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The Ukrainian offensive has begun… But only on one front –

/ world today news/ April is coming… The second spring month, which can become a turning point in the entire spring campaign. A month of big gains or big losses. I have written many times that Ukraine will certainly launch a counteroffensive this spring. Not because the situation on the fronts favors it, it’s just that the masters demand active action.

Upon careful consideration of the situation, the direction of the main impact is already visible. Again, nothing new. Kyiv’s target was and remains the Sea of ​​Azov. Destroy the land corridor to Crimea at all costs. It is this direction that is being pumped with equipment and weapons today. It is here that the best units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, trained in the West, are drawn.

They may object to me, but what about Artyomovsk? There is also a concentration of equipment and armaments. The reorganized units and divisions are sent there.

It is there today that the main “mincemeat workshop” is located. Our military, volunteers, PMC employees “grind” the Ukrainian units with the methodicality of a well-oiled machine.

I agree with everything. What our fighters are doing today in this area is massive heroism. It really is a “fight to the last”. Every soldier or officer, every fighter participating in these battles is already a hero. I once criticized Yevgeny Prigozhin for comparing Artyomovsk to Stalingrad. I take my words back.

Today, Artemovsk is no longer just a village. It is a symbol of the opposition between good and evil. No wonder Zelensky constantly mentions this city as the most important for Ukraine today. Just for today! However, I do not rule out that in case of success in Artyomovsk, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will try to develop it further.

But such a development of events is extremely doubtful. For parts of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the mere mention of Wagner operating against them is such a powerful demoralizing factor that the very idea of ​​an offensive becomes dubious.

And then Prigozhin announced his readiness to stand to the end and bring into battle units that passed through fire, water and copper pipes in Africa, Syria and other places …

In general, we have already seen such a scheme of action, which the Armed Forces of Ukraine will use this spring. One or two distracting blows, at least in the same Artyomovsk, but the main blow is in a completely different direction.

The information attack has already begun

You did not pay attention to how successive decisions on the supply of equipment and armaments do not correspond to the materials in the media, in which we are convinced that Kiev does not have offensive forces. I am sure that even at the time of publication of this article such materials will not be difficult to find. Western tanks, it turns out, are completely outdated models, air defenses from the Vietnam War, lack of missiles, shells, etc.

It is clear that for an ordinary civilian, the nuances of strategy are of little interest. The war is perceived by such people through the prism of watched war films, through numerous “war games”, etc.

Look at social media. 70% of the materials about the state of affairs in the Artyomovsk region, the remaining 30% are videos of the successful actions of some units, the work of volunteers, etc.

This most important work of the soldier in equipping positions, preparing engineering barriers, creating fortresses and other lines of defense is not interesting. Yes, no blood. The usual routine of war.

Our gunners worked, their gunners worked. Our scouts made a successful reconnaissance sortie, their scouts were spotted and retreated under our artillery fire.

Even the top leadership of Ukraine is involved in this operation. See Zelensky’s statements in February and March. On any topic. You will certainly find complaints about the lack of one or another weapon, about the lack of certain things necessary for the armed forces of Ukraine. This is done on direct orders from the US.

I’m sure this will continue in the future. The government in Ukraine is completely economically and militarily dependent on injections from the West. Moreover, the Ukrainian government is working entirely in the interest of the United States.

This explains the brazenness with which he has spoken to European leaders in recent months. “Tamara and I walk as a couple” – this is today for Zelensky and Duda, the two main half-breeds in the Washington pack.

The question arises, why do all this? If not to scare the laity in Russia, then why? The operation is conducted for those who are somehow connected with military structures, with special services, in general with the law enforcement agencies of Russia. Including representatives of the media covering the events on the contact line and in the rear of the Russian army.

They calm us down! Yes, there will be nothing, they are not suicidal. With a bare back to the well-fortified defense of the Russian army. And the most interesting thing is that I can already see the fruits of such “soothing” work. See the general tone of messages in our media, online channels and elsewhere.

“We break, the Swedes bend …”, not as fast as we would like, but we are making progress. More precisely – we are crawling into the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine …

Let’s get up for a bit “Hoholi” (all claims for such a name are to the fighters from the republics of Donbass). Very little, a little more than a month, remains until the big holiday for Russians – Victory Day. Russians will celebrate this day widely, despite the military action in Ukraine. They will celebrate even in the trenches.

