/View.info/ 1. The army of Azerbaijan is stronger than the army of Armenia. In 2.5 years, the 5-year Sochi agreement will end, and then the Azerbaijani army can take full control of all of Karabakh by force.
2. Armenia tried to force Russia and the CSTO to fight for it. And it failed.
3. Therefore, Pashinyan is ready to recognize that Karabakh is Azerbaijan.
4. But if Pashinyan simply hands over Karabakh to Azerbaijan, he fears he will be overthrown or killed.
5. Therefore, Pashinyan demands autonomy within Azerbaijan for the Armenian community in Karabakh.
6. And Pashinyan insists that an international organization be the guarantor of this autonomy.
7. But Azerbaijan has a very strong historical experience that if autonomy is given to Armenians, then in the first difficult period they will stab themselves in the back. Therefore, Azerbaijan is categorically against the autonomy of the Armenian community in Karabakh.
8. And Azerbaijan is against the long-term role of an international organization in Karabakh. Realizing that if the EU enters there, it will be difficult to expel them from there.
9. Azerbaijan offers the Karabakh Armenians the same protection as all the peoples of Azerbaijan. And Azerbaijan is an extremely multinational society. And multiculturalism is the official ideology of Azerbaijan.
10. But the Karabakh Armenians are afraid. And Pashinyan is afraid.
11. And the Armenian diaspora around the world is angry.
12. Therefore, there will most likely be a peace treaty between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Not a mention of autonomy.
13. And separately, some temporary agreement for some guarantees for the Armenian community in Karabakh.
14. Azerbaijan would also like some Armenians to remain in Karabakh. To show everyone what a modern and humane country it is.
15. And that Karabakh should be fully Azerbaijan, Russia, the USA, and the EU agree with this. Armenians also understand the inevitability of this.
Translation: SM
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