Carlos Alcaraz’s early exit from Cincinnati smiles on Jannik Sinner. In all likelihood, the Italian will remain at the top of the ATP ranking even after the US Open, the last Slam of the season starting on August 26. His primacy can only be mathematically challenged by Alexander Zverevcurrently number 4 in the world. Let’s find out why.
Sinner in the Cincinnati quarterfinals without playing due to Thompson’s withdrawal, Paolini knocked out. Alcaraz eliminated and furious: racket destroyed
How Zverev can overcome Sinner
Sinner leads the live rankings with 2125 points ahead of the German. Both will be playing in the quarterfinals on the Ohio hard court: Sinner against Rublev, Zverev against Shelton. To attack the first ATP position, the German will therefore have to conquer 2305 points more than Jannik between Cincinnati (final or tournament victory) and the US Open (tournament victory).
Djokovic, 1000 points less after Cincinnati
Chapter Novak Djokovic. How is it possible that the world number 2, fresh from winning gold at the Olympics, cannot overtake Sinner? First of all, let’s remember that victory at the Games does not award points for the ATP ranking. After triumphing in Paris, Nole skipped the Masters 1000 in Montreal and Cincinnati. In Ohio, the Serbian would have had to defend the 1,000 points from his victory a year ago in the final against Alcaraz. Since the points obtained in a tournament remain valid for a year and are then subtracted, starting next week Djokovic will have 1,000 points less: 7,460 against Sinner’s at least 8,960. Similarly, at the US Open the Serbian will have to defend the 2023 title (2,000 points). These will be subtracted from him at the beginning of the edition, so even in the event of a victory Djokovic will not be able to go beyond his current points.
Alcaraz risks third place
E Alcaraz? The defeat in the second round in Cincinnati against Monfils exposed his nerves. This is demonstrated by his unusual reaction (shattered racket) after losing the fourth game of the third set against the Frenchman. Now the Spaniard risks losing his third place in the rankings: Zverev would knock him off the podium in the event of a final victory in the tournament. The gap from Sinner remains wide, because in Cincinnati Alcaraz did not defend the 600 points he won by reaching the final last year. He lost 590, to be precise (thanks to the 10 points he obtained in the first round). At the US Open he will lose another 720 (in 2023 he reached the semifinals), 540 more than Sinner (180). In this way the Spaniard will start the US Open with a disadvantage of over 2000 points over the South Tyrolean. Not even the victory of the slam would be enough to dent his lead.
In short, Jannik has several reasons to remain calm in view of Flushing Meadows. Below is the live ranking updated: 1º Jannik Sinner (8960 punti); 2º Novak Djokovic (7460); 3º Carlos Alcaraz (7360); 4º Alexander Zverev (6835); 5º Daniil Medvedev (6275).
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– 2024-08-18 12:14:21
