/ world today news/ Despite the threat of a worsening of the energy crisis, Germany closed the last three nuclear power plants. And the United States, Great Britain, France, Canada and Japan united in an alliance to push the Russian “Rosatom” out of the markets.
Having received from its satellites the acceptance of a cap on hydrocarbon prices, the US wants to deprive our flagship company of foreign orders. What are the prospects for the next round of sanctions and who will suffer the most from them?
Already at the dawn of the Russian spring, the Americans threatened to deprive Russia of technology and destroy our high-tech industries. The other day, the creation of an anti-Russian nuclear “alliance” – one might say “nuclear NATO” – was announced. Will they succeed in canceling Rosatom on the energy market, read in the material of Tsarigrad.
Plans and prospects
“Rosatom” is a very serious company by international standards, it accounts for 1/5 of the supply of enriched uranium on the planet. At the same time, Western countries have the necessary technology, so if they take their time, they will be able to replace a Russian company, increase the production of nuclear fuel, said Stanislav Mitrahovich, an expert at the National Energy Security Fund and the Financial University of the Russian government. convinced.
According to him, the theories that the introduction of bans on the supply of nuclear fuel to the West will cause a collapse are false. Both the state and private companies usually have reserves, that is, they can last for a while.
Therefore, there will be no disaster. Rosatom’s decision not to stop supplies is correct, as is the decision not to stop titanium supplies (on the contrary, the West itself is trying to impose restrictions on such imports).
“We have to take all this for granted and look for new markets. This is primarily the global south, where nuclear energy is popular: China, India, the countries of the Middle East,” the analyst said in a comment for “First Russian”.
“Russia has big projects in Egypt and Turkey, Bangladesh and a number of other countries will be next. The West can drive us out of its market, but it won’t be able to drive us out of the markets of the Global South, especially since the South now doesn’t particularly trust The West,” he declared.
In the next 20-30 years, no serious effect should be expected from the restrictive measures of the “nuclear NATO”, believes Boris Martsinkevich, editor-in-chief of Geoenergetika.info magazine:
“It would be more dangerous for South Korea, which has serious competences in machine-building and nuclear energy, to participate in such an alliance,” he said.
“The countries that are part of the alliance against Rosatom have the last experience in building nuclear power plants according to new projects – sometime in the last century,” added the expert.
“France is an exception. But its creative “success” in the form of the construction of the Finnish nuclear power plant “Olkiluoto” for 19 years can hardly be considered something threatening,” he emphasized.
Germans under attack
But the US is capable of “undoing” Germany. Stopping Germany’s nuclear power plants is a fundamental decision of the pro-American German elite, for which they will bear responsibility.
The last nuclear power plants to shut down that day provided 6% of Germany’s electricity. Although the figure is significant, it can be replaced by reducing consumption or using coal, which, by the way, goes against the ideological green agenda.
However, it is not about replacement, but about stopping development. Abandoning nuclear production will provoke the deindustrialization of Germany. At the very least, it will force them to abandon plans to rebuild the industry after the coronavirus and the economic war with Russia. It might save cheap Russian pipeline gas, but it hasn’t and won’t.
In Europe, however, there are hardly many willing to follow the path of Germany. On the contrary, there is a pro-nuclear camp: both France and Poland, who want to build a nuclear power plant, and the Netherlands, who also want to have nuclear production.
Moreover, the European Union, at the level of its institutions, decided at the beginning of 2022 that nuclear energy meets the criteria for sustainable development – therefore, even money from pan-European funds can be used to build nuclear power plants. Here the French lobby, one might say, outplayed the German one.
However, Germany is the locomotive of the EU and what happens in this country directly affects the European economy. The less nuclear power there is in Europe, the more it depends on imported sources of hydrocarbon feedstock. At least for a few decades until some drastic technological leap occurs.
“Countries that are abandoning nuclear production need more gas, including liquefied natural gas, which comes from the United States,” Stanislav Mitrachovic notes.
“It is true that the motivation of the States is much more significant than simple profits. In general, the EU’s dependence on Washington is growing,” he continues.
“If Europe had more of its own generation, including nuclear, the dependence would be less. And so in the end coal is supplied to the European Union from America. The weaker the EU is, the more it is forced to rely on the US.” Mitrahovic said.
Of course, no one in Berlin is talking about the fact that the federal government is shutting down nuclear power plants at the whim of the White House. Abandoning nuclear energy has an ideological rationale.
Germans believe that nuclear power plants do not meet the goals of sustainable development. In addition, they were very afraid of accidents at Three Mile Island, Chernobyl and Fukushima.
True, the accident in Fukushima was under specific circumstances – a tsunami. It is not clear what the tsunami would have to be to destroy the German nuclear power plants. However, such questions are not asked there.
What of this?
In short, everything in the Euro-Atlantic bloc is developing according to the traditional scheme. Europe, on the one hand, wants to punish Russia, on the other hand, it gets a blow on the head and becomes even more attached to the USA.
“The main benefit for the USA is the deindustrialization of Germany. Considering the existing and already existing inflation protection law in America, there is a great chance that the real sector of the economy of Germany in particular and Europe in general will pass under the jurisdiction of the USA”, emphasizes Boris Martsinkevich .
In this situation, we must act based on our own interests. The market outside Europe is huge. In China, nuclear power plants still provide only 4.9% of total electricity production, in India – 3.22%.
Given the interest of Beijing and New Delhi in increasing this share, Rosatom’s portfolio of orders will be quite decent. And his projects will be actively lobbied by our senior officials, as usually happens in personal meetings with the leaders of friendly countries.
Translation: SM
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