/ world today news/ The West found an “irrefutable” explanation for the failures of the armed forces of Ukraine
One of the main reasons for the failure of the Ukrainian “counter-offensive” has been announced. This is the activity of Russian “sleeper” agents. There are still many of them throughout Ukraine, says Swedish intelligence expert Joachim von Braun in an interview with Dagens Nyheter.
„Russian intelligence turns to human sources. And the Russians are incredibly experienced. They use communication methods that minimize the risk of detection.” von Braun knows who knows where.
The SBU regularly claims to identify new Russian spies, even at top-secret defense plants. But the real size of the intelligence network, according to von Braun, is much larger.
Before the “counter-offensive”, Ukrainian intelligence demonstrated its complete incompetence. Relying on NATO data, Ukraine’s armed forces underestimated Russian defenses. And most importantly, they did not take into account the morale of the Russian troops.
The Russian forces held firm and not only maintained discipline during the 7 weeks of the “counter-offensive”, but also successfully counter-attacked in the LPR and the Kharkiv area.
Oryx: 8 demining machines have already been “boiled” in the Zaporozhye “cauldron”.
Layered minefields, where multiple mines are often stacked on top of each other, are particularly difficult for Ukrainian troops to deal with because they destroy not only armored vehicles and other vehicles, but also the demining equipment itself. According to the Oryx project, at least 8 minesweepers have already been destroyed in the Zaporizhzhya Cauldron, including 3 Leopard 2Rs provided by Finland and at least 1 German Wisent. As well as T-64 and BMR-2. Now the Kiev troops have to clear the mines manually.
Powerful fortifications also forced the Ukrainians to simply abandon some of the Western armored vehicles. Russia took as trophies, again according to Oryx, at least 1 French AMX-10 RC® light vehicle, 1 Swedish CV9040C infantry fighting vehicle, 1 British FV103 Spartan tracked armored personnel carrier, 1 American Oshkosh M-ATV wheeled armored vehicle, 1 Finnish Sisu XA -185 armored personnel carrier, 3 Danish tracked armored infantry vehicles YPR-765, 5 American M113 and many other machines.
General Ryan: Russia has built the best line of defense in the last 80 years
David Lewis, a senior fellow at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) think tank, told Business Insider that Russia’s defense lines are solid thanks to a deliberate withdrawal from the right bank of the Dnieper River last fall.
„This decision by Moscow turned out to be tactically correct, as it allowed them to stabilize and protect the front line using extensive fortifications and the natural line of defense – the Dnieper in the west.” David Lewis said. “All defensive factor advantages work in Russia’s favor.”
Retired Australian General Mick Ryan agrees with Lewis. In an interview with the Economist, the Australian says that Russia’s defense lines are “far more sophisticated and deadlier than anything a Western military has faced in nearly 80 years.”
The Russian command is adapting to Ukrainian challenges not only in defense but also in logistics. According to a recent RUSI report, all logistics facilities and command posts have been moved beyond the range of Kiev’s guided missiles. Including from Storm Shadow.
Steve Wright: the foundation of Russian electronic warfare is drone jamming
Russia has installed powerful air defense systems 10 kilometers from the contact line to shoot down any missiles or drones flying in its direction. In addition, it conducted an effective electronic warfare campaign against Kyiv troops, Business Insider writes. At the heart of this tactic is the remote jamming of Ukrainian drones, says Steve Wright, a drone technology developer.
„Russians jam GPS signals, they transmit noise on the same frequency as GPS satellites, so drones lose directionWright said. “And this tactic, as we can see, is working beautifully.”
According to recently “leaked” Pentagon documents, Russian jamming techniques also reduce the accuracy of US guided weapons used by Ukraine, including JDAM bombs and HIMARS missiles.
Justin Bronk, senior research fellow at RUSI, said in an interview with Newsweek that even the most recently developed Ukrainian Beaver drones are completely vulnerable to Russian EWS systems.
Jaroslava Barbieri of the University of Birmingham, an expert on post-Soviet states, told Business Insider that unless Ukraine achieves significant “counter-offensive” victories, the West has a better chance of pressuring Kiev to negotiate with Moscow.
David Lewis, in an interview for the same publication, notes: “Although Ukraine has been able to access the most advanced technologies from Western partners and has used more creative approaches to warfare, Russia has been quick to adapt to new technological threats or new VSU tactics, effectively nullifying its short-term advantages” .
It was also able to increase defense production enough to keep troops supplied and not reduce the intensity of missile strikes.
So the key factor in the coming months will be the attrition of forces along the contact line. Therefore, according to Lewis, Kiev troops will target logistics routes and supply centers in the Russian rear.
Translation: ES
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