The summer regular games of the major regions of “League of Legends” are gradually coming to an end. Currently, the two most watched teams are Faker’s T1 and HPS, which have huge volumes in their respective regions, while LCK and PCS With only two weeks left, whether the two teams on the verge of the playoffs can advance has become the focus of recent community discussions.
The importance of Faker
After Faker took an indefinite rest due to a hand injury in early July, the head coach Bengi also resigned. After that, he suffered five losses in six games and was unable to win against the bottom BRO and DRX. Leaving aside the young player Poby who replaced Faker in the middle. Look, the game content of the other four players can be described as ridiculous, making the global audience realize that T1 without Faker is so vulnerable.
A few days ago, T1 head coach Tom said in an interview that T1 will not let Faker take risks to play for the sake of record, and the team is now aiming to keep the qualification for the playoffs.
Let’s first discuss the possibility of qualifying for the LCK playoffs from the perspective of T1. As of 7/26, KT, GEN, HLE and DK have been confirmed to advance, and there are still two places under 10 out of 6. T1 ranks fifth with 7W7L , followed by four teams with four victories, and finally DRX, the bottom team with only three victories.
In the next four games of T1, they will face DRX, KT, KDF and LSB in sequence. Except for the current No. For T1, which was unable to win even BRO and DRX a while ago, all defeats are possible.
Judging by the current LCK rankings, eight wins are guaranteed to advance to the playoffs, and then assuming the worst case of T1’s total defeat, the record will be 7W11L, and one win is guaranteed to advance, but if you want to advance to the four games, you must look at other teams Face – LCK regular match record will be compared with small points (win +1, loss -1), and then compare the results of the match, if they are all the same, there will be a rematch.
In order to get close to the actual situation of the great difference in the strength of the teams before and after this season in the LCK, the author here assumes that the teams competing with T1 for the playoff qualification “face the top four must lose” to calculate the subsequent promotion status.
BRO, which is currently ranked sixth, will play against LSB, NS, DRX and GEN. Assuming that it only loses to GEN and wins all other games, plus T1’s total defeat, BRO will still lose to T1 in ranking, but it is still possible to advance.
As NS, KDF, LSB and DRX will all face more than one front-tier team, the possibility of promotion is low. If other possibilities are to be calculated, then the situation will be too complicated. Of course, these four teams are still There is a silver lining.
From the above point of view, even if T1 loses all later, relying on Faker’s seven-win foundation, the possibility of advancing is still relatively high.
Opportunities for HPS
The next one is to discuss the possibility of advancing to the PCS playoffs from the perspective of HPS. At present, only PSG (11W1L) is sure to advance to the playoffs.
After the author’s comprehensive evaluation, 8 wins in PCS should keep the qualification for the playoffs, and even advance directly, so JT (10W2L), BYG (9W3L) and CFO (8W4L) also have a high probability of advancing, while DWT (0W12L) who lost all Basically eliminated with IMP (2W10L) who only won DWT.
Note: As long as the PCS has the same record, regardless of the result of the battle, they will directly play an extra match.
The remaining four teams that have the opportunity to qualify for the playoffs are DCG, FAK, HPS and WP, and two teams will be selected to advance.
The following assumptions are made to infer: First, each team will lose to PSG and JT, which are currently in excellent condition and top two, and win the game against IMP and DWT. The results of the remaining games will be compared with the first round.
After the assumption, DCG has eight wins, WP is far behind, and only HPS and FAK are left. There is a high probability that the two teams will compete for the final spot in the playoffs.
The results of the two teams will be very close. FAK is assumed to be 7W10L and HPS is 6W11L. If HPS wants to advance, the battle with FAK on July 28 is the most critical: if FAK wins, the possibility of HPS being eliminated is extremely high, unless there is a follow-up HPS beat the other teams in a burst of anger; if HPS wins, both sides will be 7W11L, HPS still has a high probability to play against FAK, and must win in order to qualify for the playoffs.
To sum up, HPS’s promotion path is much more difficult than T1’s. Although HPS won FAK last time, but now FAK’s feeling is gradually warming up, whether it can win again is still in suspense, and T1 is very likely to advance even if it loses completely.
These two popular teams are supported by a huge amount of local support. Can the “Faker is coming” that Tongshen said come true? I will see the real chapter in two weeks.
2023-07-27 06:49:01
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