World The head of Rosstat said on the difficulties of...

The head of Rosstat said on the difficulties of mortality data from COVID-19 :: Economy :: RBC

-

The speed of propagation of the coronavirus in Russia

Cases per day

Source: Federal and regional overstay anti-virus

Data for Russia i

The first factor explained by the head of Rosstat, is that at the time of registration of the death of the deceased from COVID-19 may not be the final medical certificates of death. “Tests conducted on the preparation of the final medical certificates of death can take up to 45 days, and then it takes time to hit it in the office and was entered into the database”, — he explained.

The second factor is that in some regions lack legislative recognition of the duty to register the death at the registry office for subsequent burial, continued Malkov. In the major population regions, including in Moscow, Moscow region, St.-Petersburg, Leningrad region and in most other, this is required and “you cannot bury a person, do not converge to the Registrar for registration of death”. “In these regions, we are fully confident in the figures for overall mortality. Also these entities took the first blow coronavirus infection in other deaths from the coronavirus in April was at a very low level,” he said.

The highest mortality among Russian regions, recorded in Moscow in April, according to Rosstat, the number of deaths from coronavirus infection — 1561 people, of whom 805 for coronavirus was the main cause of death. The total mortality in Moscow in April 2020 amounted to 11.8 thousand people, which is more 1934 than in April 2019 (and 9.9 thousand).

Nezaregistrazii deaths in the registry office

In some regions, the regulatory requirements on mandatory registration of the death at the Registrar’s office before the funeral could not be continued Malkov. “It is primarily the North Caucasus Federal district, South Federal district, found in the Volga region and the far East, he explained. Normally, this has no impact on the statistics, because people still come to the registry office and register the death as required for other purposes. But in terms of an epidemic, isolation and quarantine, the people often postponed trip to the registry office. Such cases occur exactly where you can bury the man, just the certificate from a medical institution”.

According to data published by Rosstat, in April, the overall mortality rate in Dagestan fell by 51% — 583 died in April 2020 (including c COVID-19 — ten) vs. 1192 in April 2019; in Chechnya — 28.3% (dead COVID-19 in April — seven people); in Ingushetia, 25.4% (dead COVID-19 April — 11). In Krasnodar Krai the overall mortality rate decreased by 17.3% (dead COVID-19 in April — 33 people).

The final diagnosis is based on autopsy and the pathologist’s report, but in some regions, for instance in the Muslim republics, try to avoid opening and quickly buried, for what to establish if the deceased COVID-19 may no longer work, said the Director of the Institute of demography HSE Anatoly Vishnevsky. Final mortality statistics will be published next summer, after all the reconciliation data for the year that is before the data was preliminary and that the current account, which may be incomplete, said Wisniewski. Low mortality from COVID-19 in Russia gives rise to questions, the head of the Institute of demography of the HSE: “apparently, there is pressure and a desire to downplay the number of deaths from the coronavirus”.

How the amount recovered and died from the coronavirus in Russia

Recovered (new cases)

The dead (new cases)

Source: Federal and regional overstay anti-virus

Data for Russia i

There are always areas, which raises many questions about both the operational (current) and final mortality statistics, said the Deputy head of the international laboratory of demography and human capital Ranepa Sergey Shulgin. “If the regional leaders are beginning for the statistics to punish or to specify what it should be, they have an incentive these statistics to manage,” he explained. Monthly statistics are always very “zalunina”: the primary medical certificate of death may differ from the final. “We see that according to the revised data and refined methodology may vary and the time and cause of death,” — stated the scientist. At each level of the forming of initial data can cause errors and distortions, which are not always deliberate manipulation. “According to statistics, the total number of deaths in 2020, which will appear in the end of the year, it will be possible to evaluate the excess mortality, comparing overall mortality rate from the smoothed average mortality in Russia and in other countries, and then we will see the real picture of the impact of the pandemic,” concluded Shulgin.

Program Director of the world health organization (who) emergency health Michael Ryan in June saidthat considers the statistics of mortality from COVID-19, which is observed in Russia, difficult to understand. A relatively small number of deaths with a high level of morbidity is unusual, he said.

The representative of who in Russia, Melita Vujnović notedthat estimate mortality from diseases, including COVID-19, it is difficult, as it depends on many factors: Russia stepped up testing for the coronavirus that could affect the statistics. According to Vujnović, claims who to Russia on this issue.

Deputy Prime Minister Tatiana Golikova in may stressedthat the government “never manipulated official statistics”.

Statistics will be added

Rosstat data on mortality from COVID-19 will be updated upon receipt of the final medical certificates of death, as well as details you have to get in those regions where people have not reached the Registrar, said Malkov. “There are not very many and is not much impact on the value of mortality in the whole country. You know perfectly well: data on the major regions of the country received in full, and a certain amount of lost data for a small population of subjects does not greatly affect the overall figure. However, some amendments and additions will be. And we are definitely going to openly show”, — said the interlocutor of RBC.


The head of Rosstat says: “to Manipulate statistics almost impossible”


The situation with the virus has allowed to reveal the imperfection of the data acquisition, the head of Rosstat. The government instructed the Agency to develop information systems architecture and data transfer model, which does not depend on any external circumstances, he said. Now Rosstat is working on the target model together with the Federal tax service (which is the operator of the unified state registry office), Ministry of health and Ministry of justice.

Mortality statistics in may 2020 will be published by the end of the first decade of July, promised gold.

As of June 22, according to the operational headquarters, with the start of the pandemic in Russia was 592 280 infections COVID-19. The total number of deaths was in the country 8206. At data Johns Hopkins University, the number of reported cases Russia ranks third in the world and the mortality rate — 13th.

Full version interview with the head of Rosstat Pavel Malkov read here.

Coronavirus

Russia Moscow The world

0 (per day)

Recovered

0

0 (per day)

Contracted

0

0 (per day)

Died

0 (per day)

Recovered

0

0 (per day)

Contracted

0

0 (per day)

Died

0 (per day)

Recovered

0

0 (per day)

Contracted

0

0 (per day)

Died

Source: JHU,
Federal and regional
overstay anti-virus

Source: JHU, Federal, and regional overstay anti-virus

.

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Latest news

Part of Amsterdam bridges and quays is about to collapse

Some bridges in Amsterdam are in such bad shape that they are in danger of collapsing. "Too long,...

Marvel Studios: Iron Man, the only original Avenger not to be replaced in Phase 4 of the MCU?

The epic conclusion of the Infinity Saga caused a real slaughter among the original Avengers! In Endgame, the...

Where Morricone’s music went

Ennio Morricone, one of the greatest soundtrack composers ever, is dead at 91 years old. Noted for the...

Fines of up to $ 1,000 and 6 months in prison for those who do not stay home in California for the coronavirus |...

Los Angeles California.- Californians went to sleep this Thursday surprised by the historic partial curfew that Governor Gavin Newsom...

Must read

Part of Amsterdam bridges and quays is about to collapse

Some bridges in Amsterdam are in such bad shape...

You might also likeRELATED
Recommended to you