“The likely scenario for the coming years is a decrease in investment in Poland to 16.4 percent of GDP in 2025.” – according to the latest report of the Warsaw School of Economics and the Economic Forum 2023. It indicates that Poland, in terms of the level of investment, is significantly behind even Hungary.
“Due to the long-term downward trend of investments in Poland, the likely scenario for 2023-2025 is a continuation of the visible decline in investments to 16.4% of GDP in 2025.” – we read in the published report of the Warsaw School of Economics and the Economic Forum 2023 .
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“Such a scenario may be supported by the pressure caused by the impact of many factors, including: high inflation and interest rates, a slowdown in GDP growth, uncertainty as to a quick end to the armed conflict in Ukraine, the failure to translate the decline in energy commodity prices into retail prices, and finally the lack of factors stimulating private investments.”
The authors of the report state that the value of investments in relation to GDP in Poland in 2008-2022 fell from 23.1 percent to 23.1 percent. in 2008 to 16.8 percent. in 2022. “In terms of the level of investment, Poland lags significantly behind other countries of Central and Eastern Europe, in particular the Czech Republic or even Hungary, and this trend is long-term” – we read.
Are we facing a further decline in investment?
The likely scenario for the years 2023-2025 is, as indicated, a continuation of the decrease in investment to 16.4 percent, visible in Poland. GDP in 2025. “Such a scenario may be supported by the pressure caused by the influence of many factors, including: high inflation and interest rates, slowdown in GDP growth, uncertainty as to a quick end to the armed conflict in Ukraine, lack of transmission of the decline in energy commodity prices to retail prices or, finally, the lack of factors stimulating private investment” – emphasized in the report. Meanwhile, in the Strategy for Responsible Development, i.e. the so-called Morawiecki’s Plan, it was assumed, among others, an increase in the investment rate to 22-25 percent. in 2020 and maintaining the level of 25 percent. by 2030.
2023-09-05 19:25:00
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