Unless the PSVR 2 will soon also become “legacy hardware”. A lot more could change in the next 5-10 years, if it turns out that there is an even better approach to the lenses, the screens, rendering, tracking, etc.
Of course, this applies to the entire VR world and not just the PSVR2. It’s a relatively new phenomenon with no well-established standard or obvious best way. Then you run the risk of buying something that will age faster than you would like. Just like with the first cars, the first smartphones, etc.
I think the next few years will be make or break for VR. Several manufacturers are betting quite big on it, and there are more VR users than ever (some 20 million actively used glasses before the release of the PSVR2). But investors can be fickle and won’t stay interested indefinitely if it doesn’t become mass produced, I suspect.
The success of VR is already great compared to previous attempts to bring VR to the masses. But I expect investors and owners to want to see x10 or x100 growth. That can succeed, but only if the entire proposition, from price to applications, is all good enough for that larger group. And many aspects of it have a chicken-and-egg character that can leave the eyewear makers, game/software makers and buyers waiting for each other.
To arrive at hundreds of millions of glasses sold, or even billions, a lot is needed from scaling up production to lower prices and more games/applications, and quite a bit of patience. VR has been hype for quite a few years now and is certainly still a niche, although not a very small niche. With the stage of capitalism we’re in now, I don’t think it’s good enough for large owners to have 20 million buyers. If that does not reach 200 million within 5 years, then I wonder whether the money will continue to flow in. As beautiful and promising as this technology is, it depends on how long the money dolls believe that VR will be the best thing since sliced bread. And at the same time, it is largely up to them to decide whether that will be the case. Very curious how things will go in the next five years.
[Reactie gewijzigd door geert1 op 31 januari 2023 16:38]
