The new Dpcm is coming: from Sunday half of Italy is orange. State of emergency until April

Half of Italy could end up in the two high restriction lists from next Sunday: 9 regions and autonomous provinces risk orange and three even red. The latter color, with the most stringent measures, could be assigned to Lombardy, Emilia Romagna and Sicily. And the limitations set by the last Dpcm expiring on January 15th will remain in place for the next few weeks. In these hours, after the CDM, a new decree is ready to confirm the ban on moving between regions, closely linked to the extension of the state of emergency, which will remain so at least until April 30 (the CTS had asked to keep it until July 31 ).

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However, ‘lightening’ options are also appearing which, given the data, still seem far from being applied: the Government intends to provide also a fourth area, white, only with incidence under 50 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants and Rt under 1, without prejudice to the measures of the bezels and the spacing. Orange could instead be assigned to Lazio, Friuli Venezia-Giulia, Liguria, Puglia, Umbria, Marche, Piedmont, Trentino Alto Adige. In this band at the moment there are already Calabria, Veneto, Lombardy, Sicily and Emilia Romagna. Tuscany, Sardinia and Molise could remain in the yellow zone.

To clarify the picture will be the report of the monitoring cabin, of which we will have a draft already in the next few hours. The ordinances of the Minister of Health, Roberto Speranza, will come into force, however, only on Sunday 17 January while for Saturday 16 the prevailing hypothesis is that the current color remains valid. While waiting for the next dossier on the territories to end up on the table of the Minister of Health, it is the latter who announces numbers that are not at all comforting. Already in the information to the Chamber Roberto Speranza speaks of worsening figures. “At the national level – he explains – the intensive care employment rate returns to settle above the critical threshold of 30% and there is a dramatic change in the risk index attributed to the Regions: 12 regions and autonomous provinces are at high risk, 8 are at moderate risk of which 2 are progressing to high risk and only one region is at low risk “.

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All in the light of the next Dpcm which will come into force on January 16. The provision will maintain the main measures of the current decree, however providing criteria that will lower the thresholds for the inclusion of the regions in the orange or red zone. Among these, the lowering of the RT threshold and the intervention on the so-called ‘risk indices’: with 1 you automatically go to the orange zone, with 1.25 to the red zone. And all those classified as ‘high risk’ according to the 21 parameters could now also end in orange. Instead, it could only remain an indication, the current rule that allows a maximum of two people to go and visit relatives and friends once a day, as already happened during the Christmas holidays. The ski lifts are still closed while a window opens on the front of the cultural tourism of proximity: the museums could reopen in the regions in the yellow area.

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The ban on moving between regions, including the yellow ones, will also be confirmed, the curfew from 10pm to 5am and the opening of restaurants until 6pm in the yellow areas. The ban on take-away sales will then be introduced for bars starting at 6pm to avoid crowds caused by nightlife. But on this last point, negotiations are still open with the regions, which are asking to limit the ban on take-out to drinks only. An aspect that will probably be decided in these hours, after the meeting of the government with the Regions, convened by the Minister for Autonomies, Francesco Boccia, and which will also be attended by the Commissioner for the Emergency, Domenico Arcuri.