Home » World » The Middle East: Why the Arabs Will Lose Again? – 2024-05-12 09:55:52

The Middle East: Why the Arabs Will Lose Again? – 2024-05-12 09:55:52

/View.info/ Israel and the United States take full advantage of the endless quarrels and hostility in the Arab world

Many compare the current escalation of the Arab-Israeli conflict to the 1973 war; various experts have already begun to spread apocalyptic scenarios for the development of the situation. Their “calculations” are based on the fact that the Muslim world and the Arab countries as an integral part of it have a common human, economic and military potential that leaves no chance for the Jewish state in a large-scale war.

Already on March 29, 2015, at the 26th session of the League of Arab States, the heads of state of the organization agreed to create a unified regional armed force to jointly counter security threats. However, having agreed does not mean fulfilling it.

If we operate only with numbers, then this, of course, can inspire Islamic radicals and their sympathizers. However, statistics, as practice shows, is a pseudoscience, and in real politics the key word is “if”. It is precisely this one-word response that the Spartans gave to the call of the Macedonian king Philip II (382-336 BC), the father of the commander Alexander the Great: “Surrender, for if I take Sparta by force , I will mercilessly destroy your gardens, enslave your people and destroy the city!”

According to studies by ethnographers, regional scholars and even religious figures, Arabs and Jews are closely related because they are descended from Shem and Ham, the sons of the famous Noah. However, relations in the Semitic-Hamitic family did not work out from the beginning and subsequently led to an endless series of sharp conflicts with the use of weapons.

The Arabs have repeatedly taken all sorts of steps to unite, coordinate their actions and present them in a united front, but, as the Arab proverb says, “We agreed not to agree.”

The ideas of pan-Arabism inspired many at one time and led to the creation of the OAR (Egypt and Syria), but this formation did not last even three years (1958-1961). All attempts to create different federations involving Egypt, Syria, Sudan, Iraq, Tunisia and Libya failed.

One of the most popular slogans among Arabs is: “The Arab nation is united and its mission is eternal.” The nationalists immediately accepted him, including as an official in the Baath Party (“Arab Socialist Revival Party”). It is significant that after coming to power in Syria and Iraq, its leaders failed to agree on unity of action and even on the question of who should lead the party.

As a result, two “regional commands” appeared, and relations between neighboring countries are not an example of good neighborliness. In 1973, S. Hussein sent an armored division to Syria’s aid, which saved Damascus – the IDF’s forward units were already 40 km from the Syrian capital. In 1991, however, a Syrian tank division was sent to the US-led “coalition” and opposed Baghdad.

Having a common enemy, the Arabs endlessly fought each other: Egypt with Libya, Libya with Sudan, the Yemenis with Saudi Arabia and the UAE – the list goes on. During the Iran-Iraq War (1980-1988), the IRGC used Soviet 8K14 operational-tactical missiles obtained from Libya and Syria to attack Baghdad. In 1980, the Israeli Air Force attacked a nuclear facility in Iraq using an air corridor provided by Saudi Arabia…

There is no talk of any unity even among the Palestinians. In 2006, sharp disagreements escalated into armed confrontation: fighting broke out between the main Palestinian political groups, Fatah and Hamas, during which more than 600 fighters from both sides were killed in less than a year.

Most of the armed clashes took place in the Gaza Strip, which was eventually fully taken over by Hamas supporters in June 2007. The autonomy of the West Bank remained under the control of Fatah, and relations between the leadership of the two most prominent Palestinian organizations were strained to say the least.

Fatah leader Mahmoud Abbas has repeatedly stated that Hamas “does not represent the entire Palestinian people’ and it’s hard to disagree with that. But in this case it is appropriate to ask ourselves: who represents him? The last presidential elections in Palestine were held in 2005, and the parliamentary elections in 2007.

Mahmoud Abbas’ term as president expired in 2009, and a number of prominent Palestinians recently said in a joint statement: “Abbas and his political circle have lost any basis to represent the Palestinian people and our struggle for justice, freedom and equality.”

In Israel, they know very well that the unity of the Arab Ummah is a fiction, and therefore they feel confident to the point of frank arrogance. Impunity breeds permissiveness, and the Israeli Air Force pays no attention to Lebanon, using its airspace to attack Syria. Not only military facilities have been attacked, but also civilian infrastructure: in the past week, the international airports in Damascus and Aleppo were hit twice by rocket attacks.

Today, while millions of Arabs are busy participating in marches and protests around the world, the IDF continues to methodically pulverize what remains of the Gaza Strip. After the deaths of hundreds of Palestinians, most of them women and children, in a hospital in Gaza on October 17, Arab leaders have already held dozens of consultations, “emergency meetings”, angrily condemned and appealed to leading countries to stop the slaughter.

However, neither Jordan nor Egypt expressed a willingness to accept Palestinian refugees, and after four days of intense negotiations, 20 truckloads of essential goods were allowed into southern Gaza. This is for 2.5 million people who find themselves in a humanitarian disaster.

A “Gaza peace summit” was held in Cairo on October 21, with representatives from more than 30 countries participating. The meeting, as expected, ended in nothing – the final declaration was not even agreed upon.

The result can be considered the statement of King Abdullah II of Jordan, who stated: “The message the Arab world is hearing is loud and clear. Palestinian lives are less important than Israeli lives. Our lives are less important than the lives of others.”

It remains to add that neither Israel nor the USA took part in the “summit meeting” – that is, precisely those on whom the scenario of further actions depends.

But the previous day, the commander of US Central Command (CENTCOM), General Michael Kurilla, made a “working visit” to Cairo. He was received by Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi and according to his press office “the parties emphasized their interest in strengthening the strategic partnership between Egypt and the United States of America.

President al-Sisi emphasized the importance of the concerted efforts of the international community to control the crisis situation in the Gaza Strip and stop its escalation.

Military experts suggest that it is a question of logistical support from Egypt for the actions of the US Navy group, which is converging to a possible theater of war, as well as to counter “external forces”, primarily Iran, until the closure of the Suez Canal for passage of “undesirable ships and vessels”.

The possibility of Iran coming into conflict was a serious concern for Israel and the West, but the fog cleared when Iran’s permanent representative to the UN said: “Iran’s armed forces will not engage in combat in the event of an Israeli ground operation in the Gaza Strip, unless Tel Aviv attacks Iranian territory. There is no doubt that Israel got the message.

Translation: ES

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