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South Alabama Jaguars – Troy Trojans match forecast October 16, 2024

There will be an exciting NCAA matchup between the South Alabama Jaguars and the Troy Trojans.//

South Alabama Jaguars

Enter this match with a balance of 1 win and 4 losses in the last five games. The team shows unstable results, winning with a large score against Northwestern St. Demons 87:10, but then suffered defeats from stronger opponents. For example, a match against Arkansas St. Red Wolves ended in a 16:18 defeat, despite stubborn resistance. It is worth noting that the Jaguars have a good attack, which can be seen in the result in the match with Appalachian St. Mountaineers”, where they won 48:14.

However, inconsistent defense, especially against tough opponents like the LSU Tigers, where they lost 10-42, continues to be their weak spot. The team is actively working to improve its defense, which could play an important role in the upcoming match.

Troy Trojans

They are going through difficult times, having lost 4 of their last 5 fights. Their only win was at home against the Florida AM Rattlers (34-12), but they lost in other games, including matches against the Iowa Hawkeyes (21-38) and Texas St. Bobcats” (17:38). The team often concedes in the second half of the match, indicating problems with stamina and strategy in the final stages of games. In their last match against the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, they missed a decisive goal in the final minutes, which cost them the victory.

Despite this, the Trojans remain in a fighting spirit, counting on adjustments in tactics and strengthening the defense. Their passing defense remains a key issue, as the team allows an average of 31 points per game. However, they can surprise their opponents with quick counterattacks if they can take advantage of their opponent’s mistakes.

Forecast and bet on the outcome of the odds. 1.91

Total under 57 (odds 1.91): In the last five fights, the teams showed a tendency to score low points. The defense and offensive line haven’t been very productive, especially the Troy Trojans, who have struggled to break the 20-point mark. This fight is likely to be a careful one, with a minimum number of mistakes.

Alternative forecasts for this confrontation

  • Handicap +7 on the South Alabama Jaguars (odds 1.90): Despite their outsider status, the Jaguars are able to force a fight and lose by a small margin, which they have already demonstrated in confrontations with stronger opponents. A 7 point handicap seems reasonable for a team that fights to the end.
  • The total number of violations is more than 10.5 (coefficient 1.75): In fights involving these teams, many violations are often recorded. Defensive mistakes and nervousness lead to frequent penalties, and this fight will likely be no exception.
  • Troy’s success (odds 1.65): Head-to-head history and standings favor the Trojans. The team works better defensively and knows how to exploit the enemy’s weaknesses, which makes it a favorite and increases the chances of winning this bet.

Forecast: TM (57)

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