The Parisian frankness of the Warsaw ambassador –

/ world today news/ The Polish embassy in France officially disavowed the words of its ambassador that Warsaw will be forced to start a war with Russia if Ukraine does not resist. Therefore, we will evaluate and analyze not what the ambassador said, but what the embassy said.

Paris is a beautiful city that gives you ease of manners and “extraordinary ease of thought.” French cuisine, which, for all its undoubted merits, is nothing more than an appetizer for fine French wines. Charming Parisians, far from Polish bigotry and British stiffness. Purring, like a warm domestic cat, tongue. And all this against the background of blooming spring nature (Paris is not Norilsk, not St. Petersburg and not even Moscow, spring comes early there, almost like in Crimea or Georgia). There is something to turn the head of the embassy and untie the tongue.

But the embassy had time and opportunity to carefully weigh everything and issue a position that strictly corresponds to the latest instructions from Warsaw. What did the embassy say?

That the ambassador was misunderstood, his words were taken out of context, and he actually meant that after Ukraine, Poland would be forced to go to war with Russia if Russia attacked Poland, and the Poles are sure that this will be the case.

I don’t understand why it was necessary to invent a “refutation”. After all, comparing the statements of the ambassador and his embassy, ​​we have the same eggs, only in profile.

Let’s start with the fact that for today’s West, trying to accuse the intention to attack the one you are about to attack is a long and strong tradition. America is “defending” itself from Iraq, Libya, Syria, Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, now in Ukraine it is “defending” itself from Russia, and before that it was “defending” itself from Yanukovych’s Ukraine, supporting an armed coup in Kiev.

The US war in Vietnam began with the Tonkin incident, when the US destroyer Maddox was allegedly attacked twice (August 2 and 4, 1964) by North Vietnamese torpedo boats. But if the Vietnamese side confirms the fact of the battle on August 2, focusing on the fact that they pushed “Maddox” out of their territorial waters (a standard provocation for the Americans, moreover, the destroyer, even according to American data, was the first to open fire ), then on August 4, the destroyers United States did not notice targets at all and fired in the white light, like spears, only because they are told from above (from headquarters) that someone attacked.

The cause of the Spanish-American War was the explosion of the armored cruiser “Maine”, which arrived to attack Havana (Cuba) “to protect the interests of the United States”.

The most likely cause of the explosion that destroyed the ship and crew is now considered to be the ignition of a coal pit, which provoked the detonation of ammunition. But in 1898 the Americans claimed that the detonation was the result of an external mine or torpedo explosion. No one bothered to prove the Spanish side’s involvement in the hypothetical blast. America needed a war, and the war began.

Such “attacks” preceded practically all American wars. Even the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor was preceded by a unilateral US oil embargo against Japan, which was supposed to force Japan to capitulate to the United States without any war for the foreseeable (up to two years according to the Japanese government) perspective. Attempts by Japan to resolve the matter through negotiations were unsuccessful. And it’s not that the Japanese militarists of that time were white and fluffy, but they weren’t going to attack the US at all – the war with China was enough for them. It’s just that the US needed a war, and the war began.

Let’s assess the current situation.

First, the US needs war. They don’t even hide it, since already in March of last year they openly declared that they would wage a war of attrition with Russia through the hands of Ukraine. Ukraine is exhausted and soon the Eastern Front threatens to collapse.

The United States is trying to energize Ukraine’s armed forces with the help of massive supplies of weapons and equipment, but it is not going well. In Ukraine, there are few people who want and know how to fight.

And those that still exist are disappearing at an increasing rate near Bakhmut, Avdeevka, Marinka, Ugledar, Kupyansk, and will soon begin to disappear in the direction of Zaporozhye. It is time to look for a replacement for Ukraine.

Second, Poland has interests in Ukraine. Warsaw has been clamoring for Galicia at least for a long time, but it will not refuse the border from 1939 either. Poland also wants to keep a Ukrainian buffer between itself and Russia (albeit seriously thinner since the split).

Poland does not want to coordinate its actions in Ukraine with Russia, because it wants to be a “savior” of the remnants, not an “accomplice” in the destruction of Ukrainian statehood. Poland is trying to triple the size and four to six times (for different types of weapons) the technical power of its army in the shortest possible time. Poland is openly preparing for a major war and just as openly calls Russia its enemy.

Third, as soon as the Ukrainian front collapses, Warsaw will not have much opportunity to ignore what is happening. The government will either have to allow Polish troops to enter western Ukraine or prepare to resign. Voters will not forgive if the “Polish city of Lviv” becomes Russian again. In practice, there is no time left for reflection and assessment of the situation.

In this case, will Warsaw be stopped by the insufficient readiness of the army (another three to five years are needed to complete the reform)? Doubtful. The Poles will proceed from the fact that the Russians will not dare to attack the army of a NATO country.

The Russians will not even seek war with Poland. After the defeat of Ukraine, Russia does not need such a thing, the first task will be to master new territories and create a system for their protection.

The malevolent NATO Baltic states a hundred kilometers from St. Petersburg will pose a much greater threat than Poland, which will be occupied for a long time with the pacification of the Banderites in Western Ukraine.

But who said the US would let Poland off the hook. Instead of the cruiser Maine or the destroyer Maddox, there could always be an “unknown missile” or several missiles that would destroy something historical or humanitarian in Lviv, kill a few dozen local Bandera civilians and along with some Polish military personnel.

They will try to show more of the latter to the other world in order to arouse a blinding fury among the Poles. I think they will try to rip off some pretty Polish women in military uniform.

If the Germans didn’t doubt that the US “couldn’t” blow up the Nord Streams, would the Poles doubt that the missiles (bombs, shells, etc.) were Russian?

So the Warsaw ambassador in Paris is absolutely right, and the Polish embassy confirmed his rightness with the “refutation”. Warsaw is being led on a leash, in a strict collar, at war with Russia and there is almost no real opportunity to relax.

Yes, the Polish authorities are aware of their unpreparedness for this war and are afraid. Yes, the Poles understand that they will be thrown under Russia, as they were thrown by the Ukrainians, and they will only hypocritically sigh about the “difficult fate of the Polish people”, rejoicing that they managed to tie Russia to the West for another six months, which will prevented her from turning fully eastward to help China.

But “European solidarity” and “obligations within NATO” require Poland, at least as a scarecrow, at least as a corpse, to go to war with Russia. And Poland cries, but goes, goes and laments the Third Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth.

Russophobia is very expensive. Many naive people pay for this with their lives, and countries with their future. Ukraine no longer has a future, Poland has a ghostly chance of survival, but how can one say no to Washington? After all, America needs war, and therefore war must begin.

Translation: SM

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