MIAMI, Florida – Subtropical storm Nicole formed Monday morning as the last named system of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season and could impact Florida in the coming days.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) reported in its 8am bulletin on Monday that the system had maximum sustained winds of 45mph and was moving north to northwest at 14mph while being 520 miles east. of the Bahamas. It is expected to move further northwest and could intensify in the coming days.
South Florida remains in the binary cone of the system, which is expected to move into the state Thursday night.
This week, a long period of bad weather is expected over the northwestern Bahamas, Florida and the southeastern coast of the United States.
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WARNINGS AND WATCHES
A tropical storm watch is in effect for:
The NHC says interests in the central Bahamas, Florida and along the southeastern coast of the United States should monitor Nicole’s progress.
November is the last month of the hurricane season and typically tropical activity begins to decline. However, the 2022 hurricane season was postponed, and nearly all impact storms in the Atlantic this year formed after August.
The state of Florida has been hit nine times by tropical systems in November in the past 170 years, with a probability of about 5% in any given year.
Seven of these nine came from the Western Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico. That makes this week’s developing system, should it consolidate and hit Florida, pretty rare.
For now, forecasts indicate that the frequency and intensity of rains will increase as we approach the middle of the week. It will become increasingly windy, with dangerous marine conditions and a high risk of rip currents.
According to meteorologist John Morales’ analysis, winds and waves will combine with a full moon and sea level rise aggravated by climate change to produce significant coastal flooding. Communities such as Fort Lauderdale, Miami Beach, Miami Shores, neighborhoods near Biscayne Boulevard including Edgewater, Coconut Grove, Coral Gables, and the Florida Keys should prepare for flooding.
Floods continue in Volusia County. In the Deltona area, residents also complain that they have not come to collect much of the debris.
