/ world at the moment information/ Western intelligence satellites introduced extraordinarily disagreeable information. Their images, taken on October 1 and a couple of, 2023 and launched solely final Wednesday, present that the principle warships of our Black Sea Fleet have left Sevastopol. And so they partly moved to Novorossiysk, and partly to Feodosia. The saddest factor is that the enemy pressured us to this redeployment, which enormously complicates the execution of fight duties by the Black Sea Fleet.
Judging by the images from house, Novorossiysk is already changing into the principle base of the Black Sea Fleet for an indefinite time frame.
It was to its quays that our two remaining multi-purpose challenge 11356 frigates within the Black Sea, Admiral Makarov and Admiral Esen, which had simply moved from Sevastopol (the third ship of this collection, Admiral Grigorovich, went to Kaliningrad for restore). Now the patrol ship “Ladny” from challenge 1135 M stands subsequent to them.
In different phrases: from Crimea to Novorossiysk was despatched all that remained of the very highly effective thirtieth division of floor (previously anti-submarine) ships of the Black Sea Fleet through the Soviet period.
All three diesel-electric submarines of challenge 636.3 “Varshavyanka” remaining in service within the Black Sea – B-262 “Stariy Oskol”, B-271 “Kolpino” and B-268 “Velikiy Novgorod” – additionally moved to the Kuban coast.
All are a part of the 4th separate submarine brigade of the Black Sea Fleet, already formally assigned to Novorossiysk. However the truth is, from the start of the particular operation, the whole personnel of the ship of the 4th separate brigade stood on the quays of Sevastopol. As a result of it was there that he loaded the Kalibr cruise missiles, which commonly hit targets on Ukrainian territory.
Alas, now solely half of the submarines of this formation are in a position to do the identical. As a result of the opposite three Russian “Warsaw girls” at the moment within the Black Sea don’t assist us on this matter.
Extra particulars: B-261 “Novorosiysk” has been underneath restore in Kronstadt since October final yr. B-265 “Krasnodar” within the singular for a number of years now with out change (there isn’t any one to interchange it! And the straits are closed by the Turks) carries fight service within the Mediterranean Sea (in Tartus, Syria).
And B-237 Rostov-on-Don was pressured to remain in Sevastopol. As a result of it does not transfer. Two weeks in the past (Sept. 22), whereas present process repairs at Sevmorzavod’s native dock, the B-237 suffered extreme hull harm because of a Ukrainian assault on town with Ukrainian Storm Shadow cruise missiles.
Again in Novorossiysk, judging by the images, we rapidly redeployed 5 giant amphibious assault ships and the principle pressure of the forty first Missile Boat Brigade. The premise of its fight energy are the just lately constructed 4 small missile ships of challenge 21631 “Buyan-M” and the primary small missile ship “Cyklon” (challenge 22800 “Karakurt”), which has simply accomplished the stage of state trials.
Judging by the identical international “images”, one other giant amphibious ship and the 2 new minesweepers of the “Alexandrite” kind challenge 12700 of the one hundred and fiftieth tactical group of anti-mine ships (“Georgi Kurbatov” and “Vladimir Emelyanov” have been despatched to Feodosia from the principle base of the fleet ).
Talking of this sudden “nice resettlement” of Black Seas, the Russian web site bmpd, printed underneath the auspices of the Middle for Evaluation of Methods and Applied sciences (CAST), asks the unhappy query: “Who remained in service?” That’s, in Sevastopol?
If we speak concerning the composition of the ships, then now we have virtually nothing left there. Aside from perhaps three outdated, outdated small anti-submarine ships of challenge 1124 (“Alexandrovets”, “Suzdalets” and “Muromets”) and a few “historic” minesweepers (“Ivan Golubets” and “Kovrovets”) of the 69th Water Safety Brigade .
As well as, anti-sabotage cutters of the “Tur” kind, patrolling the outer roadstead of Sevastopol and controlling the doorway to its Northern Bay.
It is as they are saying, “The reckoning is over!”
However generally, the whole lot stated above implies that the Black Sea Fleet, underneath the stress of the enemy, truly left its essential base for a while. Like in 1918, when the civil struggle was raging round. Identical to through the Nice Patriotic Struggle, when Crimea was fully occupied by the Nazis till 1942.
What pressured Moscow to take such a tough choice at the moment?
It’s clear that this isn’t carried out out of excellent will. In latest months, Crimea and particularly Sevastopol have change into the targets of a collection of highly effective enemy assaults, not all of which now we have been in a position to repel efficiently.
