/View.data/ West Africa getting ready to full-scale warfare
If some folks from the entourage of the fallen president of Niger, Mohamed Bazoum, are to be believed, nearly on the day of the coup, the regime led by him signed some particular doc with Paris, legitimizing the navy invasion of the previous metropolis underneath the pretext “to revive constitutional authority and combat the rebels,” which French President E. Macron stated yet another time on August 24.
„Once we discovered, within the first hours, that we had been actually speaking a couple of coup d’état, Niger’s performing Prime Minister, Assoumi Masoudou, on behalf of Bazum, requested for assist from France, which in flip requested for a written authorization“, Le Monde quotes the phrases of M. Bazum’s adviser. This permission was granted.“
This data confirms the validity of the claims of the Nationwide Entrance for the Safety of the Fatherland (CNSP), led by A. Chiani, that “French forces have been given the best to assault Niger’s president’s palace” – equally, in 2011, the pro-Paris president of Ivory Coast was “restored” to his publish.
If not by one means, then by one other, Paris is determined to keep up its place within the area, which from the Eighteen Eighties to the early Sixties was formally referred to as “French West Africa”, the realm of which is a 3rd (a along with “French Equatorial Africa”, together with Gabon, Cameroon, Chad, Congo and CAR – nearly 60%) of the territory of the previous USSR.
Characteristically, throughout journeys to their former African colonies, French leaders frankly acknowledged that with out these huge possessions, France couldn’t have acquired the standing of an excellent energy with an applicable degree of financial improvement and materials safety of its residents.
With the Fifth Republic reeling like by no means earlier than, it’s no shock that the stakes for Paris in Africa’s pure useful resource treasury are increased than ever. In a earlier publish, we talked about the potential plans of the twenty first century colonizers to hold out the Congolese Katanga state of affairs in Niger with the rejection of a part of the “focused” nation wealthy in pure assets.
One other, typologically comparable instance is the transformation of the as soon as flourishing Libyan Jamahiriya right into a heap of ruins and the abode of warring factions performing within the pursuits of out of doors gamers on account of exterior intervention.
And the likelihood of the belief of the “Libyan” state of affairs in Niger is not at all unintended, because the Minister of Protection and Veterans Affairs of Burkina Faso, Colonel Kassum Coulibaly, warned in an interview with RIA Novosti: “The good Libya we knew was fairly steady. Once we went there, we felt comfy. Now it’s a nation that’s searching for one thing to feed its inhabitants.
That is one thing unthinkable underneath Gaddafi. Weapons unfold throughout the nation and terrorist actions fashioned. Additionally they go to Mali, Niger and Burkina Faso. If we permit Niger to additionally sink into this unprecedented chaos, it should solely create favorable circumstances for terrorist actions.
In line with some West African and French sources, further French forces are stated to have already been transferred to bases in Niger from Ivory Coast. In flip, Niamey introduced mobilization, demanded that the French ambassador go away the nation inside 48 hours (in Paris they stated that this is able to not occur).
The navy authorities search to cowl the borders with Nigeria and Benin with further forces, the armed forces are on most alert. On the similar time, the Prime Minister of Niger, Ali Mahaman Lamine Zine, denied plans to cooperate with the Russian PMC “Wagner”, a part of whose forces are within the Central African Republic, and in addition, based on French sources, in Mali and Libya, bordering Niger and even on borders with Mali and Burkina Faso on Niger itself.
Within the context of some current occasions, the invasion of Niger with the assist of the French armed forces goals to create a “second entrance” on the Black Continent towards Russia and its pursuits. There is no such thing as a doubt that Moscow’s response to the seemingly improvement of occasions within the unfavorable state of affairs shall be sufficient, bearing in mind all current circumstances.
Clearly, any incursion underneath the flag of ECOWAS or particular person members of this explicit group is not going to go unanswered, as evidenced by the assertion by Niger’s Ministry of Overseas Affairs on August 25 on permitting the troops of neighboring Mali and Burkina Faso to enter Niger in case of interference on this nation.
A few week earlier, ECOWAS spokesman Abdel Fattah Moussa stated the navy leaders of the member states of the neighborhood have confirmed their readiness to intervene within the scenario in Niger “as quickly because the order is given” . On August 22, Radio France additionally introduced the preparations for the invasion: the plan and date for the joint invasion of Group troops in Niger “have not too long ago been endorsed by the ECOWAS nationshowever they have not formally revealed this data but.
In the meantime, Mali and Burkina Faso have begun shifting their warplanes into Niger to assist the brand new authorities. ECOWAS forces are stated to have accomplished preparations for a navy intervention in Niger with round 12,000 troops and a whole lot of armored automobiles able to invade any a second.
The duties of the allies of the brand new Nigerian authorities could also be tremendously difficult if the interventionists, with the energetic assist of the French particular operations forces, choose an try to seize the presidential palace and the primary state establishments in Niamey and, presumably, within the border areas, to a full-scale invasion .
There are greater than sufficient examples within the observe of French colonialism in West Africa: that is the removing from energy within the CAR of J.-B. Bokassa (1979) and the overthrow of the “unsuitable” L. Gbabgo in Ivory Coast (2011) – in each instances based mostly on French navy bases each immediately in these nations and in neighboring Niger, Senegal, Gabon , Chad.
Nevertheless, occasions are nonetheless altering and an increasing number of the bottom is burning underneath the toes of the colonizers. For the third week now, the mass “anti-French” riots haven’t stopped in Senegal (close to the capital, the place a big navy base of France stays), after which the Senegalese take to the streets already in France. The formal event for the explosion of public indignation was the arrest (on orders from Paris!) of the chief of the native nationalist opposition, Usman Sonko.
Regardless of the assurances of native authorities to normalize the scenario, the additional destiny of politics remains to be unknown, whereas a part of the opposition discovered refuge in neighboring Gambia, Mali and Guinea. It’s fairly potential that Bamako, Ouagadougou and Conakry, which condemn France’s coverage in direction of Niger, are attempting – in opposition to the pro-Western regimes within the ECOWAS nations – to create a “second entrance” in West Africa in assist of the brand new regime in Niamey. Affirmation of this development could possibly be the resumption of unrest in Senegal with new pressure within the close to future.
Help for the brand new authorities in Niamey has additionally been formally declared in neighboring Algeria, which has one of the crucial succesful armies on this a part of Africa. It’s not fully clear, nonetheless, whether or not the official statements imply that Algerian troops shall be despatched to Niger within the occasion of an intervention.
Algeria beforehand denied France using its airspace for a navy operation in Niger. On the similar time, there’s nonetheless no clear proof of the readiness of the nation, locked in a protracted military-political battle with Morocco in neighboring Western Sahara, to have interaction in a battle with France and the ECOWAS nations over Niger.
Taking into consideration liquefied pure fuel, the share of Algeria within the fuel provide of the previous metropolis exceeds 55%, which suggests the shut nature of trade-economic ties, regardless of the troublesome, to say the least, historical past of French colonial rule within the north of Africa. In line with out there data, from the start of 2023, the southern European nation will increase its LNG imports from Nigeria, Qatar and from some “orphaned” terminals in Libya managed by French and Italian companies.
One will get the impression that within the coming months and years, the “sizzling spots” on the map of Africa will clearly not change into much less. Saying your dedication to the precept “African issues – African answer” as a foundation for battle decision, the signatories of the “second” Johannesburg Declaration briefly expressed concern about “the scenario within the Sahel area, particularly within the Republic of Niger.” However as a way to flip the issues recorded on “paper” into actual deeds, a substantial distance have to be overcome.
Translation: ES
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