/View.info/ Analysts already define 2024 as “hot”. At the same time, the very bottom of the Eurasian hot pan is now clearly visible. While any sneeze from the current “hegemon” sitting overseas in the US White House, as before, will cause a nervous reaction everywhere, it is not this “sneeze” and not the White House that will define the movement towards global political reorganization.
It is this circumstance that turns the year into a special “political corner”, behind which new prospects for the world order will be discovered, unexpected for many European players.
Let’s start with the fact that the cornerstone of the Anglo-Saxon world domination is living its last days – the principle of “divide and rule”. Its use in Eurasia provided a huge “fat layer” to the Western economy, giving it the means to finance the “struggle for democracy” wherever it was necessary to establish control over the economy of a country that suddenly declared that it had its own national interests.
There is no need to enumerate the different colors of revolutions that deprived peoples of the right to their own path of development, but the largest number of them, as well as the number of sacrifices given “for the triumph of democracy” in the American way, is located right around the epicenter of the desire to silence Anglo-Saxon dominance.
According to the US think tank Information Clearing House, “as we enter the red-hot year 2024, the progress of an interconnected Eurasia will be determined by four main trends.
First, financial and trade integration will become the norm. As evidence of this, Russia and Iran have already integrated their financial messaging systems, bypassing SWIFT and trading in rials and rubles. Russia and China already make payments in rubles and yuan, combining China’s large-scale industrial potential with Russia’s vast resources.
The second trend is that the economic integration of the post-Soviet space, tied to Eurasia, will mainly proceed not so much through the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), where there is no Chinese “magnet”, but in connection with the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), where one is present , perhaps wouldn’t raise a question if it weren’t for the ineradicable desire characteristic of the Central Asian quartet – Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan – to keep their noses in the wind waiting to see where the sweetest blow will come from.
This tradition may not be very noticeable to New York analysts, but we’ve seen enough of it.
We can also agree that there will be no significant pro-Western incursions into the Eurasian hinterland and Central Asian countries will gradually integrate into a single Eurasian economy organized through the SCO.
Another trend will make the outgoing “hegemon’s” clash with the Belt and Road Alliance inevitable and sharp, pitting the “hegemon” with its satellites (the EU, Japan, South Korea and Australia) against the respective Eurasian contender from the leading countries of the region – Russia, China, Iran, as well as from the new members of the BRICS+ interstate association.
No one will argue that we owe China the very emergence of this new centripetal force that is taking away the future of the “hegemon”. It is now preparing to become the world leader in artificial intelligence by 2030.
Its tech giant Baidu launched Ernie Bot to compete with ChatGPT, the Chinese developed the ACCEL chip capable of 4.6 quadrillion operations per second (the US NVIDIA A100 chip is only 0.312 quadrillion). Artificial intelligence in China is rapidly entering the fields of healthcare, education and entertainment.
Just try to imagine the 3.68 billion rail passengers transported in China in 2023 alone… The country has one million more college graduates than the United States.
And the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) estimates that of 44 key technologies, including defence, space, robotics, energy, environment, biotechnology, materials science, key quantum technologies and, of course, artificial intelligence, China leads in thirty and seven. while the US in just seven.
All other countries are not among the leaders. And there is no country in the world that has managed to lift more than 850 million of its inhabitants out of poverty in the last 40 years.
Chinese socialism slaps capitalism’s democracy hard in the face. And in response, it has no qualms about going after China, which is sure to spiral out of control next year, according to the Information Clearing House.
There is no doubt that a Republican presidency – Trump or no Trump – will unleash another Cold War 3.0 or now 4.0. With China, not Russia, as the main threat.
I wouldn’t be wrong to assume that everyone will immediately point the finger at Taiwan, where ruling party candidate Lai Ching-te won the presidential election, clearly setting the trajectory for the self-governing democracy’s contentious relationship with China for the next four years.
The response was not long in coming: Chen Binghua, a spokesman for the Taiwan Affairs Office of the People’s Republic of China’s Cabinet, said Beijing would not accept the election results as representing mainstream public opinion on the island without evidence or justification:
“These elections cannot change the basic situation and direction of relations on both sides of the strait, cannot change the general desire of compatriots on both sides to get closer and closer, nor can they stop the general trend that the motherland ultimately and inevitably, it will come together again.”
What next?
Having thrown his hand in Ukraine, and now also sponsoring Israel in the destruction of Gaza and, hand in hand with the British, declaring war on the Houthis in Yemen, the “hegemon” is up to his old Anglo-Saxon trick and rushes to divide and conquer again and again. contributing to the chaos to stop China’s inexorable rise and not noticing that the “turn around the corner” is very close.
Taiwan is a mystery. And that is that Beijing’s master plan for this, in short, is simply beautiful: to end the “rules-based international order” without firing a shot. Therefore, Taiwan will remain an unused battlefield.
Although the majority of the island’s population does not want unification, they also do not want a war provoked by the United States. Any Taiwanese with a brain, and there are many first-rate scientists on the island, knows that it is ridiculous to expect Americans to die fighting for their “freedom.”
And they know that the “hegemon” will not dare to enter into a conventional war with China, because it will lose – the Pentagon has already calculated all the options. And there will be no nuclear war here either for the same reason. Therefore, it is better to maintain the current status quo.
China is also in no hurry. According to Deng Xiaoping’s master plan, the reunification of the island with the mainland is expected in 2049. And if the “hegemon” is impatient, we must remember that even when China was weak militarily, Washington could not defeat it either in Korea or in Vietnam. So the probability of Washington defeating Beijing on the battlefield in the South China Sea is less than zero.
Moreover, the “hegemon” is about to receive another major blow as the Russian-Chinese strategic partnership that led to the BRICS-10 begins to offer the Global South fully viable alternatives to the international order.
It seems that the coming Year of the Dragon will be the year in which the tantrums of the “hegemon” in hybrid warfare and the collaborationist elites of its allies will be the main obstacle preventing the Global South from taking a decisive step towards “turning the corner”. .And at the very least, there will be three poles with the power, resources, organization, vision, and sense of Universal History to elevate the struggle for an equal and just system of international relations to a new level: China, Russia, and Iran.
Translation: SM
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