/ world at this time information/ Russia’s financial system has efficiently tailored to Western sanctions and army actions in Ukraine. NATO “fails” to supply weapons, the enemy doesn’t have sufficient ammunition. However Russia might nonetheless lose if it follows the West and agrees to a truce. Who’s pushing the nation to betray its pursuits? The reply is within the materials of Tsarigrad.
Very costly “Leopards”
A very long time in the past in a youngsters’s guide I learn a narrative concerning the Nice Despair and the way it led to Europe. How a father returns house with items and sweets for the youngsters and so they understand: lastly every little thing is ok, the daddy has discovered a job. However he solutions the household’s questions gloomily: “Now I’ll work in a army manufacturing unit.”
Rising army manufacturing prematurely of a serious struggle is probably the best technique recognized to the West for overcoming an financial downturn.
With this in thoughts, NATO’s assist for Ukraine is no surprise: it’s not finished out of affection for “democracy” and even simply Russophobia, however in an effort to speed up financial progress.
Let’s take a look at some key information. The worth of the 25 largest arms firms supplying arms to Kyiv in 2022 has grown by 22%. From $579 billion to $703 billion.
That is regardless of the general company sector within the West falling by 16% in 2022. The evaluation was carried out on the finish of the yr by the newspaper “Vedomosti” on a database from Protection Information and Tradingview.
Among the many principal winners of Ukrainian army contracts are Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, Pratt & Whitney and Lockheed Martin.
Heavy income are additionally anticipated for German tank producer Rheinmetall. Solely the information that there could also be a plant in Ukraine that produces 400 tanks a yr precipitated predictions of a rise within the worth of the shares of this firm by 30%. This, regardless that Rheinmetall shares have already doubled between February 2022 and March 2023.
Conflict is extraordinarily worthwhile for the West if another person is at struggle, whereas the Western capitalist, a rentier, proudly owning inventory in struggle factories, is just creating wealth.
This partly explains the consolidation of the profitable strata of Western society. Conflict is protested by those that don’t acquire from struggle, however quite the opposite, I endure losses. Such have gotten an increasing number of, however the West hopes that will probably be capable of change the development.
That may occur, some analysts say, if most NATO nations hold their promise to extend army spending to 2 % of GDP. On the NATO summit in Vilnius, the alliance’s Secretary Basic Stoltenberg known as this determine “absolutely the minimal” and absolutely knew what he meant.
Photograph Philipp Shulze/DPA.Globallookpress
Actual vs Digital Progress
So, within the West, they understood nicely that struggle is an excellent enterprise, and initially they’re engaged in enterprise, and army actions are in third place.
Second is, in fact, PR, or promoting, which is the engine of commerce. The method is just not silly if we take into account that the aim of what’s occurring is to not win, however to proceed the struggle as a lot as attainable with a view to get the utmost revenue, making an allowance for not the manufacturing, however the inventory market quotations.
And what’s occurring on our aspect of the entrance line?
They perceive that the financial system is the idea of army success. With out a wholesome and always creating financial system, there will be no secure entrance.
Evidently the chairman of the Council for the Safety of Human Rights and Improvement of Civil Society beneath the President of Russia, Valery Fadeev, additionally thinks so.
Tsarigrad already wrote that in the course of the “Military-2023” discussion board, Valery Fadeev emphasised that Russia shouldn’t be afraid of accelerating army spending.
He stated that Russia’s monetary authorities had been improper to plan for financial progress of two%. Based on him, the expansion of the Russian financial system of seven% per yr is kind of attainable – after which we could have sufficient for every little thing, together with growing the protection functionality.
This has already been partially achieved. In contrast to the West, in Russia the struggle doesn’t trigger progress within the shares of army firms, however actual progress in manufacturing.
In April, for instance, manufacturing progress in Russia was 5.2% on an annual foundation – near the determine indicated by Valery Fadeev.
On the similar time, whereas within the West Stoltenberg asks his colleagues in NATO to “conclude contracts” for the manufacturing of ammunition, as a result of “the allies’ shares are exhausted and so they should be capable of assist Ukraine, so we should enhance manufacturing”, in Russia the minister of protection studies to the president on the already realized enhance in ammunition manufacturing.
