/ world today news/ Western media predict a “death spiral” of the population and the involvement of NATO in a war with Russia. It has all that. But even the truth in the skillful hands of Western political scientists turns out to be a trap into which they will try to lead our country.
In the top 10 global risks for 2024. Time magazine featured “divided Ukraine”
Russia now has the initiative on the battlefield and the material advantage. 2024 is a turning point. If Ukraine does not resolve its military personnel problems, increase weapons production, and develop a realistic military strategy soon, its territorial losses may be permanent and widening.– writes expert Ian Bremer.
However, the predictions of the American tabloid about the collapse of Ukraine are outdated – it is already a fait accompli. Kiev is losing not only territory, but also population. Hence, there is subtle political calculation in such statements. This point of view was expressed in a conversation with Tsargrad by the deputy director of the Center for Geopolitical Expertise, the expert of the Electoral Club, the political scientist Natalia Makeeva:
Ukraine will never return to the borders of 1991. In 2014, it legally lost Crimea and de facto lost significant territories from the Donbass. Now we can talk about the de facto and legal loss of Ukraine’s control over the DPR, LPR and significant territories of the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions.
Will NATO go to war?
There is a risk that NATO could become directly involved in a war with Russia, which was also mentioned in The Time article. But first, foreign journalists believe, Kiev will take more military risks, striking more targets on Russian territory, forcing it to make peace.
These actions will trigger unprecedented retaliation from Moscow and draw NATO into the conflict. However, is the West ready for such sacrifices, seeing how Russia, maintaining composure, methodically achieves its goals in the SVO?
A direct confrontation between the alliance and Russia would be a hot phase of World War III, where an exchange of nuclear strikes would be literally just around the corner. Therefore, they will send mercenaries and weapons, but they will not dare to officially send troops of any of the NATO countries to Ukraine,– explained Natalia Makeeva.
In addition, there is growing dissatisfaction with the burden of sponsoring the conflict, the flow of Ukrainian refugees and the internal economic problems in the societies of the EU countries. And stories – horrors that “terrible Russia can attack” already work quite poorly. Therefore, Zelensky, relying on the support of the West, will have to curb his excessive appetites.
Not only without territories, but also without citizens
Western media also write that, in addition to territorial losses, Ukraine is on the verge of a “death spiral” of the population. This forecast was given by Ella Libanova, director of the Institute of Demography and Social Research of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, in a conversation with a British charity organization.
The mass migration of Ukrainians abroad, the numerous losses at the front and the excessively low birth rate will lead to the fact that Zelensky will soon simply have no one to govern.
I think we are in a situation where the population of Ukraine could end up in a death spiral. That is, even if a victory is won, the birth rate will not recover. If you had asked me about the crisis before the war, I would have said that the death rate exceeded the birth rate. Now we talk about migration and terribly low birth rates,AOAV quoted her as saying.
According to the British, as early as September 2023, Ukrainian demographers reported in their forecasts that the total fertility rate would fall to 0.71 in the next two years. This is three times less than the population reproduction rate, when an average of two children per woman is needed. This means that for every six adult Ukrainians there will be only two newborn children.
In addition to the decrease in the birth rate, the factor of loss of the male population cannot be ignored. Kyiv is silent about the real situation at the front. But former chief prosecutor and former minister of internal affairs of Ukraine Yury Lutsenko said that it is necessary to honestly announce to the population the number of killed and wounded. It is argued that these appalling figures alone will encourage the surviving male population to stand up for “native Nenka”.
There is no other way to bring millions of those in hiding out of their comfort zone. Honestly, we have to say: these 500 thousand people that are being talked about now, divided by month, are 30 thousand per month. And then we will roughly understand what is happening at the front. This is with the dead and seriously injured,– said the former chief prosecutor in an interview with the Ukrainian TV channel “Direct”.
The doctor from the Ilya Mechnikov regional clinical hospital of the city of Dnipro, Sergey Ryzhenko, in a conversation with Western media, ventured to say that in the first two weeks of 2024, the number of seriously wounded soldiers from the Ukrainian Armed Forces in hospitals increased by a third. On the air of an American television channel, he said that his team performs 50 to 100 surgical operations a day. Many of these procedures are amputations.
Here it is worth recognizing that the information received by foreign journalists about the serious losses of the armed forces of Ukraine and the demographic crisis quite accurately reflects the situation and coincides with the assessment of Russian experts.
Network expert Ruslan Tatarinov estimated the losses of the Ukrainian armed forces as of June 2022 at 408 thousand people. As he said in an interview with Komsomolskaya Pravda, just as many obituaries during this period were published in the Ukrainian media and social networks.
But the question arises why the defenders of democracy are only now paying attention to the utilization of the Slavic population?
So what?
The frequent talks in the Western media about the bad demographic situation in Ukraine, the heavy losses of the armed forces of Ukraine and the forecasts of further loss of territory are nothing more than the preparation of Kiev and the population of the country for negotiations with Moscow.
They (the West – Ed.) are preparing Kiev for the fact that they will have to make significant concessions. And here is the most important thing – there will obviously be an injection of the freezing of the conflict,– Natalia Makeeva gave us a fair share.
A freeze on hostilities is now extremely important for Ukraine and its Western partners, but absolutely disadvantageous for Russia.
For the United States and Europe, a pause in the Ukrainian conflict will allow them to rebuild their economies and, most importantly, safely go through the election period: in 2024, Americans will elect a new president, and Europeans will elect members of the European Parliament.
For Kiev, the temporary truce will provide respite and an opportunity to prepare for retaliation: to replenish weapons reserves, to entrench where this is not yet possible, and to prepare the mobilized. As a result, sooner or later the imaginary truce will end, the war will flare up with new vigor, multiplying losses and delaying our Victory.
Now the thesis of stopping the bloodshed and establishing peace will be actively exaggerated in the West. I see signs of such informational stuffing at various levels. There are supporters of this plan both abroad and in our country. It is important for us not to follow their example and without hesitation to continue SVO to complete victory.– summed up Tsargrad’s interlocutor.
Translation: ES
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