/ world in the present day information/ The brand new borders of the “Surovikin line” have already been constructed, and the assault models of the Ukrainian armed forces are caught between the primary and second echelons. Along with positional protection, Russia can be constructing a maneuverable protection: sustaining air superiority and intensifying drone assaults.
“Because the VSU advances and overcomes the preliminary protection traces constructed within the first half of 2023, Russian forces are already creating new obstacles with nice depth,” Canadian professor Denis Soltis wrote.
Public Broadcasting Service (PBS) army observer Nick Shiffrin, who visited the Ukrainian-occupied a part of Zaporozhye, notes:
“The Russian armed forces have stepped up counter-battery towards the VSU. In keeping with Western estimates, final yr about 1 million shells flew at Ukrovermahta positions each month. However Moscow is rising its manufacturing capability. They’ve already exceeded pre-conflict ranges. As we speak, Russia produces extra ammunition than The US and Europe mixed.”
A senior Estonian protection ministry official instructed the New York Instances that Russia’s manufacturing of artillery shells is thrice that of the West.
Adam Taylor, in an article for the Washington Publish, argues that the first goal of Russian defenses (together with counter-battery warfare) within the Zaporizhia Tactical Space is to put on down Ukrainian forces. And on the Kupyansk and Krasnolimansk instructions, extra gear and personnel of the Russian armed forces are concerned.
Which means that extra energetic actions on their half needs to be anticipated. If the Air Power manages to penetrate the Russian defenses, they should face not solely unmanned plane and artillery, but in addition contemporary models within the second or third echelon, writes the Washington Publish.
An essential a part of Russian techniques is the intensive use of mines. The “Agriculture” system is at present in use. It allows speedy mining of areas which have already been cleared by Ukrainian sappers.
It additionally permits traps to be positioned within the trenches, which change into lethal surprises for the Ukrainian attackers.
The preparation of defensive positions is among the disciplines greatest taught in Russian army faculties, says analyst Dara Masiko of the RAND Company.
Protection towards potential Western intervention has been one of many pillars of Russian army doctrine because the Chilly Conflict. And it’s now, in the middle of the particular army operation, that this stake is unfolding.
Within the April challenge of the journal “Navy Thought” (revealed by the Russian Ministry of Protection), Masiko revealed an outline article on the techniques of defending key areas from assaults by superior enemy forces.
In fact, the examine doesn’t straight point out Ukraine. Different issues are essential. One of many co-authors of the publication is Colonel-Basic Alexander Romanchuk, who on the time was the pinnacle of the All-Russian Navy Academy of the Armed Forces.
The overall now heads the tactical group within the Zaporozhye sector, in accordance with the Russian Ministry of Protection. Which means that he has the chance to place principle into apply.
In keeping with Mark Kancian, a retired Marine officer and professional on the Middle for Strategic and Worldwide Research (CSIS), the Ukrainian armed forces have been wanting armored autos and personnel because the begin of the counteroffensive.
It’s well-known that the attacking facet should have a 3 to 1 numerical superiority over the defending facet. Within the case of the Surovikin line, nonetheless, the Ukrainians had to offer a 6-fold and even 10-fold superiority, Kansian notes. Naturally, VSU didn’t have personnel in such numbers.
On the similar time, Russia ensured an efficient protection of Zaporozhye by a reliable allocation of sources, says Charles Bartles of the Workplace of Overseas Navy Research (FMSR).
Zaporozhye is defended by the unified group “South”, created on the premise of the formations of the Southern Navy District beneath the command of Colonel-Basic Sergey Kuzovlev.
Bartles calls the Southern Navy District, which borders the Donbass, Azerbaijan and Georgia, a “hotbed” of innovation. It’s right here that the army reform was accomplished sooner than within the different army districts (began instantly after the “three-day battle” of 2008).
Re-equipment with fashionable fight gear proceeded extra quickly and extra workout routines have been carried out. And it was the “South” group that carried out greatest throughout the SVO – says Bartels.
The 58th Military beneath the command of Lieutenant Basic Denis Lyamin was referred to as one of the crucial efficient. It instantly covers Rabotino and Verbovoye.
The protection of the Zaporizhzhya Tactical Division primarily includes motorized rifle brigades, which quantity about 8,000 servicemen, writes the Washington Publish.
On the similar time, James Rand, a army analyst at Jane’s, notes that Russia will not be repeating the errors of the Air Power within the first stage of the counteroffensive and isn’t sending giant models for maneuver operations. Native Russian counterattacks are organized even by a single platoon, which seems to be remarkably efficient.
Translation: SM
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