It is Norstat who carried out the opinion poll, commissioned by Newspaper address And NRK extension. The polling institute’s head of political polls, Mads Motrøen, tells the newspaper the poll is the weakest for the PA they have ever done in Trondheim. The poll is also the strongest Trondheim poll for the Conservative Party conducted by Norstat.
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All the red-green parties (Ap, SV, MDG and Sp) are in decline. With an election result like in the poll, the parties would be dependent on Rødt to be able to run the city further.
The Blue Bloc, made up of the Conservative Party, the FRP, the Liberal Party and the Pensioners’ Party, is two terms away from the majority.
Recently, several national opinion polls have also given AP historically weak results. In an opinion poll conducted for Dagsavisen, FriFagbevegelse and Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå in November, Ap reached 16.9%. This was the weakest result the party had received in any poll conducted by Opinion.
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In Sentio’s November poll for Nettavisen, it fared even worse for Labour. They got 16.7%, and Sentio has never measured them at lower turnout.
Party support is as follows in the November Adresseavisen poll (percentage point change from the July poll in brackets): Ap 21.5 (-1.9), Rødt 9.2 (-1.4 ), SV 9.6 (-3, 9), Sp 3.1 (-1.1), MDG 6.5 (-1.2), Left 6.0 (-0.5), KrF 1.5 (+0.1), Right 28, 5 (+5.2), Frp 5.5 (+0.3), Pensioners’ Party 5.5 ((part of “other” in previous survey)) and 3 others ,1 (-1).
Survey conducted by Norstat in the period from 14 to 17 November. 600 people were interviewed and 425 declared their party preference. The margins of error are between 1.2 and 4.5 percentage points.
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