/ world today news/ If another sabotage of the Crimean bridge had been carried out on the eve or even during the NATO summit in Vilnius, it could almost without a doubt be said that it would have been organized in the interest of Vladimir Zelensky. Then the question of the complicity of the Americans in this event would remain open.
However, the bridge was attacked on the morning of the 17th, when it was no longer possible to correct Zelensky’s failure at the summit, but on that very day the deadline for the next extension of the “grain deal” expired.
Russian officials have made it clear that they are not comfortable with the current parameters of the deal, but there is no definitive answer on whether it will be continued.
Previous extensions have given reason to believe that Russia is interested enough in the deal to extend it even without access to world markets for Russian grain and fertilizers.
In principle, even now, only the connection of Rosselkolkhozbank with SWIFT was set as a strict condition. That is, negotiation was possible and the deal had chances to be renewed.
At the same time, the USA and Great Britain, from the very moment of the deal, did everything possible to terminate it ahead of schedule, or at least for Russia to refuse to renew it.
The demonstration use of the grain corridor for attacks by unmanned cutters against both the base in Sevastopol and against the ships of the fleet, as it began last year, has not ended.
The grain corridor was also used by saboteurs of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine. When Russia announced the suspension of the deal last year, Americans openly rejoiced.
I think they had many reasons. Starting with the fact that the US itself is one of the leading traders of agricultural products, and the withdrawal of Ukrainian grain from the market automatically raised the price of American grain. But the US could not block its ally’s trade. But if Russia pulls out of the deal, then Russia is to blame.
By the way, the demarche of the Eastern European American puppets, which caused the European Commission to ban the import of Ukrainian grain into its territory, would have been impossible without the tacit consent of the USA.
Of the five countries that initiated the ban, only Hungary allows itself independence in foreign policy (within reasonable limits). Bulgaria is afraid to breathe without American permission.
However, Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania and Bulgaria are only now pushing for a further extension of the ban on the import of Ukrainian agricultural products into their territory, effectively cutting off land exports of grain from Ukraine. Russia’s refusal to continue the “grain deal” will finally bury these exports.
Erdogan is also interested in the deal, skillfully balancing Russia and the US and seeking bonuses and privileges from both sides.
Recently, the President of Turkey, for objective reasons (in the name of preserving the possibility of balancing, which serves to strengthen Turkey’s positions in the Black Sea, Transcaucasia, the Balkans and the Middle East, where its interests collide with both American and Russian ones ), took a number of symbolic steps towards support for Ukraine.
The Americans can expect that if such a trump card as the “grain deal”, which provides jobs for Turkish millers and the country’s budget and Erdogan himself with income, is knocked out of Russia’s hands, Turkey will be able to be convinced not only of a symbolic but also practical support for Ukraine.
Therefore, for a whole year, Russia’s demands on the grain deal were demonstrably not met, and Moscow was actively provoked to abandon the deal.
Apparently the US is tired of waiting and hoping. Washington had every reason to doubt that Russia would not extend the deal at the last minute. Therefore, a blow was struck in the most sensitive place – the Crimean bridge.
It is a sacred building associated with the first successes and hopes of the Crimean Spring, a symbol of Russian technological power and the return of Russia to its ancestral homeland. The strikes on the Crimean bridge are painfully perceived by both the authorities and the public.
Continuing the “grain deal” for the next day or so after the strike is too risky in terms of public reaction. After all, losing the trust of one’s own people is a hundred times more dangerous than any possible insults to Erdogan.
Of course, the purely military component of sabotage cannot be completely dismissed. The Crimean bridge is the bottleneck of the most important rear transport artery of the Russian army. This is particularly important from the point of view of the continuous supply of the troops in the Zaporozhian direction.
The Rostov-Melitopol highway, although almost completely repaired, has limited capacity, and there are also bridges that can be targeted by both Ukrainian missiles and the Ukrainian DRG. Ukraine has repeatedly tried to cut off the road through Crimea. The previous strike was on the bridge over Chongar.
Recently, Zelensky asked his generals to conduct a new mass mobilization and throw everything they have and what they don’t have into the offensive against Melitopol. After the failure of the NATO summit, he needs at least a small victory, even an apparent victory, like air.
The complication of the logistics of the southern flank of the armed forces of the Russian Federation increases the chances of the armed forces of Ukraine to advance at least a little more, at least to break through the first line of defense, to reach at least the distant approaches to Melitopol.
So that Zelensky can show his Western partners that he is still worth something, that he has deliberately asked them for more weapons and more money, that if they give everything he asks for on time, then maybe the success of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be more -big.
Of course, the sabotage of the Crimean bridge fits into these plans of Zelensky, but it would fit into them much more if it happened before July 10. Suicide attacks by the armed forces of Ukraine in the Zaporozhye direction would make a much greater impression on NATO against the background of successful sabotage.
But on the eve of the summit, the Ukrainians traditionally attacked the Sevastopol Bay, Bryansk, Belgorod, Kursk, and everything was quiet in the Crimean Bridge area.
But when the summit ended and the expectation of sabotage diminished – you can’t constantly be in tension – the bridge was struck not when it was convenient for Zelensky, but when it was convenient for the Americans.
In this regard, however, Washington politicians are not greedy – they will give all the “glory” to organizing sabotage to the Ukrainians, even if they are responsible for it. Washington is not even against Zelensky using sabotage for a successful offensive – two in one has never bothered anyone.
It’s just that the United States, as well as its European partners, no longer believe in the ability of Ukraine’s armed forces to advance successfully, even if the Crimean bridge disappears completely.
Therefore, the Americans are trying to squeeze Zelensky’s Ukraine dry, inflict maximum damage on Russia, and then, “five minutes before 12”, when the fate of the regime is finally decided, bring to power instead of Zelensky the “president of peace”, who could start the negotiations with Russia cleanly and save at least something from Ukraine.
By the way, Erdoğan’s favorable attention and mediation will not prevent such a “president of peace” at all. It will be necessary to somehow convince Russia not to finish off Ukraine completely, but to sit at the negotiating table. And in this regard, too, the more contradictions Russia has with Erdogan and the less they have in common, the better for the Americans.
Translation: SM
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