[The Epoch Times, 20 Samhain, 2024](Reported by Epoch Times reporters Ning Haizhong and Luo Ya) US President Trump (Trump) will take office early next year. Trump has named key White House officials and cabinet members who have taken a hard line on China issues. According to sources, despite their efforts, Chinese officials have not been able to get meetings with potential officials in the Trump administration. Experts Explain the Various Reasons CCP Officials Can’t Get Close to Trump’s Team US wrong.
Why can’t the CCP build relationships with the Trump team?
On the 19th, the British Financial Times reported that people familiar with the matter said that Chinese Communist Party officials were running around Washington and New York, hoping to find contacts with Trump, but were under chance China has failed to secure meetings with potential Trump administration officials. The main question Beijing wants to know is “what Trump wants.”
Xie Feng, China’s ambassador to the United States, has suspended outreach activities in recent months and hosted dozens of senior US officials and experts, according to people familiar with the matter. China at his house. But Chinese Communist Party officials have “bad luck”.
Ye Yaoyuan, Professor of International Studies at the University of St. Thomas, USA (provided by myself)
Ye Yaoyuan, a professor of international studies at the University of St. Thomas in the United States, told The Epoch Times that when the CCP looks at US diplomacy, it has always believed that it is a trade negotiator. ‘ in Trump. Beijing itself believes that anything can be exchanged, as long as it is beneficial to both parties, it will exchange it with you. In the past, the CCP also used this method to move around the United States and influence take on American policies whether it is the Democratic Party or the Republican Party in the United States, there are still core values.
“When Trump was elected president, the most important thing is not to increase his personal wealth or his personal interests, but for the good of the country. CCP’s thinking is basically wrong.
He believes this is the reason why Chinese Communist Party officials are blocked from entering and cannot have any form of dialogue with Trump’s team.
Chen Shimin, an associate professor in the Department of Political Science at the National Taiwan University, said in an interview with the Epoch Times reporter that countries around the world want to communicate with Trump and the government officials. his future and understand Trump’s future policy direction.
He explained that tariffs, tax cuts and immigration are Trump’s most important policies. The most important thing about tariffs is targeting China, because China and the United States have a large trade deficit. Chinese Communist Party officials also want to know what policies Trump and his government will take on the Taiwan issue, and whether they can make concessions or compromises on the Taiwan issue.
Chen Shimin said that it seems now whether it is before the election or after the election, the CCP’s efforts to contact the Trump team have been very unsuccessful. Trump’s team will not What do you want to talk to the CCP?
On the other hand, Chen Shimin believes that Trump’s policies are uncertain Even if Chinese Communist Party officials find important officials appointed by Trump, these officials will not be able to express their opinions. For Trump, tariffs are just a policy tool to maximize pressure, not the real end goal.
“For Trump, he wants to reduce the trade deficit between the United States and China and convince China not to hinder the return of American manufacturing so that the American people can find jobs. This is the real purpose of Trump.”
Has Trump’s victory caught the CCP off guard?
Evan Medeiros, former White House senior official for Asia affairs, met with Xie Feng before the US election. He told the Financial Times that Trump’s victory caught the CCP “off guard”.
Ye Yaoyuan said that the first reason the CCP was kept on guard was because the original poll showed that Trump’s chances of being elected were not as high as second, in terms of Trump’s election, no that the CCP was kept under guard, but did not know how to face Trump, what tricks there are to deal with him.
“For example, once Trump imposes 60% tariffs on China, the CCP will not know how to counter it. How Trump will deal with China next, so far is unknown at a person.”
Chen Shimin said that he believed that the CCP had prepared well for Trump’s victory. However, after Trump was elected, the CCP was still very worried and eager to know what Trump wanted. to do, because he was never able to get a proper message. . You may feel trapped.
Associate Professor Chen Shimin, Department of Political Science, National Taiwan University (provided by Chen Shimin)
The US-China tariff war is an uncertain outcome
Christopher Johnson, a former senior analyst in China at the CIA, said that Chinese Communist Party officials pay close attention to US economic policies “Their top three priorities are tariffs, tariffs and tariffs.
During his presidential campaign this year, Trump said that if elected, he would increase tariffs on China to 60% to reduce the US-China trade deficit.
Ye Yaoyuan said that Trump’s move is very fatal to the CCP, and even the CCP itself cannot predict what effect it will have on the whole country. Of course, people often say that they will be hurt when they impose tariffs, but Trump believes that he can basically carry the US market in the last few years, yes the US market has been relatively more suitable to deal with this through the After all, the United States and China are also involved in disconnection.
Chen Shimin said that China’s economy has slowed down, unemployment has increased, people’s incomes have decreased, and public dissatisfaction has increased significantly Under this situation, if Trump really implements 60% tariffs, China may have to reduce its economic growth rate by 2%. year, the impact is huge, and the economy and society may be in more turmoil.
However, Chen Shimin believes that it is still unclear how many tariffs Trump will impose on China. Trump may start with 20% of the tax If the CCP is still not willing to change and buy American agricultural products, he can increase the tax directly to 40% or 60%. “Regarding the Taiwan issue, I believe that Trump’s own officials do not know what Trump intends to do. “
Is the new Trump administration full of hawks and a new storm in US-China relations inevitable?
In addition to tariffs, Trump has appointed China hawks to key positions in his new administration, including the nomination of Mike Waltz as national security adviser and Marco Rubio as secretary of state. This is an ominous sign for Beijing.
Rubio was twice endorsed by the Chinese Communist Party in 2020 due to his hardline stance on Xinjiang and Hong Kong issues. Waltz is considered one of the most “hawkish” representatives of China in the US Congress. He is a member of the “China Affairs Working Group” of the House of Representatives and has asked everyone not to to buy goods made in China. He also criticized the Biden administration for “not being prepared fast enough on the Taiwan issue.”
The US-China Economic and Security Review Commission (USCC) said in its 2024 annual report on the 19th that the elimination of the most favored nation status granted to China by the United States in 2000 could lead to unfair trade practices amend the CCP and enable the United States to resolve the CCP’s unfair trade practices.
This is the first time that a specific group of the US Congress has specifically requested that appropriate bills be finalized. Currently, Republican members of Congress are advocating this proposal.
The China Economic and Strategic Initiative (CESI) think tank released a report titled “Defeating the CCP: A Running Start” in November, providing guidance to President-elect Trump. The core of the report focuses on seven presidential action initiatives aimed at countering the new Cold War threat from the Chinese Communist Party and protecting US economic interests and freedoms.
The report’s authors are mostly China policy hawks during the Trump administration, including former State Department and national security officials.
On November 16, Chinese Communist Party leader Xi Jinping met with US President Biden. The White House’s statement continued to emphasize “sensible management of competition” and the prevention of conflicts. Xi said, “If we treat each other as a rival or an enemy, engage in fierce competition, and harm each other, China-US relations will encounter obstacles or even obstacles .”
Reporter Zhong Yuan wrote in the Epoch Times that it would be difficult for the leader of the Chinese Communist Party to contact US President-elect Trump directly, so he had to make his last meeting with Biden a used to talk to Trump from a distance. Although Trump has not yet taken office, the direction of diplomacy has begun to take shape The Chinese Communist Party leader’s misguided comments may indicate that a new storm in Sino-US relations is inevitable.
Editor-in-Chief: Li Renhe #
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2024-11-20 15:50:00