/ world today news/ The current stage of “play” – the search for points of concentration of efforts – can last at least another two weeks
In the last few months, the main topic of the information space has been the topic of the Ukrainian spring offensive.
Experts and commentators wonder when the infamous VSU offensive will begin and what should be considered its beginning? But the analysis of the military events of the last two weeks allows us to conclude that the offensive, announced for so long, has already begun. As we have already written more than once, this offensive will not look like a classic military operation in the spirit of the battles of the Second World War.
Rather, its analogues should be sought in the battles of September-October 2022 near Kherson and Kharkiv, when Ukrainian groups with continuous methodical attacks felt the weak areas of our defense and, feeling them, in certain places managed to “push” the front line line , then drove into the gaps created (the “infiltration” tactic) by their shock units.
Developed under American control and relying on American intelligence, the operation allowed the armed forces of Ukraine to repel Russian troops almost a hundred kilometers from Kharkiv without major battles and serious losses.
Today, the Armed Forces of Ukraine operate according to the same scheme. Unable to achieve strategic and operational surprise, the Ukrainian command and their American handlers are trying to confuse our command about their plans as much as possible with continuous local attacks.
At the same time, we are looking for places to “break through” the front line, to which reserves will be brought as quickly as possible and brought into battle to break through the second line of defense and develop an offensive in the depths of our defense zone.
It is at this stage that the accumulated reserves and the latest weapons will be used to the maximum. An important sign for the selection of places for carrying out main and auxiliary strikes will be the massive use of the long-range high-precision MLRS available to the Armed Forces, along the rear and the combat command and control bodies of the Russian Air Force, which are being clarified now, during current attacks.
At the same time, the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will act with maximum caution and prudence, realizing that it cannot afford to make a mistake with the place of delivery of the main strike and waste available resources in vain.
Therefore, the current stage of “playing around” – the search for a point of application of efforts – can last at least another two weeks, during which the Armed Forces of Ukraine will try to exhaust our front-line defending units as much as possible more and to misinform the Russian command about their intentions.
At the same time, the possibility cannot be ruled out that, having failed to break through our defenses, the armed forces of Ukraine will generally abandon the existing offensive plan and try to provoke us to it in order to trap us in counterattack and only then try to execute their plan.
Translation: ES
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