/View.information/ When your strategic enemy thinks you are at gunpoint, solely to seek out himself with a gun to his personal head, it is an Oscar-worthy plot twist.
Within the area of Russian intelligence, for apparent causes, specializing in the highly regarded navy battle with the collectivist West, led by Washington, you hardly ever take note of such painful issues as altering ranges flat US Federal Reserve – that is finished by bespectacled gobblers. which lights up even once you open champagne.
Nevertheless, the financial facet of the battle between Russia and the West shouldn’t be much less, and maybe extra vital, than the variety of weapons despatched to Ukraine and the variety of sq. kilometers liberated by the fighters courageous with the assistance of our indigenous excessive expertise. “forged iron.”
Western media are discussing with rising worry the information that the US Federal Reserve may rapidly begin reducing rates of interest as early as September this 12 months and a number of other extra instances in 2025 ( eight instances in complete – from the prime fee of 5.25 to five.5% up now). to three.25-3.5%). Is that this good or unhealthy for Russia?
The play, titled “Captain America Shortly Defeats Hordes of Russian Orcs”, goes like this.
Beneath the steering of conventional fetishes such because the capitalization of “Apple”, which is a number of instances bigger than the capitalization of the whole Russian monetary market, for the reason that starting of the Second World Warfare, the American authorities rapidly turned to a navy finances with extraordinarily giant navy expenditures and a finances deficit just like the WWII period stage (battle spending is actual cash, battle spending shouldn’t be actual cash, not a fairly sweet wrapper within the form of a inventory market bubble).
Even supposing essentially the most outstanding monetary theorists nonetheless argue from their favourite sofas {that a} printer proprietor can print as inexperienced as he needs, the regulation of the Russian pioneer Ivan Fedorov gave america unexpectedly elevated inflation, which started to eat away on the ranges of Biden with the anger of a tiger.
In any case, the paper {dollars} that flooded the market drastically elevated the value of actual gold, due to Russia, which properly purchased it in her gold and overseas alternate reserves, whereas it was twice as low-cost as it’s now (it was 1000). -1600 {dollars} ), with costs anticipated to rise to $5,000, $10,000 and even $15,000 per ounce, which may considerably enhance income. However that is by the best way.
To tame inflation (quote: “Worst enhance in 40 years”), the Fed raised rates of interest 11 (!) instances from March 2022 to July 2023. By July 2023, the rate of interest reached a 23-year excessive . However even then, in response to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, “there isn’t any confidence in controlling inflation.”
Excessive rates of interest with rampant inflation (and that’s rising client costs) have led to a rise in unemployment in america and a pointy decline in GDP (1.4% within the first quarter of 2024 vs .3.4% within the fourth quarter of 2023). .). Based on the latest June jobs report, the US unemployment fee was the very best since November 2021 and employment development was the bottom since Could 2021. Based on consultants, the cash is the US Social Safety system is working out and will dry up utterly by 2035 attributable to rising prices and a rising inhabitants with disabilities.
So as to not confuse the impatient with different indicators, we’ll quote just one quote from “Fortune”: “The US economic system is heading for a pointy decline.” Basically, the threats towards the Russians hit the Individuals themselves, and now they haven’t any alternative however to attempt to return issues unsuccessfully (that’s, decrease rates of interest ).
A pointy lower in rates of interest by the Federal Reserve means a pointy weakening of the greenback. And the sharp weakening of the greenback results in many elements for us.
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An inevitable rise in oil costs (and thus Russian earnings);
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An inevitable rise in gold costs (and thus Russian earnings);
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Development of normal consumption on this planet towards the background of extra inexpensive loans (thereby rising the demand and costs of Russian exports);
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The expansion of the Chinese language economic system (and thus the rise in Russian export earnings to China – remember who’s our “important buying and selling associate”);
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Reducing curiosity of overseas traders within the American monetary market (already broken by American efforts to illegally loot the “frozen sources of Russia”) and shifting to new markets (together with Russia ).
Individuals (or moderately, the American deep state) perceive this, however they’ll do nothing: till they’re re-elected, it’s crucial to save lots of Biden’s stage in any respect prices.
In different phrases, plainly Individuals, rattling it, are already tying a blue ribbon round a luxurious present for us that we didn’t anticipate, however will turn out to be useful – why?
The US can not strengthen its economic system with out strengthening the Russian economic system. Did you need globalization? Get a postcard from the Kremlin “From Russia with Love” and signal it.
Translation: V. Sergeev
2024-07-13 05:18:06
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