The journalist asked how effectively the head of the Kremlin “trades in chaos”, recalling the accumulation of Russian troops near the border of Ukraine and migrants in Belarus on the border with Poland.
“The West is forced to react to this. But there is a reaction of orderlies. Orderlies also have to somehow react to some events in the wards entrusted to them. And if orderlies in a panic run around with syringes and shirts after someone, this does not mean that this someone, jumping from them on the beds, is playing some kind of subtle, complex and interesting game,” Nevzorov explained.
The publicist believes that Putin can start a big war.
“Putin can take risks, but this is his last card. It is infinitely risky for him. That’s when he no longer has a single trump card, when he no longer has a single hope left, when he does not have a single move, then yes, he will go for it,” suggested Nevzorov.
Spring 2021 Russia build up troops near the border with Ukraine and in the occupied Crimea. At the end of October, the American media began to report that Russia again pulling troops to the border with Ukraine.
Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council (NSDC) of Ukraine Oleksiy Danilov reported on December 22 that in the zone 200 km from the country’s border there are 122 thousand Russian military.
The United States and NATO have repeatedly urged Russia to de-escalate tensions at the border.
U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Victoria Nuland said in an interview with the Financial Times on January 15, 2022 that USA has 18 different scenarios in the event of a Russian invasion of Ukraine. The Kremlin replied that “they are also considering different scenarios”.
The White House announced on January 18 that Russia can start an invasion at any moment to Ukraine. In particular, the United States is concerned the movement of Russian troops for exercises in Belarus.
On January 24, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky said after a meeting of the National Security and Defense Council that in Ukraine everything is under control and there is no reason to panic.
Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksiy Reznikov said on the same day that Russia has not created a single strike force, which would indicate the preparation of its invasion of Ukraine. According to Danilov, a full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine today is impossible.
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