Sinwar’s position may change the equations… Are we seeing surprise deals?

newspaper, published on Wednesday, entitled “Election of Sinwar instead of Haniyeh could help advance the hostile talks and end his “war,” he believed that Haniyeh was an obstacle to the negotiations, while Sinwar was to deal with the negotiations in a more reasonable way. Because he is still inside Gaza.

Regarding the reasons on which the writer based his opinion, he said that it is difficult to assess Sinwar’s ability to act as the leader of Hamas and to represent it externally, but Haniyeh was indeed a ‘ represent a more difficult situation in the negotiations, compared to the most reasonable ones. a line adopted by Sinwar.

He also expected that by choosing Sinwar, he might want to fulfill his role as the leader of the movement, and ensure that he would be elected in the Hamas elections in 2025, which he cannot do. until after termination of the hosting agreement. Which leads to the end of the war, and makes sure that he wants the leaders of Hamas not to be assassinated.

The importance of Sinwar in this situation is increasing. Because although he has been the head of the political bureau of Hamas, he is also the head of Gaza, and it is possible that he will strengthen his position as a leader and that he will strengthen the position of Hamas as an alternative to Fatah, with the aim taking control of the Palestinian Authority and the Palestine Liberation Organization, as suggested by Kobe Michael.

On the other hand, the writer pointed out that at the beginning everyone expected Khaled Meshal, the deputy head of the Hamas political bureau who lives abroad, to be a follower of Haniyeh, but due to regional factors he was not selected, while Sinwar’s choice surprised him. many; Since this is happening during the war (which he leads in Gaza), he is also persecuted and disappeared.

On Tuesday, Hamas announced that its leader in Gaza was named head of its political bureau, succeeding Ismail Haniyeh, who was assassinated in Tehran on July 31.

What if a compromise is made?

Regarding the surprise regarding Sinwar’s choice as Haniyeh’s successor, Palestinian political analyst Nizar Jabr told Sky News Arabia: “He is the person who wants No. 1 in Israel, who considers him responsible for what happened on 7 October, and his choice was a surprise to him. all Palestinians, and we felt that the negotiations had collapsed.

However, Jabr believes that what was said in the “Jerusalem Post” article may be far from the truth, justifying this by saying that Israel “will not accept Sinwar as the leader of Hamas, and the his policy over the last decades is to kill anyone who threatens. his security, and Sinwar planned the greatest disaster in Israel’s history, and it will follow them forever.”

Accordingly, the Palestinian analyst expects that “even if Israel agrees to negotiate with Sinwar, I believe that it will not reach an agreement that will end the war, but it may be a partial agreement ‘ there and nothing more, and Israel will not allow him to use his. authority in public, but in the world of politics anything is possible.”

No hope

The Palestinian journalist, Jamal Salem, also doubts the truth of the article, and that negotiations can be held between Israel and Sinwar, leading to the end of the war. For purposes related to Sinwar and Tel Aviv together.

He explained these reasons to “Sky News Arabia”, saying: “Not everyone is optimistic about the choice of Sinwar. Everyone knows that he is more extreme than Haniyeh, and Israel can co -negotiate with him for a while for the enemies, but will he give him a chance to run the Gaza Strip?”

“Besides, will you allow him to fulfill his duties as you allowed Haniyeh, and give him some freedom of movement?”

He concludes, “In general, the Israeli media does not speak in a vacuum, and there may be behind the scenes that no one knows about, or there may be an agreement to end on the war, to remove Sinwar from Gaza, and to allow another regime. there.”

Call for “quick meltdown”

The idea that Sinwar’s election is aimed at promoting negotiations does not match the statements of some senior Israeli officials about him.

On Tuesday night, Israel’s Foreign Minister Yisrael Katz called for his “rapid dissolution”, and wrote on the platform “X”, “The appointment of the terrorist Yahya Sinwar, as the head of Hamas, to succeed Ismail Haniyeh, is an additional reason for. his quick meltdown and wipe out this group.” At the bottom of the map.

For example, the Chief of Staff of the Israel Defense Forces, Herzi Halevy, said when he visited an air base on Sinwar’s recruitment: “For us, this represents an additional incentive to find him,” voting for his release.

Sinwar, 61 years old, is seen as the de facto leader of Hamas and has the highest say in the decision of war and negotiations, but has not been seen since the start of the war with Israel in October 2023.

He spent 23 years in Israeli prisons before being released in 2011, then was elected leader of the movement in Gaza in 2017.

