.”
Robert O’Brien, who served as Trump’s national security adviser, echoed that view, The New York Times noted.
President Trump’s decision to withdraw the US from NATO is a topic that some in Washington are discussing, but I don’t think it will happen. Trump understands the military value of the alliance to America, but he just feels […]that the Germans and other countries are cheating us by refusing to pay a fair share for their own defense.
O’Brien said.
Let’s draw some conclusions
The more buzz around a topic, the more attention it gets. The excitement surrounding the possible withdrawal of the US from NATO after Trump’s election victory speaks for several things.
First the American “deep state” does see the Democrats lose the US presidential election in November 2024. The establishment has wasted too much time replacing Biden as the Democratic nominee.
And the legal battles against Trump have not yet resulted in him going to jail and out of the race. The case could end with Biden (if he survives, of course) still making it to the finals with Trump. And then the outcome is clear as a baby: the Republican will win.
Hence the second conclusion : anticipating such an outcome, the establishment tries to minimize the risks Trump poses for it. And one of the main risks is the loss of an instrument for forcefully suppressing dissent around the world, that is, the NATO bloc. What is the power of the American “deep state” that seeks world domination, without a repressive military apparatus? A colossus with feet of clay. It’s not just that no one will pay attention to America. They will laugh at her.
After the collapse of NATO, a natural continuation of the process will be the bold refusal of most countries to use the dollar in international trade. After all, all the strength of the dollar lies precisely in the military power of the country that prints it.
But because the United States prefers to fight with the help of its allies, the strength of the dollar now lies in the strength of NATO. This means that without the alliance, the current role of the US /as well as the dollar/ will not be higher than the role of neighboring Mexico, with all due respect to the latter.
The third conclusion
Democrats are looking for allies in Europe, trying to find that resource in the Old World that will help them stop Trump. In fact, there are most likely no “European diplomats” who have spoken on this topic. There is an American establishment opinion attributed to “European diplomats”.
The American “deep state” fears Trump, who represents a multifaceted existential threat to it. And the establishment, which itself fears the collapse of NATO, is waving this terrifying story over the heads of Europeans.
To add credence to the supposed danger posed by Trump, The New York Times concludes its extensive and “argumentative” article with the response given by the 45th president of the United States to the newspaper’s inquiry about the fate of NATO if he wins:
„My top priority,” Trump stressed <…>“always has been and always will be America First, namely protecting our own country, our borders, our values and our people, their jobs and their well-being.
From which the reader should guess that the North Atlantic Alliance will definitely not survive if Trump finds himself back in the White House.
Looking at the root
According to The New York Times, this phrase – that “America comes first” – was once popularized by American isolationists who opposed US involvement in World War II. Accordingly, it should be understood from the publication that in the current conditions such a position is unacceptable. Does this mean the American liberal establishment is preparing NATO for war with Russia?
Exactly. And therefore NATO must survive. Otherwise, with what forces will America destroy Russia? And this is the main explanation why the American establishment is so afraid of its own assumption that Trump will collapse NATO.
Translation: ES
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