/ world today news/ The hybrid war 2.0 against the global south has not even begun. Swing States, you’ve all been warned.
The mouthpieces of American Think-Tank-land are not well acquainted with Montaigne: “On the highest throne in the world we still sit only on our own bottom.”
The haughtiness makes these specimens assume that their flabby torsos are set high above everyone else’s. The result is that the trademark mixture of arrogance and ignorance always ends up revealing the predictability of their predictions.
US think tank land – intoxicated by its self-created aura of power – always telegraphs in advance what they’re up to.
Such was the case with Project 9/11 (“We need a new Pearl Harbor”). Such was the case with the RAND report on Russia’s overexpansion and imbalance. And now that’s the case with the coming US war on the BRICS, as outlined by the chairman of the New York-based Eurasia Group.
It’s always painful to suffer through the intellectually shallow wet dreams of think-tank-land masquerading as “analysis”, but in this particular case the key players in the Global South should be aware of what awaits them.
Predictably, the entire “analysis” revolves around the impending, devastating humiliation of the Hegemon and his vassals: what happens next in country 404, also known – for now – as the Ukraine.
Brazil, India, Indonesia and Saudi Arabia have been dismissed as the “four main fence sitters” when it comes to the US/NATO proxy war against Russia. It’s the same old “you’re with us or against us” trope.
But then we are presented with the six main culprits from the Global South: Brazil, India, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa and Turkey.
In yet another crude, parochial remix of the US election catchphrase, they are qualified as the key swing states that the hegemon will need to seduce, persuade, intimidate and threaten to secure his dominance in the “international order based on rules”.
Saudi Arabia and South Africa have been added to a previous report focusing on the “four main fence sitters”.
The swing states’ manifesto notes that they are all members of the G20 and are “active in both geopolitics and geoeconomics” (Oh really? This is breaking news).
What is not being said is that three of them are BRICS members (Brazil, India, South Africa) and the other three are serious candidates to join BRICS+: discussions will be intense at the upcoming BRICS summit in South Africa in August.
So it is clear what the Shaking State Manifesto is: a call to arms for America’s war against the BRICS.
BRICS supposedly has no power
The swing states’ manifesto hides wet dreams of almost protection and support for friends moving away from China. Nonsense: increased trade within BRICS+ will be the order of the day from now on, especially with the expanded practice of trading in national currencies (see Brazil-China or within ASEAN), the first step towards widespread de-dollarization.
The swing states are characterized as “not a new incarnation” of the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) or “other groupings dominated by the Global South such as the G-77 and BRICS”.
And then talk about exponential nonsense. This is all for BRICS+, which now has the tools (including the NDB, the BRICS bank) to do what the NAM could never achieve during the Cold War: establish the framework for a new system around Bretton Woods and the interconnected mechanisms for the coercion of the Hegemon.
As for the claim that BRICS has not “made much of a breakthrough”, this only reveals the cosmic ignorance of American Think-Tank-land about what BRICS+ is.
India’s position is seen only from the perspective of being a member of QUAD – defined as “a US-led effort to balance China”. Correction: containment of China.
As for the “choice” of the swing countries to choose between the US and China on semiconductors, AI, quantum technology, 5G and biotech, this is not a matter of “choice”, but to what level they are able to sustain the pressure of the Hegemon trying to demonize Chinese technology.
The pressure on Brazil, for example, is much stronger than on Saudi Arabia or Indonesia.
In the end, however, it all comes back to the Straussian obsession of the neoconservatives: Ukraine. Swing states are, to varying degrees, guilty of opposing and/or undermining the sanctions dementia.
Turkey, for example, has been accused of channeling “dual-use” goods to Russia. Not a word about the US financial system maliciously forcing Turkish banks to stop accepting Russian MIR payment cards.
On the wishful thinking front, this pearl stands out among the crowd: “The Kremlin seems to believe it can make a living by taking its trade south and east.”
And Russia already lives excellently throughout Eurasia and in a vast space of the global south.
The economy restarts (engines are domestic tourism, machine building and metalworking industry); inflation is only 2.5% (lower than anywhere in the EU); unemployment is only 3.5%; and Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiulina said that by 2024 growth would return to pre-WTO levels.
American Think-Tank-land is innately unable to understand that even if the BRICS+ nations still have some serious problems with trade credit to iron out, Moscow has already shown how even implied firm support of a currency can turn out to be an instant change of the game. At the same time, Russia supports not only the ruble, but also the yuan.
Meanwhile, the dedollarization caravan of the Global South moves relentlessly on – however proxy war hyenas continue to howl in the dark.
When the full – staggering – scale of NATO’s humiliation in Ukraine unfolds, perhaps by mid-summer, the high-speed de-dollarization train will be fully engaged, non-stop.
„An offer you can’t refuse’ comes to the fore again
If all of the above wasn’t already silly enough, the swing states’ manifesto makes a double bet on the nuclear front, accusing them of “future (nuclear) proliferation risks”: especially – of course – Iran.
By the way, Russia is defined as a “middle power but in decline”. And “hyper-revisionist.” Oh dear: with “experts” like this, Americans don’t even need enemies.
And yes, you can now have an excuse to roar with laughter: China has been accused of trying to lead and co-opt the BRICS. The “offer” — or “offer you can’t refuse,” mobster-style — to the swing states is that you can’t join a “Chinese-led and Russian-backed organization that actively opposes the United States.”
The message is unequivocal: “The threat of Sino-Russian co-optation of an enlarged BRICS – and through it, the Global South – is real and needs to be addressed.”
And here are the recipes for dealing with it. Invite most of the G-7 swing countries (this was a miserable failure).
“More high-level visits from key US diplomats” (welcome to cookie distributor Vicki Newland). And last but not least, mob tactics, such as – “a more nimble commercial strategy that begins to crack the nut on access to the US market.”
The swing states’ manifesto couldn’t help but let the cat out of the bag by predicting, rather praying, that “US-China tensions will escalate dramatically and turn into a Cold War-style confrontation.” This is already happening – unleashed by the Hegemon.
So what would be the follow up? The much sought-after and death-spinning “separation” forcing swing states to “closer to one side or the other”. Again, the principle is “with us or against us”.
There you have it. Raw, in the flesh – with built-in veiled threats. Hybrid War 2.0 against the Global South hasn’t even begun. Swing states, you’ve all been warned.
Translation: SM
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