/ world today news/ BASIC EXTRACTS
I. The vote in the referendum will be mostly positive, but the turnout achieved will not overcome the legal threshold to be recognized as regular (For the referendum to be legitimate, the turnout must be the same as in the last parliamentary elections, i.e. 3.5 million. In local elections, however, the turnout is usually around 35%, while in parliamentary elections – 50-55%).
II. The attitude towards the immigrant wave is like a danger to national security.
III. The attitude towards the idea of the Minister of Health to take fingerprints when entering the hospital is overwhelmingly negative.
I. RELATION TO THE REFERENDUM AND SUBJECT OF THE REFERENDUM
As shown in our previous research (as well as in research by other sociological agencies), in general, the question that was put to the national referendum is positively related. The attitude of the majority of those who expressed a desire to vote is to answer “YES” to the question in the poll: „Do you support being able to vote remotely electronically when conducting elections and referenda?”.
Table 1: How will you vote in the referendum that will be held together with the local elections?
Answers: |
Share in % : |
1/ Yes |
37 |
2/ Not |
15 |
3/ I haven’t decided |
13 |
4/ I will not vote in the referendum |
36 |
DIAGRAM 1: Attitude towards the referendum
As can be seen, 52% of respondents “firmly” intend to vote in the referendum, 13% are hesitant, and 36% say they will not exercise their right to vote. At first glance, this would mean that for the first time a national referendum would be recognized as valid. However, this is unlikely to happen, as practice has shown that in research respondents traditionally respond in a larger proportion with answers considered ” more prestigious’ than are realized in practice. So, despite the stated readiness for voting in the referendum, our prediction isthat the actual votes will turn out to be less than necessary to bъWhere is the referendum? recognized for legitimate.
Some significant statistically significant differences are observed in terms of the educational level of the two main groups – those supporting and opposing the idea of remote voting. Here are the ratios:
Table 2: Attitudes towards the referendum by age
Up to 30 |
Up to 40 years |
Up to 50 |
Up to 60 |
Over 61 years old |
Sample mean |
|
1/ Yes |
44 |
40 |
40 |
37 |
23 |
37 |
2/ Not |
10 |
14 |
15 |
17 |
20 |
15 |
3/ I haven’t decided |
10 |
11 |
11 |
12 |
22 |
13 |
4/ I will not vote in the referendum |
36 |
35 |
34 |
34 |
35 |
35 |
EVERYTHING: |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
It can be seen that if in the youngest group of voters – from 18 to 30 years old – those who support the idea of remote voting are 4 times more than those who deny it, then in the oldest group – over 61 years old – this ratio is almost equal.
These differences are slightly more pronounced when we compare the groups supporting and rejecting the issue by educational level:
Table 3: Attitudes towards the referendum by education
HIGHER EDUCATION V % |
AVERAGE V % |
MAINLY V % |
|
1/ Yes |
47 |
38 |
21 |
2/ Not |
14 |
15 |
17 |
3/ I haven’t decided |
10 |
13 |
19 |
4/ I will not vote in the referendum |
29 |
36 |
43 |
EVERYTHING: |
100% |
100% |
100% |
We do not observe particularly large differences between the group of university graduates and that of people with secondary education. But that’s why the big difference between these two groups and people with primary education stands out – especially with regard to the answer “YES” (only 21% among people with primary education) and among those who are undecided and unwilling to vote (respectively 19% and as many as 43% ).It is evident that support for remote voting is greatest in the group of university graduates and clearly decreases with decreasing educational level.
II. ATTITUDE TOWARDS IMMIGRANTS
The latest development of events surrounding the arrival of immigrants from Asia and Africa (the Afghan shot by a Bulgarian border guard) exacerbated the situation again and heated up passions. It should be noted that our research was completed BEFORE this incident, so its impact on public opinion has yet to be captured.
The problem with immigrants is both difficult and multifaceted – in the research we have focused only on some of its countries.
Table 4: What is your attitude towards immigrants from Asia and Africa?
Answers: |
Share in %: |
1/ They represent a danger to national security and the social structure |
74 |
2/ Immigrants – refugees are not a danger |
34 |
3/ Immigrants from Syria are not a danger |
13 |
4/ Both economic immigrants and refugees are not a danger, but an opportunity for development |
8 |
(Note: The sum is over 100, as the respondents were entitled to more than one answer).
The distinction most people make between refugees from areas of severe conflict and economic immigrants is obvious.
What measures regarding immigrants should Bulgaria adopt?
Table 5:
MOST IMPORTANT MEASURES: |
SHARE IN %: |
1/ Fight against traffickers |
47 |
2/ Strengthening border control |
81 |
3/ Return of all unproven war refugees |
33 |
4 / Return of everyone from the country from which they crossed to Bulgaria |
23 |
5/ In accordance with EU decisions |
22 |
6/Other (specify) |
20 |
(Note: The sum is over 100, as the respondents were entitled to more than 1 answer).
III. ATTITUDE TO THE IDEA OF TAKING FINGERPRINTS FROM PATIENTS
ALONG WITH THE AUTUMN’S UNDISPUTED HOT TOPICS OUTSIDE THE LOCAL ELECTIONS – THE REFERENDUM AND THE IMMIGRANT FLOW, one of the extravagantthem ideaslaunched by Minister of Health Petar Moskov – to take fingerprints from patients in hospitals, from customers of pharmacies, etc.
The attitude of the public is categorical – such an idea is unlikely to be easily accepted. There are no serious differences in the negative attitude towards the idea in different age groups – see the comparison table below.
Question: Do you accept Minister Moskov’s idea to take fingerprints from patients?
Table 6:
ANSWERS: |
Yes – share in %: |
No – share in %: |
1/ In hospitals |
21 |
79 |
2/ To the pharmacy |
12 |
88 |
3/ In sanatoriums, etc. |
13 |
87 |
Table 7: Attitudes towards the idea of fingerprinting in hospitals
Up to 30 |
Up to 40 years |
Up to 50 |
Up to 60 |
Over 61 years old |
Sample mean |
|
1/ Yes |
18 |
20 |
22 |
20 |
22 |
21 |
2/ Not |
82 |
80 |
78 |
80 |
78 |
79 |
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