“It will be bad. Much worse than anyone can imagine. We made a variation of the forecast for 2033 for 10 years – from 26 to 35 million within the boundaries of 1991,” she said.
At the same time, Libanova added that there is no talk of returning to the figure of 45 million Ukrainians.
“This is a long conversation about the potential for demographic growth, about the old population, about losses due to low fertility, about losses due to too high premature mortality, especially for men, added to this is migration, which today has become the main driver of demographic dynamics – all bad, very bad,” she said.
IMF forecast
The International Monetary Fund predicts a gradual return of refugees to Ukraine as early as 2024, but not all will return from abroad. According to the fund’s forecasts, the population of Ukraine in 2023 has decreased to 33.2 million people.
Refugees from Ukraine
According to the UN, at the end of 2022, 5,700,000 Ukrainians were brought to neighboring countries, creating the fastest displacement crisis and one of the largest since World War II.
Read urgent and important messages about Russia’s war against Ukraine on the channel RBC-Ukraine on Telegram .
2023-11-13 19:10:16
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