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The referendums to join Russia put Ukraine at risk of partition

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and organize Cherson Located in southern Ukraine and under the control of Russian forces, a referendum on membership Fly From 23 to 27 September.

It also declared pro-Russian separatist territories in the region Donbass He will organize a similar referendum in the same period.

Republican leaders Denis Pushlin and Leonid Pasechnik agreed Donetsk The Lugansk and Lugansk peoples, which Russian President Vladimir Putin recognized as independent states shortly before the war against Ukraine began on Tuesday, simultaneously planned to vote to join Russia.

What does Moscow say about these referendums?

What do analysts and observers think?

Observers believe these regions intend to organize referendums to join for Russia It is actually linked to Moscow and that these referendums will only be a foregone conclusion, which means, according to them, that through these referendums Ukraine will be disintegrated as a state.

Russian analysts believe that Moscow can wave this referendum card to curb Ukrainian military progress and to push the West to review its arms policies in support of Ukraine, and to later use them as negotiating power cards to resolve the conflict. .

Professor Hassan Momani International relations And the dispute resolution told the site "Sky News Arabia": "This is a step, albeit foreseen, that will constitute a major Russian escalation of the conflict, and it is a literal reproduction of the experience of Crimea, in the rest of the Russian-controlled areas in Ukraine, and therefore this step is either an instrument of intentional pressure to to strengthen the Russian position on the ground and in negotiations, or it is to create a fait accompli that is established or be recognized by Kiev in the context of a certain agreement at a later date, or to remain as a state over the years similar to the case of the North Cyprus".

Tomorrow: "It is clear that the war in Ukraine is a spiraling conflict in the sense that there are mutual escalating steps in the theater of operations, where the Russian military has had the upper hand on the ground, but with the passage of time and the flow of quality Le Western weapons in Kiev and the friction of the Russians, Ukrainian forces began to take back part of the initiative and even managed to recover areas previously controlled by the Russians. Therefore, the mastery of the situation since the beginning of the war has been escalating to controlled degrees as a tactical rather than strategic escalation, so that one of the conflicting parties can resolve the issue, but these referendums can change this exact pace of the war.".

Will these referendums be recognized internationally?

Where will the polls take place?

He said this in an interview with Lana Dafan, a researcher in international relations at the Moscow Higher School of Economics "Sky News Arabia" What these polls "An urgent Russian response to Washington’s persistence in arming and inciting Kiev, which will take place in 4 regions, including Lugansk, Donetsk and Kherson and ZaporozhyeAnd even before it was organized, the citizens of those regions bonded with Russia through Russian ruble monetary relations and the adoption of the Russian language In addition to ensuring that their regions are connected with rail and road transport to Russian lands and guaranteeing them Russian passports".

Badfan continued: "These areas are practically subject to Russia and Moscow’s success in preserving them after its annexation largely depends on its ability to pump investment and funds into them to improve the economic and development reality in them, after they have suffered discrimination and neglect. by the Kiev authorities, despite containing resources and natural wealth great".

He concluded his speech by saying: "The announcement is related to the capacity building of the Ukrainian army, which now has enormous military equipment, and enjoys strong Western armament, logistical and intelligence support, to the extent that it already aspires to restore the various lands controlled by the Russians, especially that the battles are now raging in LuhanskMoscow has responded by speeding up the steps to join that region through referendums, which should be organized very soon. With the annexation of these areas soon to the Russian Federation, any of their targets by Kiev will mean an attack on Russian lands, which will give Russia the right to declare full war on Ukraine and a general mobilization.".

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and organize Cherson Located in southern Ukraine and under the control of Russian forces, a referendum on membership Fly From 23 to 27 September.

It also declared pro-Russian separatist territories in the region Donbass He will organize a similar referendum in the same period.

Republican leaders Denis Pushlin and Leonid Pasechnik agreed Donetsk The Lugansk and Lugansk peoples, which Russian President Vladimir Putin recognized as independent states shortly before the war against Ukraine began on Tuesday, simultaneously planned to vote to join Russia.

What does Moscow say about these referendums?

What do analysts and observers think?

Observers believe these regions intend to organize referendums to join for Russia It is actually linked to Moscow and that these referendums will only be a foregone conclusion, which means, according to them, that through these referendums Ukraine will be disintegrated as a state.

Russian analysts believe that Moscow can wave this referendum card to curb Ukrainian military progress and to push the West to review its arms policies in support of Ukraine, and to later use them as negotiating power cards to resolve the conflict. .

Professor Hassan Momani International relations And the conflict resolution told Sky News Arabia: “This is a step, albeit foreseen, that will constitute a major Russian escalation of the conflict, and is a literal reproduction of the experience of Crimea, in the rest of the Russian-controlled areas in Ukraine and negotiation, or it is to create a fait accompli that is established to be recognized by Kiev in the context of a certain agreement later, or to remain as a situation that has existed over the years along the lines of the North Cyprus“.

Momani: “It is clear that the war in Ukraine is a spiral conflict in the sense that there are mutual escalating steps in the theater of operations, where the Russian army has had the upper hand on the ground, but with the passage of time and the flow of qualitative Western weapons to Kiev and the exhaustion of the Russians, Ukrainian forces began to take back part of the initiative and even managed to even from the recovery of areas previously controlled by the Russians, and thus control of the situation from the very beginning of war is escalating to controlled degrees as a tactical rather than strategic escalation so that one of the warring parties can resolve the issue, but these referendums can change this exact pace of the war.

Will these referendums be recognized internationally?

Where will the polls take place?

Lana Dafan, researcher in international relations at the Moscow Higher School of Economics, in an interview with “Sky News Arabia” felt that these referendums are “an urgent Russian response to Washington’s persistence in arming and inciting Kiev, and yes they will play in 4 regions, including Lugansk, Donetsk and Kherson “. and ZaporozhyeAnd even before it was organized, the citizens of those regions bonded with Russia through Russian ruble monetary relations and the adoption of the Russian language As well as ensuring that their regions are connected with rail and road transport to Russian lands and granting them Russian passports“.

And Bafan continued: “These areas are practically subject to Russia, and Moscow’s success in preserving them after their annexation largely depends on its ability to pump investments and funds into them to improve the economic and development reality in them. after they have been victims of discrimination and neglect by the Kiev authorities, despite containing resources and natural wealth great”.

He concluded his speech by saying: “The announcement is related to the development of the capabilities of the Ukrainian army, which now has enormous military equipment and enjoys strong Western armament, logistical and intelligence support, to the extent that it already aspires. to reconquer the various lands controlled by the Russians, especially that the battles are now raging in LuhanskMoscow has responded by speeding up the steps to join that region through referendums, which should be organized very soon. With the annexation of these areas soon to the Russian Federation, any of their targets by Kiev will mean an attack on Russian lands, which will give Russia the right to declare full war on Ukraine and a general mobilization.

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