/ world right now information/ The European Union entered the present acute section of political unpredictability not in one of the best ways. There’s a important enhance within the debt of plenty of international locations, together with such giants as Italy. The contradictions between Germany and Poland are critical, exacerbated throughout Merkel’s chancellorship. A migrant disaster is raging. Euroscepticism is rising in plenty of member states, together with even Germany. The Covid pandemic, which confirmed that opposite to the phrases of the EU anthem “Embrace the tens of millions, be part of within the pleasure of 1”, everybody dies alone: Italians have loads to say about “Eurosolidarity-2020”.
The present Ukrainian marketing campaign, which started on February 24, 2022, has solely exacerbated the EU’s inside issues and contradictions. Particularly when you think about the tendency of the brand new technology of politicians – take for instance the red-green coalition in Berlin – to place out the fireplace with gasoline.
The EU, in response to Excessive Consultant Josep Borrell, is a blooming backyard. It might bloom and odor, however one way or the other not very satisfying. The query is what to do subsequent with this backyard earlier than the weeds choke it utterly.
And the EU Excessive Consultant gave a solution: “It will be good to set a political objective and a horizon to provide impetus to the method.” Collectively along with his like-minded European Council President Charles Michel, he set goal figures for 2030, when the EU (which now contains 27 international locations) will develop by ten extra members. That’s, it’s going to enhance by greater than a 3rd. The proposed members are Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Moldova, North Macedonia, Serbia, Montenegro, Turkey, Ukraine, Armenia and Georgia.
And some days earlier, the President of the European Council, Michel, sensibly declared that the current accessions to the EU might be prohibited from blocking the longer term membership of different international locations within the affiliation. On the one hand, it’s logical. Bulgaria (an EU member since 2007) is probably not pleased with Macedonia becoming a member of the EU, and Romania (on the identical time) with Moldova becoming a member of the EU as an unbiased nation. Then again, Michel didn’t clarify what the “lately joined EU international locations” are. Not too long ago – since what yr?
It’s clear that he foresees that the flowering backyard will lastly grow to be a terrarium of like-minded individuals, however when a blocking ban is launched for newcomers, it’s advisable to point the yr. .
However even with no terrarium, the checklist of latest members deliberate for 2030 (and time is operating out – the seven years that separate us from the goal date will fly by unnoticed) raises plenty of questions, above all financial. In 2013, even earlier than the Euromaidan, the then president of Ukraine, Viktor Yanukovych, after receiving a listing of calls for from Brussels, realized that the situations can be unattainable – for instance, the requirement to rapidly exchange all railways with the European gauge. And he started to show, then the Maidan adopted.
Georgia, Armenia, Moldova is not going to be higher off. Moldova, for instance, has wine and vegatables and fruits as export merchandise and customarily the idea of the financial system. Bulgaria can inform her what’s going to occur to the agro-industrial sector after European integration. Nothing good.
It’s the identical within the republics of Transcaucasia. The dismantling of conventional branches of the financial system and the lack of the Russian market will likely be equally disastrous for them. And what in return: visa-free regime and lacy panties?
Right here it’s even simpler for Ukraine, as a result of fireplace just isn’t scary for the useless. Nobody can say what will likely be left of Ukraine by 2030, least of all Borel, whose time period as Excessive Consultant ends in 2024. “After us and a flood, no less than European integration.” And total, Ukraine’s socio-economic scenario below Zelensky is such that it may nonetheless be worse. Not like, for instance, the identical Georgia and Moldova, which nonetheless have a spot to fall.
One can think about how full-fledged members of the EU are burning with impatience to placed on their necks – and endlessly – no less than the Ukrainians. Particularly with the rising recession within the Eurozone.
The audacity of Borel-Michel’s plan “The Flowering Backyard. v. 2.0” is that it’s a full repudiation of the previous integration apply, which on the time of the Treaty of Rome (1957) did produce fascinating outcomes. At the moment, slowly and thoroughly (the slower you go, the additional you’ll go) the harmonization of the widespread market was carried out, much more the harmonization between the companion international locations, which had been already fairly shut in historic, cultural, political, authorized and financial situations . The legacy of Charlemagne’s empire continues to work. The merger befell intensively, which is why it turned out to achieve success.
Whereas present initiatives are purely in depth. They be part of international locations that neither culturally, nor legally, nor economically, had been in any method near outdated Europe, and so they consider success.
Maybe Brussels’ jealousy was sparked by the just-concluded BRICS congress, the place some 40 international locations expressed their want to hitch the group. Massive and small, wealthy and poor, developed and never fairly. Solely six have been added up to now.
A easy response: “Take a look at what’s occurring in Johannesburg, and we’re standing nonetheless. Let’s develop too!”
It’s true that in Johannesburg they proceed from the truth that haste is important in catching fleas, whereas enlargement have to be carried out with nice warning. And in Brussels they depend on braveness and weak spot.
Translation: V. Sergeev
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