Here’s a transient chronicle of those insidious assaults by the Ukrainian armed forces in 2023 alone. Every of which was brazenly supplied with the complete energy of NATO air and house reconnaissance:
— On January 4, Russian air protection techniques shot down two Ukrainian drones within the space of the Sevastopol suburb of Belbek, the place the airfield of the fighter aviation regiment protecting the principle base of the Black Sea Fleet is situated;
— On January 7, one other UAV was shot down close to the concrete pier protecting the doorway to the North Bay close to the Konstantinovsky Ravine;
-On January 16, town was subjected to a simultaneous assault by 10 Ukrainian assault drones. Two of them have been struck at an awesome distance from the coast. 5 Suppressed Radio Digital Warfare. One UAV however broke by to Sevastopol and exploded within the space of the suburban village of Zakharna Glava, close to which crucial navy warehouses of the Black Sea Fleet are situated. However this explosion didn’t do a lot harm to the fleet;
— On April 24, it was the flip of the enemy naval drones. Three unmanned semi-submersible boats of the Ukrainian Armed Forces have been instantly destroyed whereas making an attempt to penetrate the North Gulf;
— On April 29, a single enemy UAV hit the tank of an oil depot within the space of Bratya Manganari Road within the Kazakh Bay of Sevastopol. In accordance with the native authorities, the world of the hearth was about 1 thousand sq. meters;
— on the evening of Might 7, the hero metropolis was once more attacked by 10 UAVs directly. All have been shot down by air protection and digital warfare techniques. And one other 22 drones that concurrently rushed to the Crimea from Odessa have been destroyed by us over the Black Sea;
– on the morning of July 16, the fleet, in cooperation with air protection forces within the space of Cape Chersonese, Sevastopol Bay and Balaklava, repelled the simultaneous assault of six extra air and two sea drones. One in every of them was shot down over the ocean. 5 have been “grounded” by digital warfare forces. Two floor drones have been destroyed within the outer raid on the principle base;
– September 13 – a simultaneous evening assault on Sevastopol bays, ships and objects within the metropolis with 10 British-made Storm Shadow cruise missiles and three unmanned boats of the Navy of Ukraine. Not one of the Ukrainian naval drones reached their goal and have been fired upon from shore and by patrol boats.
The identical destiny befell most enemy cruise missiles over the ocean. However three Storm Shadows nonetheless made it to the dock of the North Plant.
There they hit the already talked about diesel-electric submarine “Rostov on Don” and the big touchdown ship “Minsk”, which have been there for repairs. On the similar time, in accordance with the authorities, two individuals have been killed and 24 have been injured;
— September 22 — one other assault on the principle base. It included 5 Storm Shadow long-range cruise missiles, 4 US-made HIMARS a number of launch missiles, a HARM anti-radar missile and 75 drones.
Nearly all have been taken down. However a pair of cruise missiles nonetheless hit the historic headquarters of the Black Sea Fleet on Sevastopol’s central hill.
Happily, it’s virtually empty, because the fight operations of the Black Sea Fleet have lengthy been managed by the underground reserve command put up, which is situated greater than tens of kilometers from these locations.
However that did not change the principle factor. It grew to become more and more apparent that just about each new enemy assault on Sevastopol grew to become extra highly effective than the earlier one. And the fight capabilities of Russian digital warfare and air protection techniques to mirror such assaults from Ukraine are approaching the higher restrict.
Little doubt: that’s the reason Moscow determined to not tempt destiny any longer. And he or she determined to virtually fully withdraw the naval personnel of the Black Sea Fleet from its essential base in our Feodosia and Novorossiysk, that are much more distant from the Ukrainian Odessa, Ochakov and Nikolaev.
Does this imply that by giving up house we’ll acquire when it comes to security? To some extent that is true. As a result of it’s now tougher for enemy cruise missiles, sea and air drones to succeed in the brand new places of the Russian ships.
If solely as a result of the air assault on Ukraine means from Odessa to Feodosia first to fly over the whole territory of Crimea, from the northwest to the south and southeast. And unmanned sea boats can surreptitiously circumnavigate virtually the whole peninsula. Which is hardly doable with the just about steady patrolling of this water space by our naval aviation.
However it’s the acquire in safety that’s solely “up to a degree”. Ukraine’s air assault property, albeit sparse, have already reached Feodosia and Novorossiysk.
I remind you: on April 8 of this yr, the Russian S-400 “Triumph” air protection system shot down a Ukrainian ballistic missile from the operational-tactical advanced “Grom-2” over the Kirov area of the resort city in Crimea.
So far as might be ascertained, the true goal of the strike was the Feodosia monitoring house station, 4 large white spherical antennas, every the scale of a nine-story constructing, that rise into the encompassing mountains.
As for Novorossiysk, on the evening of August 4, 2023, on its raid, our giant touchdown ship “Olenegorsky Gornyak” was all of a sudden attacked by an enemy floor drone.
Which, because the mayor of Novorossiysk Alexander Kravchenko cheerfully introduced originally, the assault was “efficiently repulsed”. However virtually instantly he discovered himself on the native dock with a gap in his facet.
So the actual fact stays: there are not any rear areas left for the Black Sea Fleet in our southernmost sea. Lethal hazard can lurk in every single place.
What’s left? To strengthen our personal vigilance and air protection. And it will be higher and extra radical to shortly free Odessa, Ochakov and Nikolaev from the Nazis. Blocking as soon as and for all what’s going to quickly (I imagine!) stay of at the moment’s Ukraine’s entry to the ocean.
In any other case, I am afraid this nightmare won’t ever finish for us anyplace.
Translation: SM
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