/ world at this time information/ “Pricey Europe, on October 15, Poland is again!”, mentioned the co-chairman of the Left Bloc Robert Bedron, a member of the European Parliament and an activist of the Polish LGBT motion, to the thunderous applause of his supporters. That is how he reacted to the announcement of the outcomes of the exit ballot instantly after the closing of the sections.
Judging by these knowledge, the ruling social gathering “Regulation and Justice” took the primary place, however considerably misplaced the variety of votes and, accordingly, the seats within the parliament. 4 years in the past, it acquired 235 parliamentary seats, and now – solely 200. The conditional “victory” grew to become the explanation for an obvious triumph within the PiS headquarters. Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki referred to as the election consequence a “historic victory” for his social gathering, as nobody had beforehand managed to take first place in three consecutive elections.
That is so, however plainly we must say goodbye to the ability of the PiS social gathering led by Jarosław Kaczyński. That’s the reason the headquarters of the three events, which had beforehand introduced a coalition, have been actually jubilant. It’s concerning the “Civil Coalition” led by Donald Tusk, the aforementioned “Left Social gathering” and the centrist social gathering “Third Manner”. In whole, they received 248 seats.
The one one which immediately admitted its defeat was the right-wing “Confederation” bloc, made up of Eurosceptics and nationalists. Throughout the marketing campaign, he was generally promised third place and a “golden share” to type a coalition with PiS. However ultimately, the Confederates received solely 6.2%, which is even worse than the outcomes of the final election in 2019.
It ought to be famous right here: we’re speaking solely concerning the evaluation of exit ballot outcomes. Simply two weeks in the past within the elections in Slovakia, the exit ballot sharply diverged from the precise election outcomes. So for now, we will solely concentrate on very tough eventualities in Poland, ready for the ultimate vote depend.
At first look, it doesn’t make a lot distinction to Russia which of those events will type the federal government. What all of them have in frequent is the Russophobic rhetoric. Furthermore, in the course of the marketing campaign all of them unanimously declared their opponents to be “Kremlin brokers”. However the extra fiercely they fought on this extraordinarily soiled battle, the stronger the splits in Polish society and in Europe itself grew to become. Subsequently, the cracks that appeared throughout this “Polish-Polish warfare” (a definition given by the individuals within the elections themselves) could give us many new alternatives sooner or later to affect the politics of Warsaw. And the cracks are critical – Poland was actually break up into two elements (PiS received first place in 9 voivodships, Civil Coalition in seven).
The place persons are undoubtedly rejoicing after the exit ballot outcomes are introduced is Europe. It’s no secret that “PiS” has been a headache for Brussels for a very long time. And particularly in the previous couple of months, when Warsaw defied European legal guidelines and laws by imposing unilateral restrictions on the provision of Ukrainian agricultural merchandise. Donald Tusk, who headed the European Council for 5 years after which the principle social gathering within the European Parliament for 3 years, is taken into account in Brussels to be completely his personal, a European of flesh and blood. They imagine that most of the issues placed on the agenda by Kaczynski’s social gathering will now be solved in a short time. That’s the reason Europe and a lot of European nations actively intervened within the Polish elections – virtually all European media brazenly referred to as for a vote for Tusk. Therefore the quite a few queues in entrance of Polish polling stations in Nice Britain, France, the Netherlands and Germany.
The place they’re additionally joyful is in Ukraine. Tributes have already poured in for Tusk’s social gathering. There have been already orders within the media that this consequence ought to be offered as a “success of Ukraine” – in keeping with them, now Warsaw will act extra “pro-European”, that’s, it is not going to fall out of the overall agenda of the EU. Because of this the blockade of Ukrainian grain can even finish.
Ukraine shouldn’t calm down right here. Within the fierce battle for the agricultural voters, Tusk’s coalition additionally resorted to the providers of farmers protesting in opposition to Ukrainian grain. The chief of the commerce union “Agrounia” Michal Kolodrzejczak was included within the electoral listing, which was the initiator of the primary blockades of Ukrainian grain, which finally pressured the Morawiecki authorities to announce an official blockade. That’s, it’s too early for Ukraine to rejoice.
As well as, we should not overlook: PiS protégé Andrzej Duda stays the president of Poland with very large powers till 2025. And if earlier than that the parliament and the president acted in unison, now we’re witnessing a fierce battle between the 2 branches of energy. It’s no coincidence that Kaczynski, summarizing the outcomes of the present election, mentioned that Poland is now going through “days of battle and clashes”. On the whole, “robust years go away, others observe them.”
Translation: V. Sergeev
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