/ world today news/ Dimitar Ganev, “Ivan Hadjiyski” Institute
The most important point that should be highlighted for the past 100 days of the administration of the “Borisov 2” cabinet is that we have some positive signal from the point of view of resolving the political crisis that Bulgaria has been in since the beginning of 2013. This permanent crisis that we have been in for the last 2 years seems to have found its solution in the last month or two. We see that we still have a government and a stable one, and for now its perspective is not short-term. It seems to me that we will remember the first 100 days with a gradual stabilization of the government. It was created with severe labor pains.
Within the first month there were serious tremors – the tension between the two camps in the Reform Bloc was at a high level, the Patriotic Front was constantly considering withdrawing its support. The cabinet did not start with very serious confidence in him, but on the other hand, in the last two months we have noticed a stabilization of the management configuration. It seems that the government started out more fragile and then stabilized – a rare phenomenon for Bulgaria. Practically, despite the lack of initial euphoria, in the last 3 months there is a clear trend of increasing confidence in the “Borisov 2” cabinet and optimism. So the first expectations that the government is temporary and it is a matter of days before we go to the elections again, the coalition partners quarrel and again fall into a political crisis, now, after 100 days, seem untenable. The government even looks more stable than it is. The main pillar of its stability is its non-alternativeness. There is currently no configuration that can take its place. There was no serious opposition to the cabinet during the first hundred days of its administration. Therefore, the forecast for early elections within a year will not come true, which is good for the government. But during these first hundred days there was only a declaration and intentions for reforms, and nothing was done. However, if no reforms are implemented in the first year of Borisov 2’s administration, they will not happen at all. Because the upcoming local elections will be a demotivating factor for any reforms.
BSP is still concerned with itself rather than any opposition activity. My guess is that in resolving its internal contradictions, if it manages to resolve them at all, the left will move into a tighter oppositional role. However, DPS is increasingly beginning to take on the appearance of an opposition party. During the formation of the government, the movement declared its support for a possible one-party cabinet of Borisov, then there was support for the pension reforms, which shook the opposition party of the DPS. But in recent months, the movement began to enter its opposition role more strongly, which was also stated with the categorical disagreement with some of the laws that were passed, as well as with the attempt to initiate a vote of no confidence against Minister Moskov for his speech against the Roma. “Attack” is a radical opposition to everything and everyone and will remain in that role. The challenges facing the government now are reforms. If they don’t start, he will be asked why the Reform Bloc is in the cabinet at all. The reformers became part of it at the cost of many compromises in order to make reforms. If they do not happen, why are they in power, self-serving or? Schengen is also a challenge, but I have serious reservations about this as well. If the government starts the reforms, the evaluation of its work will increase, if it does not, however, it will decrease.
#fate #cabinet #depends #reforms
What key indicators should we look for in evaluating the success or failure of the Borisov 2 cabinet‘s initial reforms over the next few months?
World today news Interview with 2 guests about the Borisov 2 Cabinet’s first 100 days:
Thematic Section 1: Political Crisis and Stability
– How would you assess the overall impact of the Borisov 2 cabinet on resolving Bulgaria’s political crisis after its first 100 days in office?
– What factors contributed to the initial instability of the coalition government, and how have they been addressed or alleviated in the following months?
– Looking back, did the coalition partners underestimate the challenges they faced during the formation of the government or did they simply manage to overcome them?
Thematic Section 2: Reforms and Governance
– The Reform Bloc has declared its intentions for reforms. Do you think the government has lived up to these expectations so far? If not, why not?
– Considering the likelihood of upcoming local elections, do you foresee any policy initiatives or reforms being put on hold due to fear of potential backlash from voters?
– What specific areas of reform should be prioritized by the Borisov 2 cabinet, given its current political climate and public sentiment?
Thematic Section 3: Opposition and Support for the Government
– How have the roles of opposition parties such as BSP and DPS evolved since the formation of the Borisov 2 cabinet? Do you expect this trend to continue, or will there be any shifts in their stances in the future?
– Is there still room for further realignment among political parties in Bulgaria, or have the major factions largely solidified their positions?
– What type of support (if any) can we expect from opposition parties in passing key legislation and initiatives?
Thematic Section 4: Future Challenges and Evaluation
– What are some of the major challenges that lie ahead for the Borisov 2 cabinet in terms of policy implementation and public opinion?
– How will the success or failure of reforms impact the government’s overall evaluation by citizens and international observers?
– Do you believe that the government’s ultimate success or failure will depend on its ability to pass key legislation, or will other factors such as economic growth or crime rates be more influential?