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According to an article written by Koby Michael in the Jerusalem Post newspaper, published on Wednesday, entitled “Election of Sinwar instead of Haniyeh could help advance the hostile talks and end his “war,” he believed that Haniyeh was an obstacle to the negotiations, while Sinwar was to deal with the negotiations in a more reasonable way. Because he is still inside Gaza.

Regarding the reasons on which the writer based his opinion, he said that it is difficult to assess Sinwar’s ability to act as the leader of Hamas and to represent it externally, but Haniyeh was indeed a ‘ represent a more difficult situation in the negotiations, compared to the most reasonable ones. a line adopted by Sinwar.

He also expected that by choosing Sinwar, he might want to fulfill his role as the leader of the movement, and ensure that he would be elected in the Hamas elections in 2025, which he cannot do. until after termination of the hosting agreement. Which leads to the end of the war, and makes sure that he wants the leaders of Hamas not to be assassinated.

The importance of Sinwar in this situation is increasing. Because although he has been the head of the political bureau of Hamas, he is also the head of Gaza, and it is possible that he will strengthen his position as a leader and that he will strengthen the position of Hamas as an alternative to Fatah, with the aim taking control of the Palestinian Authority and the Palestine Liberation Organization, as suggested by Kobe Michael.

On the other hand, the writer pointed out that at the beginning everyone expected Khaled Meshal, the deputy head of the Hamas political bureau who lives abroad, to be a follower of Haniyeh, but due to regional factors he was not selected, while Sinwar’s choice surprised him. many; Since this is happening during the war (which he leads in Gaza), he is also persecuted and disappeared.

On Tuesday, Hamas announced that its leader in Gaza was named head of its political bureau, succeeding Ismail Haniyeh, who was assassinated in Tehran on July 31.

What if negotiations take place?

Regarding the surprise regarding Sinwar’s choice as Haniyeh’s successor, Palestinian political analyst Nizar Jabr told Sky News Arabia: “He is the person who wants No. 1 in Israel, who considers him responsible for what happened on 7 October, and his choice was a surprise to him. all Palestinians, and we felt that the negotiations had collapsed.

However, Jabr believes that what was said in the “Jerusalem Post” article may be far from the truth, justifying this by saying that Israel “will not accept Sinwar as the leader of Hamas, and the his policy over the last decades is to kill anyone who threatens. his security, and Sinwar planned the greatest disaster in Israel’s history, and it will follow them forever.”

Accordingly, the Palestinian analyst expects that “even if Israel agrees to negotiate with Sinwar, I believe that it will not reach an agreement that will end the war, but it may be a partial agreement ‘ there and nothing more, and Israel will not allow him to use his. authority in public, but in the world of politics anything is possible.”

No hope

The Palestinian journalist, Jamal Salem, also doubts the truth of the article, and that negotiations can be held between Israel and Sinwar, leading to the end of the war. For purposes related to Sinwar and Tel Aviv together.

He explained these reasons to “Sky News Arabia”, saying: “Not everyone is optimistic about the choice of Sinwar. Everyone knows that he is more extreme than Haniyeh, and Israel can co -negotiate with him for a while for the enemies, but will he give him a chance to run the Gaza Strip?”

“Besides, will you allow him to fulfill his duties as you allowed Haniyeh, and give him some freedom of movement?”

He concludes, “In general, the Israeli media does not speak in a vacuum, and there may be behind the scenes that no one knows about, or there may be an agreement to end on the war, to remove Sinwar from Gaza, and to allow another regime. there.”

Call for “quick meltdown”

The idea that Sinwar’s election is aimed at promoting negotiations does not match the statements of some senior Israeli officials about him.

On Tuesday night, Israel’s Foreign Minister Yisrael Katz called for his “rapid dissolution”, and wrote on the platform “X”, “The appointment of the terrorist Yahya Sinwar, as the head of Hamas, to succeed Ismail Haniyeh, is an additional reason for. his quick meltdown and wipe out this group.” At the bottom of the map.

For example, the Chief of Staff of the Israel Defense Forces, Herzi Halevy, said when he visited an air base on Sinwar’s recruitment: “For us, this represents an additional incentive to find him,” voting for his release.

Sinwar, 61 years old, is seen as the de facto leader of Hamas and has the highest say in the decision of war and negotiations, but has not been seen since the start of the war with Israel in October 2023.

He spent 23 years in Israeli prisons before being released in 2011, then was elected leader of the movement in Gaza in 2017.