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The Runoff in Sofia: An Analysis of Vasil Terziev and Vanya Grigorova’s Electoral Support

The difference between Vasil Terziev and Vanya Grigorova is within 10%, he is going down and she is going up. If this distance is maintained, it is surmountable.
This opinion expressed before BNR the sociologist Andrey Raichev. According to him, anyone who says they know what will happen in the runoff in Sofia is mistaken.

The ITN electorate is distinctly anti-PP, which will flow to Grigorova. It is not clear how the GERB electorate would vote, and “Vazrazhdane” have always played alone. The supporters of Vili Lilkov are in a situation of “choosing between the red party and the DS”, both opposite to them, “rather, a large part of them will stay at home”, the sociologist made an overview about the possible support for the two candidates in the runoff.

According to Raichev, PPs are isolated in the country.

“There is an element of arrogance in the whole thing, which inevitably and always leads to isolation. They act like basically unpunished people. This posture for them is a loser. If they fall under the effect of “all against themselves”, it will be very unpleasant. “

The scandal with the voting machines is accidental and has no far-fetched Richelieu plan, expressed Raichev’s opinion in the program “Before Everyone”. According to him, the PP managed to raise the electorate, but at a high price – everyone else said “eeeeee” and we will see this “eeeeee” next Sunday”.

GERB was showered with love from the Gerbers, it lost power not through the collapse of its own electorate, but because others said – “enough is enough”, he reminded.

Inside the red party, there has been a big collapse for several years, and for the first time in years the left has gained momentum, pointed out Andrey Raichev.

“Mrs. Grigorova is the first case of a hopeful who flashes that something is going in the opposite direction. Grigorova managed to pull her ticket up as well. This is a very big personal success. She is a very young and inexperienced politician. Between the two rounds, she must to succeed in wooing two hard-to-woo electorates – GERB and Vazrazhdane.

“The big assemblage will solve the small assemblages. I don’t think this marriage of convenience, of disgust – they don’t love each other, they’re waiting for it to end, but this assemblage is geopolitically motivated. The factors that cause it are the things that hold it. I’m not her fan, but she’s important for Bulgaria. She’s strong, she’s strong, and I don’t think they’ll spoil her big time. These elections didn’t turn out to be fatal for the assembly. Borisov and DPS don’t plan to spoil the work. They’re running out of time on time, they say A, but they don’t say B. PP, for its part, still seems to be satisfied with having ministers. They believe in their knowledge of how to fix Bulgaria,” commented Andrey Raichev.

2023-10-30 05:55:00


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