Moscow will soon realize the futility of fighting due to the impossibility of conquering new territories. From Volodymyr Zelensky, as former Bundeswehr soldier Hans-Lothar Domrese said, they can expect a compromise solution – the refusal to quickly return temporarily occupied areas.
Former NATO general Hans-Lothar Domrese expects a ceasefire in Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine in late 2023. About this he She said On January 2, in an interview with the newspapers of the Funke group, Deutsche Welle writes.
The army of Ukraine and Russia, according to his estimates, could go on the offensive in the coming months to achieve military goals.
A ceasefire is expected in early summer: Moscow will understand the futility of further fighting due to the impossibility of conquering new territories in Ukraine, Domrese said.
According to the military, the most realistic deadline for understanding the stalemate will come in the February-May period.
“There will only be the possibility of concluding an agreement that satisfies both parties”, underlined the NATO general.
A compromise option, according to Domrese, could be the refusal of the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky from the immediate return of Crimea and other territories temporarily occupied by Russia under the control of Kiev.
50-year transitional period for Russian-occupied territories
According to the general, the parties can agree on a transitional period of 50 years. In this regard, he compared the situation to the return of Hong Kong to China under a formally signed agreement between Britain and China.
“Negotiations can take a long time. An intermediary is needed here, perhaps UN Secretary-General Guterres, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan or Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi,” the military added.
Andras Rach, expert of the German Foreign Policy Society on Russia and security issues, also speaks of the possible start of negotiations to end hostilities by the summer. According to him, a ceasefire agreement is very likely to be reached by the end of the year.
Proof of the likelihood of this option is the fact that in 2024 presidential elections will be held in Russia. The Kremlin will not be able to wage an intense war on the eve of this event.
Representative of the Christian Democratic Union of Germany David McAllister in communication with the Berliner Zeitung underlinedthat the Kremlin cannot and must not impose an imposed peace on Ukraine.
“Only the Ukrainian government decides when the conditions for ceasefire negotiations will be created,” he said.
Recall that the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky on December 12 in a conversation with US President Joe Biden he called for a comprehensive peace summit.
Zelensky expressed the peace formula for ending the war in Ukraine at the G20 summit on 15 November. This formula contains 10 conditions, including forcing the Kremlin to abandon nuclear threats.
