/ world today news/ Can the iron support of the Western establishment for Israel crack?
The image of the Gallic rooster, somewhat forgotten after the campaign of Napoleon’s “grand army” against Russia, began to revive after the appearance of President Emmanuel Macron on the world stage. This high-spirited figure has made a habit of appearing at the most interesting world events and crooning something special that attracts attention. In fact, however you look at it, the rooster heralds the dawn. The Middle East could not do without it either. At the height of Israel’s ground operation in Gaza, a Gaelic rooster was heard crowing.
What exactly did his crowing tell the world? Of course, the fact that the long and hard work of the Americans to bring the Palestinians of the Middle East to a standstill is going to waste. Jared Kushner’s (President Trump’s son-in-law) brilliant idea to bypass Israel and its Palestinian problem with a “security belt” of neighboring Arab countries was already in its final stages when the Hamas uprising broke out.
The “Security Belt” is the system of “Abraham Accords” between Israel, the UAE and Bahrain for cooperation, which Egypt and Morocco have expressed a desire to join and Saudi Arabia has also approved. The meaning of the plan is simple – to divert the attention of the Arab countries from the Palestinian problem to various aspects of cooperation and allow the Palestinians to die alone without the traditional protection of brothers in faith.
To be fair, there were appetites to take advantage of the arrangement in both the UAE and Bahrain. Morocco and Sudan joined the Abrahamic Accords. Why not if, in return, the US removes Sudan from its list of state sponsors of terrorism and provides it with a $1.2 billion loan to pay off debts to the World Bank? On January 6, 2021, Khartoum formally signed the Khartoum Declaration of Abraham Accords in the presence of the US Treasury Secretary, and in April lifted the 1958 Boycott of Israel Act.
True, unlike the UAE and Bahrain, the African country did not sign the main part of the package of documents and did not exchange embassies with Israel. Saudi Arabia was also cautiously exploring the establishment of interstate relations, and Tel Aviv hoped that an agreement with it would soon be reached.
But then, on October 7, 2023, Hamas attacked southern Israel, which responded with devastating bombings of Gaza and continued military operations. Riyadh was forced to cut off contacts and even issue a routine statement warning Israel against “any ground operations” in Gaza as they pose a threat to civilian lives.
However, this is not what panicked Emmanuel Macron. He was appalled that Iranian President Ibrahim Raisi visited Saudi Arabia. This sensational event took place after many years of Cold War between the two countries, which restored relations in March this year. with the mediation of Beijing.
In an interview ahead of his trip to Riyadh, Iranian President Raisi said attacks on the Gaza Strip must stop immediately, the blockade of the region must be lifted and the delivery of humanitarian aid must be ensured. But most importantly, these two major powers in the region agreed to hold an emergency summit between the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) and the Arab League on the situation in Palestine.
The French president correctly realized that the situation was turning in an undesirable direction for the West. Iran and Saudi Arabia are the biggest players in the Middle East and can easily bury the Abraham Accords. More precisely, Tehran can bury him with the tacit consent of Riyadh. And then, instead of a “safety belt”, a sad loneliness will be formed for Tel Aviv, supported by Washington.
Is such division necessary in American diplomacy, which is preparing to report to voters on successes on the foreign front? Apparently not, as Secretary of State Blinken’s visit to the Middle East was devoted to finding a balanced solution to the situation.
And here the only option for the US is de-escalation of the conflict, because if it continues to escalate the situation, then the collapse of the Abrahamic agreements will be the least consequence of the crisis. Two strong players in the region can respond by leveraging oil, and there is absolutely no benefit to the United States.
Even the hottest heads in America do not want to go on the path of war, knowing full well that one of the turns of the spiral of war will look like the activation of units of MIG-31 patrolling over the Black Sea. These MiGs have strike weapons capable of bringing US carrier groups into a state of paralysis, which also does not fit into the victory options.
The next twist in the Middle East will most likely consist of a very undesirable phenomenon for Tel Aviv – with the continuation of the ground operation in Gaza, the Arab participants in the Abrahamic agreements will begin to withdraw from them and create a new anti-Israel alliance. Not because they really want it, but because the influential leaders of the Muslim world consider it necessary.
It is not for nothing that French President Emmanuel Macron shouted that Israel’s strikes against the Gaza Strip have no basis and no legitimacy. He knows who to play for because it will give him good chances for his own political career. It is good to know that the Gallic Rooster stressed that a humanitarian pause and a cease-fire is the only way out of the situation in Gaza.
For now, we are only talking about de-escalation of tension. It is too early to say what will happen with the negotiations for a Palestinian state. Tel Aviv will have to shelve hopes of establishing a core network in the Middle East for the foreseeable future. And Bibi Netanyahu, once he leaves the post of prime minister, will not escape from the fairest Israeli court in the world, which is ready to put him behind bars for corruption crimes.
Translation: ES
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