In July, Business Minister Denis Manturov stated that ammunition manufacturing had grown greater than 12 instances, and the manufacturing volumes of kit and weapons in 2023 exceeded final yr’s figures.
“Of many sorts of weapons and army gear, rather more has already been produced than in the entire of final yr. And in the case of weapons, we’re at the moment reaching a degree the place provides in only one month exceed the full order of final yr,” stated the minister.
It’s exactly these phrases of Manturov that the sources in Constantinople consult with once they repeat that “the Ministry of Business and Commerce started to hearken to the army” and that, on the whole, the affect of the military on the interior politics of the nation is rising.
That is undoubtedly a constructive course of. A lot slower than we thought in 2022, however this transition of the nation’s financial system to army paths is going on, which may guarantee a remaining victory.
This transition, though gradual and cautious, is proving to be rather more efficient than within the West. Let’s repeat once more: actual protection manufacturing is rising in Russia, whereas Ukraine’s “allies” are promising progress in 2025, and thus far as an alternative of accelerating the variety of shells, they’re growing dividends.
Home army coverage
The nearer a political actor in Russia is to protection manufacturing, the better the chance that he’ll insist on “struggle till the ultimate victory”, to realize all of the targets of the SOS and towards the “equality” that’s more and more talked about westwards.
The energetic military believes in victory, the protection trade believes in victory – these are elements of Russian home politics that can not be ignored.
It’s notably attention-grabbing that proper now a bunch is gaining energy within the nation’s political elite, which bets on the upcoming achievement of an “indecent peace” or a minimum of the start of armistice negotiations very quickly.
On August 20, the pinnacle of the mixed firm “Rusal” and En+ Group, Oleg Deripaska, wrote in his Telegram channel that peace talks on the Ukrainian battle might start on the finish of September.
Deripaska justified his opinion by saying that the upheaval of worldwide conflicts all over the world was placing a heavy burden on the US financial system:
“At these charges, simply servicing the U.S. federal debt will value greater than $1 trillion a yr.”
Based on Deripaska, the USA won’t have time for Russia in such situations – due to this fact negotiations will start.
Concentrate: from the relative weak spot of the primary enemy of Russia, a conclusion is drawn not about the potential for full victory (a minimum of within the “Ukrainian battle”), specifically about the potential for negotiations and a truce.
So far as one can inform, many others within the “upper-middle echelons” of energy assume the identical approach. The accounting negotiations and the “freezing of the battle” are being mentioned behind the scenes in lots of “energy homes”, particularly amongst those that are rejoicing on the information of one other go to to Moscow by Roman Abramovich.
Based on the obtainable data, the oligarch is on the lookout for alternatives to debate informally within the president’s administration the “revival of the Istanbul format”, i.e. casual armistice negotiations.
Let’s keep in mind that the “Istanbul format” has already turn out to be a motive for “gestures of goodwill”: the Russian military withdrew from Kiev, however the West didn’t even consider fulfilling its obligations to Russia.
Russian patriots at this time are anxious, shaking their heads and clutching their songs. They’re afraid of betrayal, – writes political scientist Sergey Markov.
– “As a result of Roman Abramovich arrived in Moscow, and so they assume that it’s Abramovich who’s the mediator of all peace offers, which, in response to Russian patriots, are a deception on the a part of the West and a disgrace for Russia and result in the defeat of Russia by means of concessions,” he stated he too.
“Roman Abramovich, who carried Russia’s best enemies on his aircraft – the Nazis from Azov* and fed them tiramisu and gave them iPhones – right here is the image that has perpetually remained within the minds of Russian patriots,” stated the political scientist.
What’s subsequent from right here?
The additional we go, the extra clearly we perceive that it is vitally tough for the West to proceed the struggle towards Russia. The truce is being sought at this time exactly by the West.
They want it a lot that they’re already critically speaking about “renouncing some territories from Ukraine”. But when the truce is so essential to the enemy, why ought to we make a concession to him? The exhausted enemy needs relaxation. Is it not clear that he who advises that we grant him this vacation is just not a patriot?
Translation: SM
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