Why not launch a serious offensive? Russians are sure that Ukrainians have the same sacred attitude to this day as they do. “Our grandfathers fought together and defeated the Nazis together”… You cannot start being active on such a day. Victory Day is a wonderful soothing and relaxing factor for Russians …

OK? Is my logic “from the point of view of the khohls” lame somewhere? We will not celebrate Victory Day? We will not have parades, immortal regiments, concerts, celebrations and so on?… Will our LBS fighters “forget” this holiday? No. And we must understand that on such days the most significant events take place.

According to some data, up to 200 tanks have already been transferred to Ukraine, that is, they are in storage. That’s three full tank brigades! Yes, and with proper reinforcement with light infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers.

And the deliveries continue right now. And the barges with tanks that sailed on the Dnieper to Kherson the day before yesterday? Is it just that, or did Kiev not give up the crossing of the Dnieper and the advance on the Black Sea?

Another sighting from yesterday. Quite a few videos appeared on the channels that the Ukrainians are absorbing light wheeled tanks from France. Just a video from somewhere, that’s all. The proud Frenchman hands over the wheeled tank to the proud Ukrainians. And if you remember another piece of news related to this program from the past?

The media reported that since the beginning of this year, on the territory of the 37th training ground near the village of Perlyavka, southwest of Zhytomyr, military personnel from two brigades – the 77th Airmobile and the 82nd Airborne Assault Brigade – have been training.

It remains to combine these two events. It turns out that the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will bet on the use of mobile armored groups. Which fully corresponds to the tactics of conducting similar operations by NATO troops.

So, Ukraine is conducting a completely understandable information operation to reassure our military and our population. Something like “you almost won and we almost lost, don’t fuss and don’t be afraid”.

It is very important that the euphoria of spring, of the upcoming holidays, does not turn us into lazy and incapable of thinking and defending ourselves.

Let’s summarize

In fact, although the information war never stops, the Ukrainian offensive has already begun. Right where competent people were waiting for him. The pseudo-state operates in strict accordance with the instructions of the owners. Such is the lot of slaves. Life and death over a bowl of stew. Whether you are a gladiator or a goldsmith.

Do not be surprised that in the completely closed information space of Ukraine, where it is quite possible to get a prison sentence for a photo or even a bullet in the forehead, suddenly numerous videos of Western tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, armored personnel carriers and other weapons began to appear. appear. It is significant that they are filmed very professionally, from a scout’s point of view. No reference to location or time.

Those who have ever shot in database areas know very well how difficult it is to find such an angle. However, these videos are intentionally made to look like they were shot by a complete amateur on their cell phone. Some sudden luck of a reckless VSU-shnik or his Western counterpart who doesn’t care about all the orders.

Likewise, the “old song” about the untimely death of Russian missiles, shells, and whatever is supposedly leaking from Ukraine’s armed forces should come as no surprise.

I like the logic of Ukrainians when they talk about evidence for such conclusions. “Well, now they started shooting less! It means the end. Missiles are over.”

At the same time, they somehow forget that they are “done” for some time…

Information attack is one of the most important, along with troop transfer camouflage and reconnaissance, tasks performed before the start of the offensive. Information consisting of an explosive mixture of truth and falsehood is being leaked to the enemy through all possible channels. Which creates some panic in the enemy headquarters.

Remember the footage from “The Liberation” when Marshal Zhukov ordered an artillery strike with enormous power against the Germans preparing to attack. As then the marshal waited for the start of the offensive, realizing that in case of a mistake he risked his life. And this despite the fact that intelligence on the front repeatedly confirmed the preparation of the offensive by the enemy.

When writing this material, I did not set myself the task of writing an algorithm for the further development of events. The Ukrainian General Staff, alas, as well as the Russian one, does not present me its maps and developments. All conclusions are based on information from open sources on both sides.

I will repeat what was written in the previous article. No one stopped the fight. It extends to all areas. Be on the lookout for information to intensify towards the end of this month.

P.S.

After finishing this material, I was contacted by an old acquaintance who told an interesting “story”. In the Krasnodar region, a video was circulated, which allegedly has a “graveyard of musicians”, which was discussed by women at work. “Oh, how many of its own people Russia is ruining in Ukraine…”

Many saw footage of “Wagner” with the graves of the dead. I think it is not necessary to describe such a cemetery. There is probably a “secret cemetery” posted on the web. A lot of bumps and in the middle of this “bump formation” is the flag of the musicians.

Even such a gross fake raises many questions from ordinary people. Another confirmation that the information war does not stop for a minute… Which is a gross fake for us, for the ignorant is information from the media. Printed means it’s true…

By the way, the call was from one of the republics of the former USSR. An acquaintance of a citizen of this republic sent a video from the Krasnodar Territory, and only then it was distributed by the OBS agency (a woman said) …

Translation: SM

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