The future Emnati could become a cyclone north of Reunion at the beginning of

For the moment the future Emnati is still 1,700 km from Reunion, but it could become a tropical cyclone north of our coasts next Monday. Its trajectory and intensity are still very uncertain.

LP
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Published on February 16, 2022 at 12:29 p.m.,

updated on February 16, 2022 at 12:49 p.m.

Météo France Réunion is closely monitoring the future Emnati. “This system could eventually become a cyclone and would then transit north of Reunion”, explains Philippe Caroff, head forecaster at Météo France.

“It should be closer to our shores early next week, assure Philippe Caroff. There is still uncertainty. We must closely follow the evolution of the trajectory and the intensity of the phenomenon”.

Look at the details of Réunion La 1ère:

This Wednesday, February 15, this system “is still weak and in formation”. It is 1,700 km from Reunion, but it should strengthen to the stage of a tropical cyclone in the next five days.

For the moment, no direct impact is envisaged on Reunion. “It should be closer to our coasts between Sunday evening and Monday evening at a very uncertain distance, but a priori more than 200, 250 or even 300 km from Reunion, specifies Etienne Kapikian, cyclone forecaster at Météo France. It would therefore pass at a further distance than Batsirai”.

“We are not immune to a more pessimistic or more optimistic scenario”, adds Etienne Kapikian.

We can expect a deterioration in the weather from Sunday, then Monday, with a strengthening of the wind. “There could be at least gusts of 90/100 km/h in the lows and more than 100 km/h in the highs, as well as increased rain in the highs”, provides Meteo France Reunion.

Everything will depend on the intensity of the system, its speed of movement and its distance near our coasts.

Here are the predicted intensities and positions of this low pressure system over the next few days:

TROPICAL DEPRESSION, Center positioned on 02/17 at 10 a.m. local, by 14.1 South / 66.1 East.

MODERATE TROPICAL STORM, Center positioned on 02/18 at 10 a.m. local, by 14.5 South / 62.4 East.

STRONG TROPICAL STORM, Center positioned on 02/19 at 10 a.m. local, by 16.2 South / 59.8 East.

STRONG TROPICAL STORM, Center positioned on 02/20 at 10 a.m. local, by 17.4 South / 57.6 East.

TROPICAL CYCLONE, Center positioned on 02/21 at 10 a.m. local, by 18.4 South / 55.3 East

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