Shi Weiquan/Joint Sword 2024B Pillar Exercise Warns US “No Window Time”

Shi Weiquan/Joint Sword 2024B Pillar Exercise Warns US “No Window Time”

Shi Weiquan / Associate Professor, Tamkang University

As for the People’s Liberation Army’s “Joint Sword Exercise 2024B”, it was only 13 hours from the official announcement on the mainland to the end of the exercise. The United States and China must work together to respond quickly? Or is the Chinese side satisfied with the US position within 13 hours, and the US has even privately given certain promises, so the Chinese side believes that the exercise has achieved results?

Many people in mainland think tanks believe that all of the above is true, and that the positions of all parties are closely related to each other.

On the morning of the exercise, the Chinese Communist Party issued a political statement in the name of “Fu Zhengnan of the Academy of Military Sciences,” stressing that the People’s Liberation Army will not allow “false, false and mean independence” gradually Taiwan. slip through.” The People’s Liberation Army also followed the tone of the statement on the fourth page of the People’s Daily on the 13th. , the president thinksLa QingdeThe initiative is the “New Two-Nation Theory”.

The “false, false and gradual” argument was directed at the United States Before Fu Zhengnan of the People’s Liberation Army spoke, the second page of the People’s Daily on the same day called the United States for its position ‘ President wrongly. Lai’s Double Ten Speech. The People’s Daily reported: “Some senior US officials characterized it as ‘normal’, ‘very mild’ and ‘relaxed’ and ‘unreasonably’ urged Beijing to ban on.’ ” “It shows that his promise not to support Taiwan’s independence was not actually implemented.” The focus of this paragraph is on the last sentence. From the Biden summit- Xi Jinping in San Francisco, the CCP has asked the United States not to “say one thing and do another.” The position of the CCP is very clear, and it has repeatedly called on the United States to take strong actions to oppose Taiwan’s independence, the words of the CCP this time were clear, believing that the United States “likes them. President Lai Ching-te also failed to fulfill his promise at the meeting between the leaders of the US and China at that time, the US opposed the Chinese side expressed actively and spoke sincerely.

Fu Zhengnan said “confused and false”, which means that no matter how the rhetoric changes, the tone of the former Communist Party for Lai Qingde remains unchanged. After the president’s inauguration speech on May 20, Chinese officials said privately that “there is a hidden needle in the cotton. he saw the cotton but not the needle “I am not an expert on Asia” and “US Secretary of State Blinken does not understand Asia”, so we must remind him again that ” hidden needle in this cotton”. The needle is the “graduality” that Fu Zhengnan says. China believes that Lai Qingde promotes the independence of Taiwan. To begin planning, the CCP believes that these efforts will be seen in the opening speech on May 20, followed by the National Day Gala of President Lai’s speech and the speech of Double Ten is relatively unimportant. This is also clearly shown by the performance of the People’s Daily criticizing the president On May 21, there was a whole page criticizing the president, and then on October 11 after the Double Ten speech and on October 13 before the military exercises, yes. only one article criticizing the president.

According to the superficial position of the CCP, cross-strait matters are internal affairs, and Taiwan’s affairs are not jointly managed by China and the United States. But in fact, the CCP is responsible for the United States to largely control Washington is the distance between Beijing and Taipei. In words, China cannot really admit that “the United States controls Taiwan. ”Therefore, the CCP changed its statement: “The United States must be responsible for the promotion of Taiwan’s independence.” actions to oppose the independence of Taiwan, and then he spoke to the United States to tell Lai Qingde The speech was “through, false and progressive”.

Fu Zhengnan’s “new two-nation theory” continues to be used in the People’s Daily on the 14th. mainland policy?

The difference between Lee Teng-hui and Lee Teng-hui is that when Lee Teng-hui discussed the two-nation theory, although Su Qichong, the chairman of the Mainland Affairs Council at the time, too quickly said “not be there more ‘one China'”, Taiwan officials took a step back and separated the special country from The word “国” in state-to-state relations is translated as state. The word “government” has a stronger meaning and “state apparatus” , while the meaning of “country” is lighter In contrast, the Chinese side believes that the “Republic of China and the People’s Republic of China” are “Unconnected” much stronger at Lai Qingde. The new two-nation theory goes further than the old two-nation theory.

However, “The Republic of China and the People’s Republic of China are linked together” is not a new creation of Lai Ching-te’s government, but originated from former President Tsai Ing-wen Why the CCP was “non- end of answers” to Tsai Ing-wen and “tolerance” but not to Lai Ching-te? ? The most important thing is that in the early and middle terms of Tsai Ing-wen’s administration, she is still “the handling cross-Strait matters according to the Constitution of the Republic of China and the Rules of Cross-Strait Relations, however, you have not used this language since his election campaign.” Tsai Ing-wen has not been given much credit for this assessment in the past.

The Chinese statement was directed to the United States, so the meaning of the whole military exercise must be explained like this: “The United States is busy with elections, but Beijing is still focused on the Taiwan issue. The United States cannot control it, but the Chinese Communist Party has the power to control it.” “The US election should not become a cross-strait issue.” “The window period of the relationship”.

For those who support Taiwan independence, Lai Ching-de is bolder than Tsai Ing-wen He may not have a clear road map The current political situation and language are aimed at to tell the United States that it is not just a bastard clinging to the White House; he may have a clear path. Court, to “achieve true legal independence without declaring Taiwan’s independence.”

It is difficult to judge the issues above because the current government’s speeches are sometimes confusing, with clear sentences but no structure in the debate. Includes the tone of President Lai’s speech at the National Day Gala, as well as speeches of the Mainland Affairs Council (such as the Kinmen incident against mainland fishing boats, a press release from the Mainland Affairs Council, and the operational direction of the National Security Council is obviously incompatible with the Vice Chairman of the Mainland Affairs Council Liang Wenjie) (the speeches are inconsistent), are the speeches of politicians with election experience more innovative? Do you want to completely break away from the context of mainland affairs developed by the Lee Teng-hui bureaucracy to this day? Or is it just that politicians’ speeches are not delicate and professional enough? In any case, there are ideas but the construction of language does not show the philosophy.

Ling Media’s original website:Shi Weiquan/Joint Sword 2024B Pillar Exercise Warns US “No Window Time”