The government’s YES has the second highest potential, followed by a coalition of Pirates and STAN. The YES movement of Prime Minister Andrej Babiš has a chance to reach up to 30 percent of voters. The pirates, along with the Mayors, could think of winning up to 27.5 percent of the vote.
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In fourth place, according to a survey by the SPD movement, has a potential of 13.5 percent, the fifth is the Social Democrats with up to ten percent. The Oath Movement could get up to 9.5 percent of the vote from voters.
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The potential of the KSČM is eight percent and the Greens one percentage point lower. Up to 5.5 percent of voters could support the joint candidate of Tricolor, Free and Private.
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The electoral potential expresses the maximum possible profit of a party or coalition in the event that all voters who are considering the election of a given entity vote in the election. The sum of potentials is not one hundred percent. A voter deciding, for example, between two entities is counted as a potential voter for both of them. It is therefore not a forecast of election results as in the case of the election model.
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Data on the electoral potential of the parties were collected by the agencies Kantar and Data Collect from 19 August to 3 September. 3,000 people took part in the survey.
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Seven political entities with the highest potential and long-term support in public opinion polls will be invited by the Czech Television to regional pre-election debates. The series of 14 discussions will culminate in a super-debate in the week before the elections, which are scheduled for October 8 and 9.
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