The latest polls before the vote: 7 parties enter the National Assembly, two more have a chance

Seven parties are confirmed as participants in the next parliament. Two more formats have a chance to break the 4% barrier.

This is according to studies by “Trend” and “Gallup” about the opinions of voters at the end of the pre-election campaign, announced on Friday.

Gallup data shows that the expected turnout on Sunday is about 31.1%, or about 2 million votes. According to them, 3.4% of people would vote with “I do not support anyone”.

The research “Trend” shows that about 38% of adults in our country declare that they will vote and the number of votes is expected to be between 2 million and 2 and 200 thousand people. According to them, about 4.3% would vote with “I do not support anyone”.

Distribution by “Trend”

According to “Trend” respondents, 24.9% would vote for GERB. After that, three groups of forms stand out in the ranking, and in each the results of the individual parties and coalitions are similar.

The first group is in the battle for second place, which includes “Vazrazhdane” (15.2%) and “Continuing the change-Democratic Bulgaria” (14.8% ).

In the second group are “Federation for Rights and Freedom” (7.8%), “DPS-New Beginning” (7%), There are such people (6.6%) and BSP (6.5%).

The third group of parties is in the fight for parliamentary representation and is made up of MECH (4%) and Velichie (3.6%). “Blue Bulgaria” is still supported by 1.7% of voters.

The survey “Trend” was commissioned by “24 Chasa”, and was conducted in the period between October 16 and 22, 2024 through a direct semi-adult “face-to-face” interview with a record among 1,002 Bulgarian adults.

The distribution according to “Gallup”

A Gallup poll gives GERB 26.1% support. And this group points out that PP-DB and “Vazrazhdane” go “in a pack” for second and third place.

The data shows support of 16.2 percent for PP-DB and 14.9 percent for “Vazrazhdane”.

Gallup points out that it is difficult to assess the situation in the area of ​​traditional DPS voters. According to the survey, the “Alliance for Rights and Freedoms” has 7.9%, and the “DPS-New Beginning” – 7.6%.

“However, the last days of the campaign could change this arrangement and bring “DPS-New Beginning” ahead of APS”, Gallup says and adds that the vote from abroad, which has not been ‘ take into account but indirectly, lead to changes in the result in such studies.

The survey results show 7.1% support for “BSP-United Left”, and 6.2% for ITN.

According to Gallup, MECH with 4.1 percent and Velichie with 3.8 percent about the 4 percent barrier have entered parliament. Support for “Blue Bulgaria” is 1.2%.

The “Gallup International Bolkan” survey was commissioned by the BNR and was conducted between October 10 and 21, 2024 among 1,007 people using the “face-to-face” method with records. The two-stage nested sample is representative of the country’s adult population.