The fourth wave of the coronavirus pandemic is growing in Ukraine
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During the fourth wave of the pandemic, lower rates of new diseases and deaths are expected with high vaccination rates.
Predicting the dynamics of the fourth wave of the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic in Ukraine for 200 days in advance showed that it is at a growth stage. This is evidenced by the data research KPI and the Institute of Epidemiology and Infectious Diseases.
It is indicated that the new wave caused by the Delta strain may be fast, but shorter than the previous ones.
“Its peak is assumed at the level of 15,000-18,000 cases of morbidity per day. The extinction of the fourth wave is expected at the end of 2021. A significant factor in such a complication of the epidemic situation with COVID-19 is a significant weakening of quarantine in the summer early September, “the study says.
Scientists note that over the past 20 years, there has been a cyclical nature of pandemics of severe acute respiratory syndrome, swine flu, Ebola and COVID-19 – with a period of five to six years.
Using the methods of technical analysis of big data, the cyclical nature of the four waves of the COVID-19 pandemic process was also discovered in the time interval: January 2020 – September 2021.
“The results indicate a significantly lower rate of new diseases and deaths during the current fourth wave of the pandemic, compared with the second and third waves, in countries characterized by a high percentage of vaccinated populations,” the scientists note.
Let’s remind, for the day on September 22 in Ukraine recorded 7866 new cases of COVID-19… Among the sick there are 667 children and 175 health workers.
Meanwhile, in Ukraine already eight areas correspond to the “orange” zone… Only in two regions did all the epidemiological indicators correspond to the norm.
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