The baton that President Andrés Manuel López Obrador gave to Claudia Sheinbaum appears to actually be a lightning rod. It will be up to the virtual presidential candidate to face the rebellion of a pair of leaders who, if proposed, could put Morena’s victory in the 2024 electoral process at risk.
Unlike the former head of Government of Mexico City, Marcelo Ebrard and Ricardo Monreal were appointed six years ago by López Obrador as regional coordinators for the promotion of the vote, in recognition of their political career and the experience that both have in electoral matters. and the capacity they demonstrate to mobilize political, social and business structures.
They are two characters who know how to build bridges with different currents of thought, which is why they are in themselves an independent political force, each with the capacity to start with a considerable percentage of the vote – between 15 and 20%, according to their own calculations. – in any position for which they decide to compete, especially thinking about the federal election.
However, the respect that López Obrador once had for these characters is not shared by Claudia Sheinbaum. If the new head of the movement is not willing to make official the rumors of an Adán Augusto López as national president of Morena, she much less will open the spaces to conciliate and negotiate with the still Morenistas who emerge as her rivals.
Marcelo Ebrard had already been openly expressing his disagreement with Sheinbaum’s methods and now he does it with Morena, politically correct, as he usually behaves, but forceful in stating that he has no place in Claudia’s team, since important positions are only for those who she perceives as her close ones.
Prior to the internal process of the corcholatas, Claudia Sheinbaum did not even show availability to negotiate; She knew she was the President’s favorite and the offers she presented to her opponents did not go beyond a coordinator position in the Chamber of Deputies, the position offered to Ebrard that she will reject.
He did not even present a proposal to Monreal, despite the fact that the senator aspired to compete for Mexico City if he did not fulfill his presidential aspiration. He also had a couple of governorships among his requests: Puebla, for Alejandro Armenta, and Chiapas, for Eduardo Ramírez, which may not be realized given the new schedule of candidates that Sheinbaum is preparing with the gender parity methodology.
Snubbing these characters could be risky, because although neither of them wants to confront the leader of the movement –Andrés Manuel López Obrador–, they could decide, together, not to follow Sheinbaum’s leadership game and to at least break with what she has begun to call “the second floor” of the transformation.
Monreal has already taught Sheinbaum a lesson before in his own territory: the great defeat of Morenism in the 2021 capital election was in part due to the support that the Zacatecas senator provided with his structures to the opposition, which cannot be completely confirmed. forgive in the 4T. That was the reason why one of the Monrealist cadres sneaked into the Cuauhtémoc district: the strident and uncomfortable mayor Sandra Cuevas, who is now seeking to be a candidate for the head of government of CDMX and, although with zero possibilities, is being promoted by Monreal.
The power of this dumbbell rarifies Sheinbaum’s path to the Presidency, unless AMLO puts his hands in again to protect who from the beginning was his “corcholata.” López Obrador is once again the only one who can unite the different leaderships around his transformation… or destroy them.
Regarding the candidacies in Mexico City, things are becoming clearer: Clara Brugada, still head of the Iztapalapa delegation and candidate of the pure and radical 4T, has already completely revealed herself to compete for the candidacy and has been in office for about a month. full campaign. The former Secretary of Security, Omar García Harfuch – corcholata of the former head of Government – is patiently waiting for the moment to officially launch himself, while Ricardo Monreal and Mario Delgado were left out. The latter is negotiating his future and, if he is not offered a very attractive position, he will remain party leader at the end of the 2024 process. As things look today in CDMX, everything indicates that it will be a man who will fight to retain the Morenoist government, while the opposition is balling up to see who is in charge: Santiago Taboada was firm until another man burst in forcefully. : Omar García Harfuch.
The transition in the State of Mexico is more than smooth between the Morenistas and the PRI. The good relationship between the outgoing government of Alfredo del Mazo and the incoming government of Delfina Gómez has facilitated everything, so no surprises and much less persecutions are expected. It is even anticipated that the appreciation of Claudia Sheinbaum and President López Obrador towards the Mexican governor will crystallize in an important position within his government, if indeed the former head of government of the capital manages to win the presidential election next year. No Embassy, what awaits Del Mazo is a great position in the cabinet of the possible new president of Mexico.
@MarioMal
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2023-09-14 07:44:19
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